2008 2008 20 Óscar Nicanor Duarte Frutos 61 Asociación Nacional Republicana Partido Colorado Blanca Ovelar Fernando Lugo Alianza Patriótica para el Cambio : APC Alfredo Stroessner 2008 61 2008 15 1 1954 35 Riquelme 1994 ; Mora 1998 ; 2000 1989 Lambert & Nickson eds. 1997 16
faltering Lambert 2000 : 379 1990 1989 Partido Liberal Radical Auténtico : PLRA 1993 100 4 11.3 11 2.5 90 12.5 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 29.2 66.7 41.3 12.5 33 47.5 56.3 26.3 46.3 PEN PPQ UNACE PLRA 1989 1993 1998 2003 2 2008 Nohlen 2005 : 433 PLRA UNACE Union Nacional de Ciudadanos Eticos PPQ Partido Patoria Querida PEN Partido Encuentro Nacional 2007 12 Luis Castiglioni Vol.25 No.2 17
2008 2008 18 1970 Leonidas Proaño Las Comunidades Eclesiales de Base : CEBs 30 APC APC PLRA Federico Franco APC 1996 1999 Lino Oviedo Pedro Fadul 35 30 20 18
3 2008 20 66 42.4 31.8 22.7 45 80 Partido Patoria Querida : PPQ PLRA Union Nacional de Ciudadanos Eticos : UNACE Movimiento Popular Tekojoja : MPT Partido Democrata Progresista : PDP Partido Pais Solidario : PPS APC 766,502 42.4 573,995 31.8 UNACE 411,034 22.7 PPQ 44,060 2.4 12,233 0.7 1,874,127 100.0 38,485 27,818 TSJE http://www.tsje.gov.py/ LAWR Vol.25 No.2 19
2003 2008 2003 2008 16 36 15 33 37 46 30 38 UNACE 7 16 9 20 10 13 15 19 PPQ 7 16 4 9 10 13 3 4 PLRA 12 27 14 31 21 26 27 34 PPS 2 4 1 2 2 3 MPT 1 2 1 1 PDP 1 2 1 1 ADB 1 1 PEN 1 2 2 3 45 100 45 100 80 100 80 100 TSJE http://www.tsje.gov.py/ APC ADB Alianza Departamental Boquerón 45 17 37 80 32 40 PLRA Abente Brun 2007 1989 8.6 10.5 2008 1.7 4.0 1.2 6.6 3.4 PPQ PPQ 15 10 20
MPC 8 21 MVC 7 9 APC PLRA 14 27 PLRA PLRA 9 21 PLRA 0 4 PLRA 5 2 PLRA 3 5 ABC Color, 8 de junio de 2008 APC 30 Movimiento Vanguardia Colorada : MVC UNACE Movimiento Progresista Colorado : MPC APC APC 4 2008 15 51 ao po i Vol.25 No.2 21
11 40 Dionicio Borda Bareiro Spaini IMF PDP Rafael Filizzola Alejandro Hamed Franco MPT Esperanza Martínez MPT 1990 Andrés Rodríguez 2008 Horacio Perrone 12 PLRA 14 27 PLRA PLRA Blas Llano Efraín Alegre PLRA 13 APC PLRA 22
14 2008 q w e r t q IMF LADN, 8 May 2008 Joseph Stiglitz IMF Vol.25 No.2 23
24 q w 15 e Itaipú 1970 1973 50 95 16 C 14 17 r 6000
30 t Mesa Coordinadora de Organizaciones Campesinas : MCNOC 18 10 16 brasiguayos 19 PLRA 2008 61 1989 Vol.25 No.2 25
26 2008 PLRA 1990 PLRA PLRA PLRA PLRA 1992 61 a 2008 s Lino Oviedo Luis María Argaña Raúl Cubas Valenzuela 1997 Abente Brun 1999 Lambert 2000 d 1989 1.9 2.4 1993 2.3 1998 3.1 2003 3.3 2008 f 2007 APC http://fernandolugo.blogspot.com/2007/12/quines-fernando-lugo.html 2008 31 g PLRA h http://www.abc.com.py/especiales/ elecciones2008/articulos.php?pid=404055 j 17 PLRA k A 20 A 15 A l
1993 2006 16.2 14.1 0 23 15 1 2 PPS Milda Rivarola PLRA Carlos Balmelli 3 PLRA Cándido Vera Bejarano Martín Heisecke 4 5 600 22 6 7 Yacyretá 98 8 http://www. arp.org.py/articulo.php?id=6787 2008 28 9 < > 2000 No.19 2008 21 < > Abente Brun, Diego 1999 People Power in Paraguay, Journal of Democracy, 10 3, Vol.25 No.2 27
pp.93-100. 2007 The Quality of Democracy in Small South American Countries : The Case of Paraguay, Helen Kellogg Institute Working Paper No.343. Lambert, Peter 2000 A Decade of Electoral Democracy : Continuity, Change and Crisis in Paraguay, Bulletin of Latin American Research, 19 3, pp.379-396. Lambert, Peter & Andrew Nickson eds. 1997 The Transition to Democracy in Paraguay, London : Macmillan. Mora, Frank O. 1998 From Dictatorship to Democracy : the US and Regime Change in Paraguay, 1954-1994, Bulletin of Latin American Research, 17 1, pp.59-79. Nohlen, Dieter 2005 Elections in the Americas : A Data Handbook, Oxford : Oxford UP. Riquelme, Marcial Antonio 1994 Toward a Weberian Characterization of the Stroessner Regime in Paraguay 1954-1989, European Review of Latin American and Caribbean Studies, 57, pp.29-51. Sondrol, Paul C. 2007 Paraguay : A Semi- Authoritarian Regime? Armed Forces & Society, 34, pp.46-66. Valenzuela, Arturo 1997 Paraguay : The Coup that Didn t Happen, Journal of Democracy, 8 1, pp.43-55. < > ABC Color La Nación Latinnews Daily Latin American Weekly Report LAWR 28