21 21. 1. [1873 1948] 2.1884 1973 3. [1931 2001] 4. ( 2000 10 ) 5.. 1.WTO FTA 2.---- 3.().---- 1.---- 2. 3. 4. ( ) ---( 1945 10 13 ) 20 21 4 21 21 China s New Political Economy: the Giant awakes 1994 10 21 yabuki susumu 1
. 1. [1873 1948] The Russo-Japanese Conflicts (2002 ) (1948 5 16 720-21 ) 1941 12 28 yabuki susumu 2
1941 12 28 608 2.1884 1973 1959 6 (1959 6 4 14 424 8 ) LT (MT) ---( 1945 10 13 ) yabuki susumu 3
[1965 10 6 ] 3. [1931 2001] [1931 2001] 20 1975 1970 ( (1977 ) ( ) yabuki susumu 4
() (4) (2000 10 ) 4 3 ( 52 2 2001 2 ) EU yabuki susumu 5
5. East Asian Community 1923 1997 ( Michio Morishima, Collaborative Development in Northeast Asia, Macmillan, London, 2000 2001 10 ) 3 (1) (2) (3) EU EU ( ) ( ) yabuki susumu 6
. 1.WTO FTA 1-1. WTO WTO 1 1-2. WTO 24 1 (Free Trade Agreement, FTA) FTA( ) 3 10 FTA FTA WTO 3 24 FTA 1-3. FTA FTA WTO EU FTA open regionalism FTA ( ) open regional cooperation WTO WTO ( 19 ) 1-4. FTA yabuki susumu 7
FTA ASEAN FTA WTO 1-5. FTA EU FTAA ASEAN FTA FTA EU== FTA FTA FTA FTA FTA WTO FTA ( 2002 ) 2. 1. 2002 47.3 2002 IMF: Direction of Trade Statistics Database July,2003 2002 2002 EU 2 4,100 EU 5,560 NAFTA 1 0950 3 EU 61.0 NAFTA 56.047.3EU 50 4 424 5 10 15 EU EU 2. 1998 42 yabuki susumu 8
1998 1998 IMF: Direction of Trade Statistics Database January,2000 1998 2002 4 EU 60.3 61.0 0.7 NAFTA 51.7 56.0 4.3 42.0 47.3 4.7 3. (). ---- 1. 1-1.(1)(2) yabuki susumu 9
1-2. GNP 1985 2000 8.7% 22 8.70.78 6.5% 6.5 4.3 7.7 11.5 1-3. ( 2003 1 1 ) 1-4. ( 2003 9 1 ) 1-5. 1990 2001 100 92 143 189 380 31110 276 21 1.8 0.7 9 5 2 撑 2004 1 12 ) 1-6. circular economy (2003 7 31 ) GDP 极 确 GDP 1995 达 540 GDP 8 达 1999 18 22 扭 GDP GDP 构 确 GDP 确 yabuki susumu 10
确 GDP GDP 2004 2 6 ). ----- e-mail: tetsuo.suwa@gakushuin.ac.jp. http://homepage3.nifty.com/gentree/ yabuki susumu 11
[ ] 1992 1 3 4 1 () 1 1993 4. 1. 3 1990 2004 5 EU 1999 10 EU 38 yabuki susumu 12
3 (2001 10 101 ) 4 4 (?) ( 2004 3 ) 3 2. 1938 1989 ----( 2004 3 ) 1990 yabuki susumu 13
38 1999 ( []1978 ) (1 ) ( 7 )( ) ( ) yabuki susumu 14
( 39 ) ( 64)( 25)( 3) (405 ) 2 ( yabuki susumu 15
() ( ) ( 14 15 18 19 24 ) 2 (27 ) (30 ) 3 yabuki susumu 16
( ) 15 () (31 32 33 ) ( ) () ( ) yabuki susumu 17
[] ---( 1945 10 13 13 ) yabuki susumu 18
( 20 10 13 ) [] (1)--- 2002 (2a) 14 (2b)--- 13 1970 54-56 ( 1945 10 13 ) (3)1977 (4) 52 2 2001 2 (5a)Michio Morishima, Collaborative Development in Northeast Asia, Macmillan, London, 2000 (5b) 2001 10 (6) APEC 2 2002 7 (7)2003 12 (8)2004 3 (9) 10 2003 5 (10) 2004 3 (11) 2004 3 yabuki susumu 19