IEEJ:2007 3 1 1.1 1982 3 1 2 1992 1995 1995 1996 (ILS) ( )IMF 2000 20 20 17. (2006 6 )4 1 2006 6 1
IEEJ:2007 3 1960 1970 1989 1971 2003 ( )1 GDP 1-1 1977 9,300 1989 4 3,800 1995 5,800 1970 1970 3 1988 2 12,000 30 ( )OPEC (2006 ) 1-2 600 B/D 150 B/200 B/ 2
IEEJ:2007 3 300 B/ 400 / 1520 B/D 1995 3 450 420 B/D 15 1316 (1-1) 250 B/ 23 IL IH FZ3 9 ( ) OPEC AL AM AH IH 2001 IL IH 22 2003 27 2004 33 2005 49 1-3 3
IEEJ:2007 3 4 () 2000 B/D 10 20 B/ (1) (2) (3) 2005 45 2006 9
IEEJ:2007 3 5 1989 1 2 5 6 6 2 5 ( ) 1989 3 3 4 NIORDC
IEEJ:2007 3 6 2. 1978 12 NIOC 1979 1 3 2 11 1906. 1980 4(MKO) 2 1981 3 1982 1985 1989 8 ( ) 1988 1988 1989 5 2 3 4
IEEJ:2007 3 7 (
IEEJ:2007 3. 2-1 3 4 4 3 8 ( ) (1999 3 ) 5 5 8
IEEJ:2007 3 9. 1 5 3 1992 1993 1994 1993 2 1995 1996 ( ) 180 ( ) 1997 1998 2003 2000 6 ( ) 2001 2005 6
IEEJ:2007 3 10 2006 12 6 2 1 1979 1988 10 2 1 5 1989 1994 2 2000 3 (2005 ) 4 2005. NIOC 44 7 NIOC GDP. 1985 6 7
IEEJ:2007 3 11 8. 1989 1994 5 1 5 5 1 1 5 1 5 2 3 1 3. 1 5 81 P/ 81 NIOC 8
IEEJ:2007 3 57 1996 1 1998 2 1 2 2 1955 81 2001 BOT 2000 100 100 6 2002.1 5 1 5 81990 1991 10 2-2 2-6 1993 1 2-7 2-52 5 1994 3 1 1994 11 5 1993 5 7.2 1994 6 6.2%8.2 5 2 5 3 5 1995 1996 ILSA 12
IEEJ:2007 3 2,000 4,0005,000 2-71995 502-5 1995 219 1993 232 1994 227 2-6 1996 2-22-3 1998 155 99 2-2 2 5 1997 199 2 5 3.4.3 2000 6 ( ) 3 2000 1997 155 2005 450 3 2-2 2000 OSF 9 GDP 5 10 2-42002 1 2-7 10 10 2-5 30 40 2001 11 80 1990 60 2000 80 12 200 12 3 5 6 5.4 IMF 9 ( ) 2000 10 11 12 400 13
IEEJ:2007 3 132006 2 ) 2005 15 1989 2005 1989 1989 20 2-4GDP 1989 20 25 (2-2) 2005 6 13 IMF: The 2005 Article IV Consultation Report (IRAN)( 13) 14
IEEJ:2007 3 (CBIIMF () 1 1368 1372 89 3 21 94 3 20 GDP8 2 134 1378 95 3 21 00 3 20 GDP5 1 3 139 1383 00 3 21 03 20 6 CBI MEES2004 14 2-22-7 1368 1989 3 21 1990 3 20 1989 15
IEEJ:2007 3 16 ( )CBIIMF 2000 OSF ( )CBIIMF
IEEJ:2007 3 ( )TES CBI ( ()1990 1991 3 ( ) 1993 2002 1750 / 1997 2001 TES 17
IEEJ:2007 3 1 5 1989 LPG 81 B/D2003 123 B/D 33-13- 1989 12 B/D 2003 23 B/D 7.3 1997 8.9 2004 2005 10 2004 38 B/D 2005 43 B/D 2006 48 B/D 15 ( )3-1 () 1989 14 B/ 1992 18 / 2003 13 /1989 29 B/ 2.8 2003 43 B/ 1989 20 B/ 2003 21 B/ 15 2004 2005 2006 (3 21 3 20 ) 18
IEEJ:2007 3 90 16 IEA OECD 16 Diesel (Gas Oil) 19
IEEJ:2007 3 LPG 1989 70 / 5.12003 140 B/ 3-23-1 1997 2.3 1989 11 B/ 5.32003 23 /D 2005 25 / 1989 11 B/ 2003 13 /D1989 21 B/ 5.2 2003 42 B/1989 22 / 2003 43 B/ ( )3-1 (NGL 17 )1989 77 B/D 2003 149 /D 2 3-33-13-2 1993 1997 18 19 1997 15 1989 15% 27% 12 (3-1) 17 1989 NGL 4 B/ 2003 13 /D 18 19 20
IEEJ:2007 3 1989 14.7 2003 15.6 3-3 3-4 2004 2005 14 B/D18 B/D ( ) 0 1989 20 21 1980 15 15 2003 25 25 ( )3-2 ()20042006 IRNA( )MEES 20 21 21
IEEJ:2007 3 ( )3-1 IEA OECD NIORDC CBI 22
IEEJ:2007 3 3 (IMFJICA(94 Oxford IES ( )IMFJICA(94 )Oxford IES 3-53-3 871990 50 23
IEEJ:2007 3 1997 2004 1990 16 800 2004 7 2005 2006 1990 5 33 165 3-6 1989 100 2005 107 2005 200 2 2 ( )3-5 1898 100 24
IEEJ:2007 3. IMF 2003 117 (142 ) 45 54 IEA World Energy Outlook 20053-4 2003 138 LPG 86 104 2003 273 2-238% = ( )World Energy Outlook(2005)11 11.5. 3-5 22 ( 92)2003 33.7 /bbl2005 61.1 /bbl 1-3 2003 1,743 /L2005 3,398 /L 23 NIOC 4,500 (45 ) 1,100 (3-5) (LPG ) 24 3-7 22 23 24 25
IEEJ:2007 3 ( ) IMF CBI () ( ) :1989 1994 ( ),1995 2001 (ES )2002 1 5 1990 5060 2 5 1990 80 2000 2003 110 25 2004 145 2005 225 2003 230 2004 270 2005 450 2-2 25 IEA 104 (2003 )2003 2004 26
IEEJ:2007 3 27 80 40 IMF 2003 142 54 196 75 2005 354 26 WTO GDP ( ) 1989 1 5 27 ( ) 26 Djavad Salehi-Isfahani 19 17,18 1980 1990 0.1 27
IEEJ:2007 3 1908 AIOC BP AIOC 600 B/ 1979 130 B/D 200 B/ 1 5 400 B/1-2 28 4-1 (1996 )1,035 1958 1928 1964 1936 643 29 62 2005 30 260 B/D 70 31 510 1520 B/D 2 400 /D 4-2 152 10 32 1992 33 B/ 2005 74 B/40 B/ 20 2004 2 1,322 10 1996 33 28 41 29 3 743 72 30 4-1 3 31 1992 280 B/ 32 4-1 4 33 100 15 28
IEEJ:2007 3 ( )NIOC JICA 94 JETRO 29
IEEJ:2007 3 ( ) (1996 )O&G(4.12.20) 30
IEEJ:2007 3 28 m 3 2 70 28 8 m 3 20293 m 3 2004 34 2 20m 3 /bbl 35 ( ) (1996 ) (4-3) 1989 2003 11.9%12.2%5.3%19.2%12.2% 34 OPEC 35 2004 383 /D 31
IEEJ:2007 3 4-3 1989 2003 IEA 2005 6 NIOC 2004 36 2006 1 4 1945 NIOC 9 36 4 3 (2) 32
IEEJ:2007 3 1982 1951 NIOC 3 OPEC NIOC NIOC 1997 NIOC NIGC NPC NIORDC NIOC NISOCNISOC NICO NIOOC Pars Oil & Gas Co. Khazar Petroleum & ProductionNIOC NIOCNIOOC 36 4 NIORDC 2004 4 2005 3 3 NIOC 50 37 36 4-1 3 37 33
IEEJ:2007 3 34
IEEJ:2007 3 2005 9 NPC NIORDC 1945 NIORDC 1992 1997 NIOPDCNIOEC OPTC 9 NIORDC (9 ) LP( ) 38 2006 6 9 8 1 135 B/ 35 / 45 B/ 130 B/ 89 1,064 2 1 9 1 1 15,000km( 636 ) 4-1 87 38 35
IEEJ:2007 3 ( )NIORDC JCCP ( 7 12 16 36
IEEJ:2007 3 44 ( ) 1997 2002 BOT (1996 ) 2 1998 100 1,000 87 95 2 2004 39 1,000ppm0.1 10,000ppm1 20ppm50ppm 87 92 40 50ppm 50ppm 50ppm 1 1970 RF FCC 41 39 MTBE 40 41 RF 37
IEEJ:2007 3 1 BP 1912 40 /D 1988 / 1922 3 / 1980 1983 2 1960 2 1968 8 5 / 2 1975 10 B/22 / 1973 4 B/ 1978 (11 5 /)1980 28 6 B/ 20 1975 8 3 1993 17 B/D1997 25 2 / RF CCR 42 42 38
IEEJ:2007 3 ( )JCCP (12 16 )O.G.J(2004 12 )NIORDC (2000 )MEESArgusWorld Energy Outlook2005 () 136 /D 60 / 15 B/D 17 /D 14 B/ 23 / 3 43 44 43 44 5 13 80 39
IEEJ:2007 3 1970 45 2 3 8 B/D 8 / 3 136 / NGL 150 B/D RF (FCC) 46 RF RF 17 / 50ppm 2006 2 7 10 2015 100 B/D 124 2010 25 / 75 B/D 5-2 FCC 45 46 40
IEEJ:2007 3 5-2 510 28 / 18 B/ 17 / 15 B/D 47 24 ( )MEESNIORDC JCCP (16 )Argus (6 5 15 ) 2015 2015 2.2% 48 47 43 48 3-1 2.2 1989-2003 41
IEEJ:2007 3 5 10 5-3 2005 2015 15 B/D 19 B/D 2015 2005 43 25 B/D 18 B/D 5 (5 )2015 28 B/D 71 B/D 1010 69 B/D 112 B/D 18 B/D 52005 10 B/D 10 51 B/D 69 B/D ( )5-23-2 (5-2) 80 B/D 28 B/D 100 B/D 49 (36 /) 50 12 / 51 5 510 18 B/D 49 50 32 / (API)20 51 API2025 42
IEEJ:2007 3 3 5 2000 5.4 10 2005 43 B/D2006 48 /2000 150 B/DNGL13 /D 2 2000 22 B/D 2005 25 B/D 2000 3 B/ 2005 18 / 1989 2005 45 10 2006 1989 1 5 1 4 1 5 1 1992 50 2004 800 2000 2003 111 2005 225 50 10 9 136 B/D NGL 43
IEEJ:2007 3 44 150 B/D 15 27 10 2015 110 B/ 2030 B/ 80 B/D 5 2010 3 75 B/ 124 20 30 B/D 36 B/ 10 5 510 18 B/D
IEEJ:2007 3 report@tky.ieej.or.jp 45