Missing Barrels OIL MARKET INTELLIGENCE (OMI) , , , ,200 OECD ,900 OECD 10 3, , ,400 OECD

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Transcription:

Missing Barrels 2 1990 OIL MARKET INTELLIGENCE (OMI) 2002 2 58 4,800 13 1,600 45 3,200 45 3,200 OECD29 25 9,900 OECD 10 3,400 7 4,400 1 100 5,400 OECD 10 3,400 2001 12 52.3 2002 1 2 52 5-1-1. 2002 2 13 1,600 22.5 45 3,200 77.5 OECD29 25 9,900 44.5 OECD 10 3,400 17.7 7 4,400 12.7 1 100 1.7 5,400 ( 0.9 ) 58 4,800 100.0 % OIL MARKET INTELLIGENCE March 2002 1 13 2 1

OECD OMI OECD OECD 70 OECD 45 60 OECD OECD 2 3 IEA Floating Storage Oil in Transit OECD Miscellaneous to balance Miscellaneous to balance OECD OECD Miscellaneous to balance IEA IEA OIL MARKET REPORT 8 July 1997 2 7,256 B/D 7,417 160.5 B/D 160.5 B/D OECD 61.1 B/D 8.2 B/D 11 80.2 B/D Other Other non-oecd stock changes and miscellaneous-to-balance OECD IEA 1997 2 160.5 B/D 80 B/D IEA 2

OECD OECD OECD 1 1997 2 80.2 B/D OECD 5-1-2. 1997 2 (100 B/D) 72.56 74.17 OPEC 44.49 OPEC NGLs 2.84 OPEC 26.84 1.61 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT 8 July 1997 5-1-3. 1997 1,000B/D 1605 OECD 611 82 110 802 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT 8 July 1997 Department of Energy Energy Information Agency DOE EIA Unaccounted for crude 3

1998 2000 11 Unaccounted for crude 16.5 B/D 37.7 B/D 1998 1999 1998 1998 4 7 2 OPEC OPEC 1998 10 1999 2 10 OPEC OPEC IEA 1998 1999 OPEC OPEC IEA OECD Miscellaneous to balance 1998 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT 9 February 1999 1998 7,530 B/D 7,370 1998 160 B/D 1998 OECD 40 B/D 160 B/D OECD 40 B/D 120 B/D 120 B/D IEA Miscellaneous to Balance 4

5-2-1. 1998 Miscellaneous to Balance 100 B/D 98 1Q 98 Q 98 Q 98 Q 1998 74.5 72.1 73.2 74.8 73.7 76.5 75.6 74.1 74.9 75.3 2.0 3.5 0.9 0.1 1.6 OECD 0.1 1.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 M B 1.9 1.7 0.5 0.6 1.2 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT 9 February 1999 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT Miscellaneous to Balance OECD M B Miscellaneous to Balance 1998 Miscellaneous to Balance 190 B/D 2 170 B/D 3 50 B/D 4 60 B/D 1 2 1998 120 B/D 4 4,000 Miscellaneous to Balance IEA Miscellaneous to Balance 1998 Miscellaneous to Balance 1998 Miscellaneous to Balance IEA OMR 9 Feb.1999 OECD 5

IEA IEA OMR 8 December 1999 Miscellaneous to Balance 1998 IEA 7,360 B/D 2001 9 7,570 B/D 2001 9 IEA 6 2002 2 IEA OECD OPEC OECD IEA OPEC OPEC OPEC OPEC Annual Statitical Bulletin OPEC Table Crude oil Production in OPEC Members Direct communications to the Secretariat various national and secondary sources 2 1998 4 7 2 6

OPEC 2 1998 2 2 OPEC 1999 3 OPEC OPEC OPEC 1999 OECD 1998 1999 OECD OECD 50 80 B/D 2 2,000 OECD 5-2-2. 1999 Miscellaneous to Balance 100 B/D 99 1Q 99 Q 99 Q 99 Q 1999 76.3 73.2 74.5 76.9 75.2 75.2 73.1 73.5 74.2 74.0 1.1 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.1 OECD 0.7 0.4 0.3 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 M B 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT 11 February 2000 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT Miscellaneous to Balance OECD M B Miscellaneous to Balance 7

OECD OECD 1999 OECD 1999 00 1Q 5-2-3. 2000 Miscellaneous to Balance 00 Q 00 Q 100 B/D 00 Q 2000 75.5 73.9 75.9 76.8 75.5 75.2 76.2 77.1 78.2 76.7 0.3 2.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 OECD 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 M B 0.1 1.3 0.8 2.0 1.1 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT 12 February 2001 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT Miscellaneous to Balance OECD M B Miscellaneous to Balance 8

2000 30 OPEC 4 3 2000 1999 2000 9 37 6 2 3 2 3 2000 2000 2 Miscellaneous to Balance 2000 1 10 / 2 130 / 3 80 / 4 200 / 110 B/D 30 2000 30 1 4 IEA 1998 9

01 1Q 5-2-4. 2001 Miscellaneous to Balance 01 Q 01 Q 100 B/D 01 Q 2001 76.9 75.2 75.6 76.3 76.0 77.8 76.1 77.2 76.8 77.0 0.9 0.9 1.6 0.5 1.0 OECD 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 M B 0.8 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT 8 February 2002 IEA OIL MARKET REPORT Miscellaneous to Balance OECD M B Miscellaneous to Balance 2000 2001 2001 2 OPEC 3 2001 9 2001 7,690 B/D 7,600 B/D 2001 1 29.42 12 19.40, Miscellaneous to Balance 2001 1 80 B/D 2 60 B/D 3 100 B/D 4 60 B/D 70 B/D 30 20 1 10 2001 2001 1 2 3 2 3 10

60 B/D 100 B/D 3 OPEC 5-3. 1998 IEA Pete Domenici 1998 General Accounting Office GAO IEA IEA 2 IEA 1999 6 7 GAO IEA 1998 OECD 1998 120 B/D 1998 7,530 B/D 1.6 0.8 3 11

OECD 2,710 B/D 1998 30 420 B/D 430 IEA IEA OECD OECD IEA IEA IEA 4 IEA 1973 1998 26 24 1978 1984 2 1973 1974 1976 130 B/D 160 B/D 130 B/D 1998 120 B/D 1998 info-ieej@tky.ieej.or.jp 4 IEA 1998 2002 2 IEA 170 B/D 12