気象研究所技術報告第 69 号 噴火準備期における伊豆大島の相対精密重力測定

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1.4 噴火準備期における伊豆大島の相対精密重力測定 53-53-

Papers in Meteorology and Geophysics Vol. 61, 1 11, September 2010 2010 doi:10.2467/mripapers.61.1 Relative Precise Gravity Survey at Izu-Oshima Volcano in the Eruption Preparation Period 1 Relative Precise Gravity Survey at Izu-Oshima Volcano in the Eruption Preparation Period by Akimichi Takagi 1*, Keiichi Fukui 1, Hitoshi Yamasato 1, Kenji Fujiwara 2** and Akimi Kajiya 3** 1. Seismology and Volcanology Research Department, Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan 2. Osaka District Meteorological Observatory, Osaka, Japan 3. Oshima Weather Station, Oshima, Tokyo, Japan *Present afliation: Earthquake and Disaster-Reduction Research Division, Research and Development Bureau, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Tokyo, Japan **Present afliation: Volcanological Division, Seismological and Volcanological Department, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan (Received August 7, 2009; Accepted March 5, 2010; Published September 2, 2010) Abstract In order to investigate the magma accumulation process of Izu-Oshima Volcano in the eruption preparation period, we conducted 14 relative microgravity surveys from 2004 to 2009. The gravity changes tend to decrease near the northern margin of the summit caldera, and rates of negative gravity changes reached as much as 0.015 mgal/year. Assuming the Mogi model, we estimated the pressure increase at a depth of 3.65 km with increasing volume of 7.6 10 6 m 3 /year, which could account for the observed data. However, the uplift rate calculated with the estimated increasing volume would be ve times as large as the observed uplift rate by the GPS network, so these estimated parameters cannot explain both gravity changes and uplift changes simultaneously. Izu-Oshima Island could be a volcano having an extraordinary magma accumulation system that cannot be expressed as a simple physical model. More accurate microgravity survey with the uplift observation should be conducted in the future to clarify the magma accumulation system of this complicated volcano. 1 1998; 2001; Jentzsch et al., 2001; 2003; Jousset et al., 2003; Carbone et al., Corresponding author: Akimichi Takagi Earthquake and Disaster-Reduction Research Division, Research and Development Bureau, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Japan E-mail: atakagi@mext.go.jp 2007 20 30 2010 by the Japan Meteorological Agency / Meteorological Research Institute 54

2 A. Takagi et al. Vol. 61 1991 1986 2008 2004 5 14 2 2.1 GSI ERI 1986 1988 μgal 100 μgal 50 μgal 1988 JMAMRI GPS GPS Fig. 1 FGS GPS 5 Table 1 GPS 8 o 51 38 Table 1986 1992 FGS FGS FGS Fig. 1 Distribution of the gravity stations on Izu-Oshima Island. The large open circle denotes a reference station of the microgravity survey. This station is named FGS and is a rst-order gravity station installed by the Geographical Survey Institute of Japan (GSI). Solid circles denote bench marks and GPS-based control stations (GSI). Solid squares indicate bench marks installed by the Earthquake Research Institute, Tokyo University (ERI). Solid triangles denote GPS stations installed by the Meteorological Research Institute and the Japan Meteorological Agency (MRI JMA). Topographical contour interval is 100 m. 2.2 LaCoste & Romberg D-type #109D109Scintrex CG-3M #454CG3 Scintrex CG5 #033 CG5 3 2008 2 2 D109 19851988 1988CG3 CG5 D109 1 0.1 μgal 1988 FGS 175.0 2.3 CG3 CG5 1 60 3 30 55

2010 Relative Precise Gravity Survey at Izu-Oshima Volcano in the Eruption Preparation Period 3 Table 1 Description of gravity stations. Stations with an asterisk are currently unused. Site Latitude Longitude Altitude (deg min sec) (deg min sec) (m) Note GSI-FGS 34 45 0.0 139 21 48.0 76.0 GSI-GOJINKACHAYA* 34 44 16.3 139 22 48.3 557 GSI-10210 34 47 1.0 139 23 31.0 80.2 GSI-10212 34 47 8.0 139 24 40.8 24.7 GSI-10214* 34 45 47.0 139 26 1.0 78.6 GSI-10217 34 44 26.1 139 26 4.4 348.7 GSI-10220 34 42 32.3 139 26 11.3 321.7 GSI-10224* 34 41 11.3 139 26 8.4 69.3 GSI-10226 34 41 5.5 139 24 14.5 29.5 GSI-10228* 34 42 2.1 139 22 39.4 58.7 GSI-10231* 34 43 48.2 139 21 14.5 13.5 GSI-10233 34 45 28.2 139 21 28.0 40.9 GSI-93051 34 47 4.2 139 22 52.6 97.4 GSI-93055 34 41 12.0 139 26 0.5 75.9 GSI-960594 34 45 41.2 139 26 2.5 100.8 GSI-960595 34 44 15.4 139 21 30.9 46.9 ERI-ONSENHOTEL 34 45 12.8 139 24 10.5 498.4 ERI-O1003 34 45 27.5 139 23 39.3 440.5 ERI-O1004 34 45 37.0 139 23 0.0 300.2 ERI-MK* 34 43 44.4 139 23 27.5 672.0 MRI-G01 34 46 54.0 139 21 18.2 19 MRI-G01o* 34 46 42.9 139 21 16.0 25 MRI-G02 34 46 28.5 139 24 9.0 224 MRI-G02o* 34 46 9.9 139 24 15.5 270 MRI-G03 34 45 58.7 139 22 26.9 188 MRI-G04 34 44 50.1 139 26 0.0 328 MRI-G05 34 44 39.4 139 24 19.6 481 MRI-G05o* 34 44 39.8 139 24 19.1 480 MRI-G07 34 44 16.7 139 22 49.7 558 MRI-G09 34 44 21.7 139 25 12.7 439 MRI-G09o* 34 44 22.6 139 25 10.0 437 MRI-G10 34 44 7.6 139 24 20.4 535 MRI-G11 34 43 15.4 139 25 40.2 403 MRI-G12 34 43 15.0 139 24 25.0 686 MRI-G12o* 34 43 19.3 139 24 28.3 662 MRI-G13 34 42 27.2 139 22 52.5 180 MRI-G14 34 42 45.3 139 24 46.4 615 MRI-G14o* 34 42 27.9 139 25 6.6 415 MRI-G15 34 42 7.9 139 22 11.9 32 MRI-G16 34 42 8.3 139 26 35.2 37 MRI-G17 34 41 12.0 139 25 26.7 42 MRI-G18 34 44 46.5 139 23 30.8 555 MRI-G19 34 44 10.1 139 23 12.7 553 MRI-G19o* 34 44 11.9 139 23 10.8 548 MRI-G20 34 43 41.0 139 23 24.8 675 MRI-G21 34 43 31.2 139 23 27.9 703 MRI-G22 34 43 27.6 139 23 45.1 702 MRI-G23 34 43 41.7 139 23 57.4 733 MRI-G24 34 44 21.9 139 23 46.5 531 MRI-G25 34 44 18.5 139 22 52.1 557 MRI-G26 34 47 21.9 139 23 28.8 3.3 FGS FGS 208 G14 GPS 2007 7 G14 FGS 207 207 19881988 1986 O1004O1003ONSENHOTEL 2006 7 GOJINKACHAYA 2008 11 G07 14 Table 2 56 56

4 A. Takagi et al. Vol. 61 Table 2 History of microgravity surveys. Number of Date Route Turning point Instrument Observer stations 2004/3/30 Southern coast 11 10220 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2004/3/31 Inland 12 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2004/4/1 Northern coast 9 10220 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2004/7/27 Southern coast 16 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fujiwara, T.Yamamoto 2004/7/28 Circuit along the coast 10 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fujiwara, T.Yamamoto 2004/11/9 Inland 13 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fujiwara 2004/11/10 Southern coast 14 G04 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fujiwara 2004/11/11 Northern coast 7 G04 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fujiwara 2005/3/9 Northern coast 8 G09 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fujiwara 2005/3/10 Inland 9 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fujiwara 2005/3/11 Southern coast 4 G16 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fujiwara 2005/10/25 Inland 8 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2005/10/26 Southern coast 9 G11 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2005/10/27 Northern coast 10 G11 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2006/7/11 Northern coast 5 G04 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato, H.Kuroki 2006/7/12 Southern coast 10 G04 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato, H.Kuroki 2006/7/13 Climbing 11 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato, H.Kuroki 2006/7/14 Caldera area 6 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato 2007/3/16 Northern coast 7 960594 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2007/3/19 Southern coast 13 960594 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, T.Sakai 2007/3/22 Caldera area 7 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, T.Sakai 2007/7/23 Climbing 6 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, S.Ando 2007/7/24 Southern coast 12 G14 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, S.Ando 2007/7/25 Caldera area 8 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, S.Ando 2007/7/26 Northern coast 10 G14 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, S.Ando 2007/12/11 Southern coast 7 G14 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2007/12/16 Northern coast 11 G14 CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2007/12/19 Climbing 7 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2008/2/24 Southern coast 9 G14 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato 2008/2/25 Northern coast 7 G14 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato 2008/2/26 Climbing 8 GOJINKACHAYA CG3 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato 2008/7/25 Caldera area 7 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato 2008/7/26 Southern coast 8 G14 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato 2008/7/27 Northern coast 8 G14 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato 2008/7/28 Climbing 8 GOJINKACHAYA D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, H.Yamasato 2008/11/13 Southern coast 8 G14 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2008/11/14 Caldera area 8 G07 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2008/11/15 Northern coast 10 G14 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2008/11/16 Climbing 9 G07 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, K.Fukui 2009/2/20 Special round trips 3 G01 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, S.Ando 2009/2/21 Mt.Mihara 6 G07 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, S.Ando 2009/2/22 Caldera area 8 G07 CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, S.Ando 2009/2/23 Northern coast 6 G14 D109, CG5 A.Takagi, S.Ando 2009/2/24 Inland 8 G07 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, K.Fukui, S.Ando 2009/2/26 Climbing 6 G14 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, K.Fukui, S.Ando 2009/6/21 Mt.Mihara 7 G07 D109, CG3, CG5 A.Takagi, K.Fukui, T.Shimbori 2009/6/22 Southern coast 8 G14 D109, CG3 A.Takagi, K.Fukui, T.Shimbori 2009/6/23 Northern coast 8 G14 D109, CG5 A.Takagi, K.Fukui, T.Shimbori 2009/6/26 Caldera area 9 G07 D109, CG5 A.Takagi, K.Fukui, T.Shimbori 57 57

2010 Relative Precise Gravity Survey at Izu-Oshima Volcano in the Eruption Preparation Period 5 Fig. 2 Measuring microgravity with gravity meters at G22 on Mt. Miharayama, on January 14, 2006. 4 10 2009 10 FGS 960595 2008 11 FGS 960595 Fig. 2 3 2 0.3086 mgal/m 1013.25hPa 0.0003mgal/hPa GOTIC2Matsumoto et al., 2001 1066A 1983 Green Tamura 1982 50 m 1990 199019871989 13 10 km 0.2 m 2 /sec FGS R-2 0.75 2 FGS Fig. 3 2 42 Fig. 3 60 3 0.020.2 mgal 0.4 mgal G18G24G25 93055G15G17 Fig. 3 3 5 22 18 Fig. 4 4 G05G22G24 G25 1 σ 5 ONSENHOTELO1003O1004 G01o93055 Table 3 4 2008 58 58

6 A. Takagi et al. Vol. 61 Fig. 3 Gravity changes of all stations referenced to FGS. 59 59

2010 Relative Precise Gravity Survey at Izu-Oshima Volcano in the Eruption Preparation Period 7 Fig. 4 Averaged gravity change rates with Std. Error (1σ) at the major stations except stations on and around Mt. Miharayama, referenced to FGS. 1977Mogi, 1958 g 4 1 f 2 g 0 3 g 1 4 g 2 G= 6.67 10-11 m 3 kg -1 s -2 60 60

8 A. Takagi et al. Vol. 61 Table 3 Averaged gravity change rates with Std. Error (1σ) at the major stations except stations on and around Mt. Miharayama, referenced to FGS. Site Initial survey Last survey Total number of measurements Averaged gravity changes with Std. Error (1) [mgal/year] GSI-FGS 2004/3/31 2009/ 6/26 96 0.0000 GSI-GOJINKACHAYA 2004/3/31 2008/ 7/28 11-0.0057 0.0117 GSI-93051 2005/3/9 2009/ 6/23 7-0.0021 0.0041 GSI-93055 2005/10/26 2009/ 2/26 7 0.0097 0.0073 GSI-960594 2004/11/11 2009/ 6/23 11-0.0019 0.0029 GSI-960595 2005/10/26 2009/ 6/26 14-0.0004 0.0035 ERI-ONSENHOTEL 2005/10/25 2009/ 6/21 10-0.0152 0.0055 ERI-O1003 2004/7/27 2009/ 6/21 7-0.0086 0.0061 ERI-O1004 2004/7/27 2009/ 2/24 5-0.0067 0.0026 MRI-G01o 2004/11/11 2009/ 2/20 5 0.0053 0.0034 MRI-G02 2005/10/27 2008/11/15 5-0.0150 0.0078 MRI-G03 2004/11/9 2009/ 6/21 8-0.0061 0.0043 MRI-G04 2004/11/10 2009/ 2/22 8-0.0050 0.0059 MRI-G11 2004/11/10 2009/ 6/23 11-0.0101 0.0062 MRI-G15 2005/3/11 2009/ 2/26 9-0.0004 0.0074 MRI-G16 2005/3/11 2009/ 6/23 7 0.0105 0.0080 MRI-G17 2005/3/11 2009/ 2/26 9 0.0056 0.0082 MRI-G18 2004/7/27 2009/ 6/21 9-0.0128 0.0071 MRI-G26 2004/11/11 2009/ 6/23 9 0.0021 0.0035 C f mgal/m 0 D V r 1977 3V Cf f 4 D 2 2 3 2 1 ( r D ) / D g GV ( ) 0 0 ( r 2 D 2 ) 3 / 2 2 GV ( 2) D g 3 1 ( r 2 D 2 ) 3/ 2 GV D g 2 ( r 2 D 2 ) 3 / 4 2 g g f g g g 0 1 2 C V f D 3 GV 0 2 2 3 2 4 ( r D ) / 5 1 f 2 g 18 5 D V C f 0.3086 mgal/m 0 2.67 10 3 kg/m 3 0.05 km 0.1 10 6 m 3 /year 2003 34.7523 N139.4078 EONSENHOTEL 150 m 450 m 3.65 km 7.6 10 6 m 3 /year 0.0042 mgal/year Fig. 5 1 1 8 km Fig. 6 FGS Fig. 7 18 4 G05G22G24G25 61 61

2010 Relative Precise Gravity Survey at Izu-Oshima Volcano in the Eruption Preparation Period 9 Fig. 5 Estimated pressure source based on the Mogi model using gravity change rates referenced to FGS. An asterisk denotes an estimated source at a depth of 3.65 km. The shadowed and hatched area indicates the error distribution of the estimated source with 1σ standard deviation. 5 Fig. 6 Estimated pressure source based on the Mogi model using gravity change rates referenced to FGS. An asterisk denotes an estimated source at a depth of 3.65 km. Colored circles indicate observed gravity change rates according to the color palette. Color distribution on the land surface represents the calculated gravity change rate with estimated source parameters. 2008 5 km 2 10 6 m 3 /year 1 km 7.6 10 6 m 3 /year 4 5 1 2 1 4 6 f ( g g g ) 0 1 2 3C V 3C f G V f 0 4 4G 4. 13 6 4 FGS GPS ONSENHOTEL 0 Fig. 7 Observed gravity change rates (open symbols) and calculated gravity change rates with estimated source parameters (solid symbols) including the four stations on and around Mt. Miharayama that were not used for source estimation. 2007 3 GPS FGS ONSENHOTEL Fig. 8 2 0.021 m/year ONSENHOTEL 62 62

10 A. Takagi et al. Vol. 61 Fig. 8 Temporal altitude change at ONSENHOTEL station referenced to FGS by GPS observation. Averaged altitude change rate is 0.021 m/year. 0.015 mgal/year 1986 0.103 m/year GPS 5 5 V 1/5 75 Cf D g 3 G V 0 2 2 3 2 7 4 ( r D ) / 1 2 V 1/5 g 0 = 2.67 10 3 kg/m 3 41 6V 1/5 411 7 g 0 11 0 11 4.5 10 10 kg/year 120,000 ton/day 2000 Kazahaya et al., 2004 1986 1972 1986 1979 1985 GOJINKACHAYA 0.12 mgal 6 2004 2009 14 0.015 mgal/year 3.65 km 7.6 10 6 m 3 /year GPS 5 1986 2 63 63

2010 Relative Precise Gravity Survey at Izu-Oshima Volcano in the Eruption Preparation Period 11 Carbone, D., G. Currenti and C. Del Negro, 2007: Elastic model for the gravity and elevation changes before the 2001 eruption of Etna volcano, Bull Volcanol, 69, 553-562., 2003:,, 35., 2001: 2000,, 110, 2, 217-225., 1977:,, 52, 301-309., 1972: II,, 18, 104-111. Jentzsch, G., R. Punongbayan, U. Schreiber, G. Seeber, C. Volksen and A. Weise, 2001: Mayon volcano, Philippines: change of monitoring strategy after microgravity and GPS measurements from 1992 to 1996, J. Volcano. Geotherm. Res., 109, 219-234. Jousset, P., H. Mori and H. Okada, 2003: Elastic models for the magma intrusion associated with the 2000 eruption of Usu Volcano, Hokkaido, Japan, J. Volcano. Geotherm. Res., 125, 81-106., 1991:,, 36, 297-310. Kazahaya, K., H. Shinohara, K. Uto, M. Odai, Y. Nakahori, H. Mori, H. Iino, M. Miyashita and J. Hirabayashi, 2004: Gigantic SO 2 emission from Miyakejima volcano, Japan, caused by caldera collapse, Geology, 32, 5, 425-428., 1988: 1985 11 1988 5,, 33, 291-303., 1986: 1985 11,, 37, 271-280. Matsumoto, K., T. Sato, T. Takanezawa and M. Ooe, 2001: GOTIC2: a program for computation of oceanic tidal loading effect, Jour. Geod. Soc. Jpn., 47, 243-248. Mogi, K., 1958: Relations between the eruptions of various volcanoes and the deformations of the ground surfaces around them, Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst., Univ. Tokyo, 36, 99-134., 1983: Green,, 1983, 2, 189., 1988: 1986,, 63, 2, 131-144., 2003: :,, 66, 101-110., 2008: GPS, 2008, V151-024. Tamura, Y., 1982: A computer program for calculating the tidegenerating force, Publ. Int. Latit. Obs. Mizusawa, 16, 1-20., 1990:,, 56., 1998:,, 41B-1, 153-160. 2004 2009 14 0.015 mgal/year 7.6 10 6 m 3 /year 3.65 km GPS 5 * ** 64 64