23 JAXA RESTEC BMA JICA 2
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1 ( ) 73 1
2 23 JAXA RESTEC BMA JICA 2
3
4 a. IFNet b. c. 4
5 2 23 IFNet JICA GFAS 5
6
7 La Nina 7
8 ,779km 4 5,971km 325 km , Central Coast 7 MRC Mississippi River Commission 2011 MRC USACE Vicksburg MVD Mississippi Valley Division 6 District USACE MVD 8
9 , , km MR&T Mississippi River and Tributaries - BPNM MRC 2011 MR&T Flood Report 9
10 MR&T 3.5 mile 9 km % 3,700 1: : (960 ) 179 USACE MVD 10
11 4 MR&T MR&T PDF 289 cfs 81,800m 3 /s 1/500 (4 ) (4 ) USACE MVD 11
12 % 600-1,000% Southern Plains USACE MVD 12
13 Cairo, New Madrid, Caruthersville, Vicksburg, Natchez, Red River Lndg BPNM MR&T PDF 80-85% USACE 13
14 <1/2> Vicksburg USACE MVD Vicksburg Cairo
15 <2/2> Cairo Mega Sand Boil USACE MVD 15
16 9 BPNM Cairo 63ft 5/5) 22 Cairo 61.72ft Cairo 3.55ft 1.1m USACE Memphis District 16
17 10 BPNM USACE Memphis District 5/2 5/2 22:00 5/3 12:37 5/
18 11 BPNM USACE Memphis District BPNM Cairo 62.6ft 59.05ft 3.55ft 66.73ft 4/29 5/4 18
19 12 Morganza 1954 PDF 289 cfs 81,800m 3 /s 60 cfs 17,000m 3 /s 20 32km 5 8km cfs 5,200m 3 /s USACE New Orleans District 19
20 13 Bonnet Carre <1/2> PDF 150 cfs 42,500m 3 /s 25 cfs 7,100m 3 /s 5.7 9km 7,700 12, ~3.8km cfs 8,900m 3 /s PDF USACE New Orleans District 20
21 14 Bonnet Carre <2/2> USACE New Orleans District
22 15 MRC Motor Vessel Mississippi 2 High-water Inspection Low-water Inspection 2011 Highwater 4/10-15 Low-water 8/ High-water Inspection 240 TV Facebook Youtube Twitter Motor Vessel Mississippi Facebook USACE MVD 22
23 16 <1/2> BPNM Morganza Bonnet Carre , km km % MRC 2011 MR&T Flood Report 23
24 17 <2/2> MR&T % % stakeholder MVD Walsh MRC ENR Engineering News- Record 2011 Newsmakers25 MRC 2011 MR&T Flood Report 24
25
26 ( ) (km 2 ) (100 ) ,900 6,600 * ,140 7, ,120 2, ,080 1, ,000 4,167 RID 26
27 3 Kew Kor Mar (2010) Mae Ngat (1985) Mae Kuang (1993) Kew Lom (1972) Kaeng Sua Ten (1,175 MCM) or Mae Yom & Upper Mae Yom (666 MCM) Kwae Noi (2009) Sirikit (1970) Bhumibol (1964) Mae Wong (258 MCM) Thap Salao (1988) NAKHONSAWAN PROVINCE CPY Barrage(1957) Pasak (1999) Kra Seio (1982) Rama VI Barrage (1924) m 3 BANGKOK RID 27
28 Western drainage network 585 cms 4 Nakhon Sawan Eastern drainage network 275 cms Thachin River Capacity 320 cms. CPY Barrage Chao Phraya River (Singburi) Capacity 2,200 cms. Chao Phraya River (Angthong) Capacity 2,000 cms. Chao Phraya River (Ayutthaya) Capacity 1,300 cms. RID Chao Phraya River (Bang Sai) Capacity 3,300 3,500 cms. 28
29 5 JICA 29
30 <1/3> Nock-Ten TMD 30
31 <2/3> above below Region Jan Feb Mar Apr Ma y Jun July Aug Sep Oct Nov Total North Northeast Central East Southeast Southwest Country TMD 31
32 <3/3> ,822.4mm 28% TMD 32
33 , AFP 40 GDP % 2.3% 4, , USD JICA 33
34 ปร มาณน า ( - m ลบ.ม. 3 /sec) / ว นาท 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2, C.2 ปร มาณน าไหลผ าน ท สถาน C.2 แม น าเจ าพระยา ท ค ายจ ระประว ต อ.เม อง จ.นครสวรรค Flood Peak Year. Dater Volume Oct 4, Oct 3, Oct 2, Nov 2, Oct 2, Oct. 2, Oct 4,686 ระด บ Level ม. m, ปร มาณน า volume 3,500 3,500 cms. cms เร Start มท วมสถาน C.2 flooding lowland และพ นท ต at าเขตเทศบาลเม องนครสวรรค station C2, Nakhonsawan ป 2551 ป น า 2552 ป 2553 ป 2538 ป 2545 ป RID 1 December 2011 Discharge 2011 = 1,149 m 3 /sec Discharge 2010 = 588 m 3 /sec More than 2010 = 561 m 3 /sec Water level m (below the bank 4.77 m) 1, Apr. เม.ย. 15 เม.ย. 29 เม.ย. 13 พ.ค. 27 พ.ค. 10 ม.ย. 24 ม.ย. 8 ก.ค. 22 ก.ค. 5 ส.ค. 19 ส.ค. 2 ก.ย. 16 ก.ย. 30 ก.ย. 14 ต.ค. 28 ต.ค. 11 พ.ย. 25 พ.ย. 9 ธ.ค. 23 ธ.ค. 6 ม.ค. 20 ม.ค. 3 ก.พ. 17 ก.พ. 3 ม.ค. 17 ม.ค. 31 Mar. ม.ค. 34
35 11 C.2 8 Unit : MCM 2011 ( m 3 ) Forecast flow November 7, 2011 (28,260 MCM) August September October November RID 35
36 Bhumipol Sirikit 100 m 3 36
37 RID, BMA 37
38 14 38
39 <1/ >
40 <2/ > AIT ( ) AIT AIT AIT 40
41 17 <1/2> JICA M/P 10 3m 3 /s 25m 3 /s 41
42 18 <2/2> - - RID - - M/P M/P 42
43
44 20 44
45 5 - - (1) IFNet GFAS (2) (3) (4)
46 (1) No transmission Image Source : JAXA 46
47 (1)-2 IFNet (International Flood Network) Background Rising trend of flood damages Flood issues as becomingly serious concerns Few networks that dedicated to flood issues Necessity to give priority to flood issues Objectives To contribute to reduce flood damages by: Sharing knowledge and lessons, Promoting good practices, Raising awareness on flood risk among policy makers & citizen. Membership IFNet is an open, free network to everyone, currently 617 registered from 81 countries (as of 31 March, 2010). Advantage: Opportunity to receive GFAS information IFNet is an open network everyone can join! 47
48 (1)-3 GFAS (Global Flood Alert System) 1. Project Concept - Attempt to utilize satellite precipitation data for flood early warning - Support for existing flood early warning wherever necessary - Promoted both by MLIT and by JAXA 2. Development through collaboration among: i) JAXA as satellite precipitation data provider ii) IDI as system developer and operator iii) IFNet as flood early warning transmission network iv) Hydrological/ Meteorological Authorities, Disaster Management Sections, and River Managers of any part of the world as users of flood early warning and forecasting 3. Development until today: Up-grading from 3B42RT to GSMaP, which enabled more detailed and more rapid transmission of precipitation data. - 3B42RT ( ) Mesh size: 0.25, data delay: 10 hours - GSMaP (2007-) Mesh size: 0.1 (10x10 km 2 ), data delay: 4 hours 4. Available data maximum hourly precipitation data within 24 hours 1-day, 3-day or 1-week precipitation data 48
49 (1)-4 GFAS i) Space agencies NASA Homepage Satellite observation Heavy rainfall in the river basin ii) IDI-Japan Download of data Data processing Mapping, System development River iv) Hydrological service to river authorities iii) IFNet Flood warning and forecasting by using GFAS Information etc. 1. IFNet Homepage 2. of heavy rain information to IFNet members in charge of flood forecasting and warning v) Residents/ NGOs/ Community leaders 49
50 (1)-5 You can select 1 or 3-day rain fall from pull-down menu here. Latest 1 day rainfall in the world is displayed on the initial page You can select from 9 regions Then, click here for display. 50
51 (1)-6 - Select 1 or 3-day rainfall from pull-down menu Latest 1 day rainfall is displayed Heavy rain area Area with rainfall above 1/5 return period is shown by red. 51
52 (1)-7 Heavy rain caused by Typhoon Nargis (using GSMaP data) 01 May May May May 2008 Mawlamyaing (Moulmein) From any parts of the world, hourly precipitation data of any place (mesh) can be obtained even though ground observations are not available. 52
53 (1)-8 GFAS from Tokyo to Philippines Alert mail (sample) SAMPLE: Heavy rain information to ZZ area at ---. Mean basin precipitation of Ayeyarwady is XX mm/day. Please check on IFNet website! to Tokyo from Philippines Request mail (sample) Set up a new interface for **** City. The alert is so frequent that you should reset the alert level as 50mm/h. 53
54 (2)-1 Pilot study areas: Huong Khe (Ha Tinh), Mai Hoa (Quang Binh) 54
55 (2) /10/11-10/ Huong Khe(Ground) GSMaP_NRT N20 Precipitation(mm/6hr) / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / /20 19 Huong Khe (Ha Tinh) N19 Huong Khe, Ha Tinh (R=0.158) N18 Precipitation(mm/6hr) Mai Hoa(Ground) GSMaP_NRT Mai Hoa (Quang Binh) N / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / /20 19 Mai Hoa, Quang Binh (R=0.499) E105 E106 E107 N16 Note: GSMaP_NRT data is the maximum one among the four mesh data. ( 55
56 (2) /10/11-10/ Huong_Khe(Ground) GSMaP_NRT N20 Precipitation(mm/day) /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/20 Huong Khe (Ha Tinh) N19 Huong Khe, Ha Tinh (R=0.598) N18 Precipitation(mm/day) Mai Hoa(Ground) GSMaP_NRT Mai Hoa (Quang Binh) N /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/20 Mai Hoa, Quang Binh (R=0.306) E105 E106 E107 N16 Note: GSMaP_NRT data is the maximum one among the four mesh data. ( 56
57 (2) /10/11-10/20 Precipitation(mm/3days) Huong_Khe(Ground) GSMaP_NRT 2010/10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/20 Huong Khe (Ha Tinh) N20 N19 Huong Khe, Ha Tinh (R=0.881) N18 Precipitation(mm/3days) Mai Hoa(Ground) GSMaP_NRT Mai Hoa (Quang Binh) N /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/20 Mai Hoa, Quang Binh (R=0.942) E105 E106 E107 N16 Note: GSMaP_NRT data is the maximum one among the four mesh data. ( 57
58 (2)-5 Huong Khe Mai Hoa 6-hours precipitation day precipitation days precipitation Ground(mm/3days) y = 1.45x R = Precipitation(mm/3days) Huong_Khe(Ground) GSMaP_NRT GSMaP_NRT GSMaP_NRT (mm/3days) /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/20 58
59 (3)-1 (1/3, 1/5, 1/10 ) Pilot Areas : Huong Khe, Ca River Basin Mai Hoa, Gianh River Basin Ha Noi China Laos Thailand Ca River 28,000km 2 Cambodia Viet Nam Ho Chi Minh Huong Khe Gianh River 4,640km 2 Mai Hoa 59
60 (3) / (mm) Ca River 190 mm/2days Ca River 203 mm/3days Huong Khe Huong Khe 361 mm/2days 443 mm/3days Mai Hoa Mai Hoa Gianh River 394 mm/2days Gianh River 437 mm/3days 363 mm/2days 420 mm/3days 2-days precipitation 3-days precipitation Used Data: (9 years) 60
61 (3)-3 3 1/3, 1/5, 1/10 Ca River Gianh River 1/3 156 mm 252 mm 1/5 177 mm 317 mm GSMaP 1/10 1/ mm 420 mm 1/ mm 633 mm Flood Alert 61
62 (4) GSMaP 3 ( ) Basin mean precipitation in Chao Phraya River Basin from July to September 518mm 424mm 527mm 710mm DATA/ GSMaP MVK(2008) GSMaP NRT( ) Average(Bangkok) ,000 1,200(mm) 62
63 (4)-2 GSMaP Average of 3 years ( ) July 164mm 128mm 147mm 146mm August 164mm 151mm 217mm 177mm September 190mm 145mm 162mm 166mm Total rainfall in 3 months 518mm 424mm 527mm 490mm 2011 (compared to 3 years average) 205mm (140%) 225mm (127%) 279mm (168%) 710mm (145%) % 9 68%
64 (4)-3 GSMaP ambon 1 Web
65 (4)-4 - <1/2>- Basin 1 hour 6 hours 1 day 2 days 3 days week month Click Basin Basin 65
66 (4)-5 - <2/2>- 66
67 (4)-6 - Tambon <1/2>- Tambon Tambon 1 hour 6 hours 1 day 2 days 3 days week month Tambon Click Tambon Click 67
68 (4)-7 - Tambon <2/2>- Tambon 68
69 (4)-8 Precipitation(mm/hr) mm/month 1/ mm/month 8/17 5:00 1 1/2 1/ mm/month 8/19 9:00 1 1/3 1/ mm/month 1/ mm/month 8/20 21:00 1 1/5 9/12 17:00 1 1/10 8 1/2 9 1/10 69
70
71 USACE MVD Memphis District New Orleans District FEMA BMA DWR RID DDPM TMD EIT AIT ESCAP JICA USACE MVD
72 Please contact to IFNet: GFAS: 72
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