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Transcription:

, 2001, 1, 69-80. 1) 2 Henslin, 1967,1996 Vyse1997 1 Gilovich 1985 hot hand streak shooting Gilovich hot hand hot hand streak shooting

, 2001, 1, 69-80. Gilovich Gilovich Figure1 hot hand Langer1975 illusion of control HillWilliamson1998 luck

, 2001, 1, 69-80. 1. 2. 3. 1 1 Web Web 1998 10 12 45 10 G 20 2 JRA 7 2 2 1 2 1 JRA JRA 3 4 5 1 : A B

, 2001, 1, 69-80. E-mail 7.65 SD=5.19 32 12 : 25 2 5 5 13 : 7 KJ 1 15 62 228 290 2 2

, 2001, 1, 69-80. Table1Table2 Figure2 Figure3 1 7 2 74 18 3 6 6 1 1 4 8 8 1 68 7 1 11 8 4 5 5 1 3 1 4 12 2 12 3

, 2001, 1, 69-80.

, 2001, 1, 69-80. 1 2 0.5 Figure4 Figure4 19vs 13 3 Figure4 8 5 39.3 12.2 5.5 46.2 11.5 36.7 5.0 46.4 10.2 38.4 7.8 45.6 16.7 30.0 4.1 30.6 12.2 53.1 5.9 50.6 11.3 32.2 2.0 60.0 22.0 16.0 6.2 50.8 9.5 33.5 8.1 41.9 9.7 40.3

, 2001, 1, 69-80. 70 16 ; 2 75.0 18 ; 1 7 Figure5

, 2001, 1, 69-80. Figure5 self-serving bias Lau& Russell1980

, 2001, 1, 69-80.,1994 7

, 2001, 1, 69-80. Gilovich, T., Vallone, R.& Tversky, A. 1985The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences. Cognitive Psychology, 17, 295-314. Henslin, J. M. 1967Craps and magic. American Journal of Sociology, 7 3, 316-330. Hill, E., & Williamson, J. 1998Choose six numbers, any numbers. Psychologist: Bulletin of the British Psychological Society, 11, 1, 17-21. 1994, 37, 3, 337-356. Lau, R. R., & Russell, D. 1980Attributions in the sports pages. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 39, 29-38. Langer, E. 1975The illusion of control. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 32, 2, 311-328. 1996 S. A. 1999 Vyse, S.A. 1997Believing in magic: The psychology of superstition. Oxford University Press. 1 40 1999 How do gamblers judge the tsuki, the state of luck in betting games? The analysis of their comments Koushi MURAKAMIGraduate School of Human Sciences Osaka University)