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1 SEISMIC HAZARD ESTIMATION BASED ON ACTIVE FAULT DATA AND HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE DATA By Hiroyuki KAMEDA and Toshihiko OKUMURA A method is presented for using historical earthquake data and active fault data jointly for seismic hazard estimation. Japan and its vicinity are divided into 22 regions, and then earthquake occurrence rates are estimated for each region on the basis of information combined from historical earthquakes and active faults. On the basis of simulation results, ground acceleration, iso-seismal maps are developed in terms of peak peak ground velocity, and ground motion duration.
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5 349X M/(Q+30)0.959 z1do(m) 330 d<do(m) 2.65X10M/(d+30). s9j, dz do(m) 2.52X1n0.144M d<qn(m 1.06X10 242M-30, M6.O 0 M< X MX (d+30)0.572.dza(m) X1036M ad(m) Td=7.5 P/Ao
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8 1) Kawasumi, H ; Measures of Earthquake Danger and Expectancy of Maximum Intensity Throughout Japan as Inferred from the Seismic Activity, Bull. Earth. Res. Inst., Univ. of Tokyo, Vol. 29, i pp , ) Cornell, C. A.: Engineering Seismic Risk Analysis, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., Vol. 58, No. 5, pp , ) Der-Kiureghian, A, and Ang, A. HS.: A Fault Rupture Model for Seismic Risk Analysis, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., Vol. 67, No. 4, pp , ) Blume, J. A. and Kiremidjian, A. S.: Probabilistic Procedures for Peak Ground Motions, Journal of the Structural Division, ASCE, No, ST 11, pp , ) Katayama, T.: Seismic Risk Analysis in Terms of Acceleration Response Spectra, Proc. 2nd U. S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, pp , ) Geller, R. J.: Scaling Relations for Earthquake Source Parameters and Magnitudes, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., Vol. 66, No. 5, pp , ) Wesnousky, S. G., Scholz, C. H. and Shimazaki, K. Deformation of an Island Arc: Rates of Moment Release and Crustal Shortning in Intraplate from Seismicity Japan Determined and Quaternary Fault Data, Journal of Geophysical Research., Vol. 87, No. B 8, pp , ) Omote, S., Ohsaki, Y., Kakimi, T. and Matsuda, T. Japanese Practice for Estimating the Expected Maximum Earthquake Force at a Nuclear Power Plant Site, Bull. New Zealand Nat. Soc, for Earthquake Eng., Vol. 13, No. l, March, ) Kameda, H., Sugito, M, and Goto, H.: Microzonation and Simulation of Spatially Correlated Earthquake Motions, 3rd International Earthquake Microzonation
9 Conference, Vol. 3, pp , ) Kameda, H. and Kohno, K.: Effect of Ground Motion Duration on Seismic Design Load for Civil Engineering Structures-Developement of Equivalent Ground Acceleration (EQA)-, Memoirs of Faculty of Engineering, Kyoto University, Vol. 45, Part 2, pp , April, ) Vanmarcke, E. H. and Lai, Shie-Sheng P.: Strong Motion Duration and rms Amplitude of Earthquake Records, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. Vol. 70, No. 4, pp , ) Wesnousky, S. C., Scholz, C. H., Shimazaki, K. and Matsuda, T.: Earthquake Frequency Distribution and the Mechanics of Faulting, J. Geophys. Res. 88, pp
Key Words: probabilisic scenario earthquake, active fault data, Great Hanshin earthquake, low frequency-high impact earthquake motion, seismic hazard map 3) Cornell, C. A.: Engineering Seismic
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1) e-mailsmidorik@enveng.titech.ac.jp 2) e-mailootake@ctie.co.jp (M) M M M 1)4) 0.20.3( 0.40.7) 5) 6),7) 7)10) 6) 9) -59- 1968 2001 33 11) (M w ) 5.5 8.3 km 100km M w 3335 1980 SN 3) 0.2 0.3310Hz 0.15
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