冷戦後の戦略環境変化とクリントン政権

Size: px

Start display at page:

Download "冷戦後の戦略環境変化とクリントン政権"

けいしょうさわい
5 years ago
Views:

2 Paul D. Wolfowitz, Clinton s First Year, Foreign Affairs, Vol. 73, No. 15 (January/February, 1994)

3 3 91 G-7 G-7 4 G-7 5 (primacy) James Baker, America in Asia: Emerging Architecture for a Pacific Community, Foreign Affairs, Vol. 70, No. 5 (Winter 1991/92). 4 John G. Ikenderry, Slavaging the G7, Foreign Affairs,Vol.72, No.2 (Spring 1993) Barry R. Posen and Andrew L. Ross, Competing Visions for U.S. Grand Strategy, International Security, Vol. 21, No. 3 (Winter 1996/97), pp

4 APECNATO 7 8 (primacy) Robert Gilpen, The Politica l Economy o f International Relations (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1987). 8 Robert Keohane, A ft er Hegemony: Cooperat i on and D i scord in the Wor l d Political Economy (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1984) Johan Galtung, A Structural Theory of Imperialism, Journal of Peace Research, No. 8 (1971). 38

5 11 12 i 11 George Liska, Imper al America: The International Politics of Primacy (Washington, D.C.: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1967)

6 (It s the economy, stupid) 93 NSC NEC NEC USTR 2,000 1, ,000 2,000 1,500 1,400 40

7 13 MIT OMB NEC USTR CEA

8 (APEC) 93 APEC APEC

9 APEC APEC 14 (BUR) (EASR) BUR 14 U.S.-Japan Study Group of Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Rethinking Japan Policy (New York: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 1993). 43

10 NATO BUR 16 BUR (2MRCs) BUR BUR 10 (EASI) U.S. Department of Defense, Defense Strategy for the 1990 s: The Regional Defense Strategy (Washington, D.C.: Department of Defense, January 1993). 16 U.S. Department of Defense, Force Structure Excerpts, Bottom - Up Review (Washington, D.C.: Department of Defense, September 1993). 17 New York Times, May 30, U.S. Department of Defense, A s t rateg i c Framework for the As i an Pacific Rim: Report to 44

11 93 EASI 19 BUR Congress (Washington, D.C.: Department of Defense, April 1990). 19 Bill Clinton, Building a New Pacific Community: Address to students and faculty of Waseda University, Tokyo, July 7, 1993, U.S. Department of States, Dispatch, Vol. 4, No. 28 (July 2, 1993), pp Winston Lord, Statement before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, March 31, 1993, U.S. Department of State, Dispatch Vol. 4, No. 14 (April 5, 1993), pp

12 APEC APEC ASEAN (ARF) (EAEC) (MFN) 89 MFN MFN ,000 (NPT) (IAEA) 46

13 94 ASEAN ASEAN APEC APEC (WTO) 96 (AFL-CIO) 301 WTO 47

14 (EASR) 21 EASR 95 EASR EASR 10 (linchpin) EASR engagement enlargement ASEAN (ARF) (TMD) BUR EASR U.S. Department of Defense, United States Security Strategy for the Eas t Asia-Pacifi c Region (Washington, D.C.: Department of Defense, February 1995). 48

15 , ABC

16 (CTBT)

17 ASEAN B

18 93 NSC USTR USTR 12 52

19 QDR 97 (QDR) 22 QDR 2015 (2MRCs) 10 BUR QDR 2015 (WMD) 2015 (shape) (respond) (prepare) WMD (SSC) (MTW) RMA BUR MRCs 22 U.S. Department of Defense, Repor t of the Quadrennial Defense Review (Washington, D.C.: Department of Defense, May 1997). 53

20 ,000 8,000 1,800 6,900 F FA-18E/F 1, (TMD) 2006 (NMD) 20 RMA 36 NMD MRCs BUR QDR 97 QDR TMD TMD The Council of Economic Advisers, Economic Report of the President (Washington D.C.: The Council of Economic Advisers, February 1997). 54

21 97 G-7 GDP , NTTKDD NTT OB 97 55

22 97 98 ASEAN 80 ASEAN Paul Krugman, The Myth of the Asia s Miracle, Foreign Affairs, Vol. 73, No. 6 (November/December 1994). 56

23 IMF , ,

24 (primacy) 25 (Security Primacy) (Economic Primacy) BUR QDR EASR Zbigniew Brzinski, The Grand Chessboard (New York: Harper Collins Publishers, Inc., Basic Books, 1997). 58

2 2001 5 1 (New Framework) BMD 1980 BMD BMD BMD BMD BMD BMD BMD 1980 BMD 85 BMD 98 12 BMD

2 2001 5 1 (New Framework) BMD 1980 BMD BMD BMD BMD BMD BMD BMD 1980 BMD 85 BMD 98 12 BMD BMD (George W Bush) (strategic fait accompli) 1 (Bill Clinton) 1999 7 NMD NMD 2001 5 1 (NMD) TMD MAD 01 12 ABM (Balance of Terror) ABM 02 6 (John Lewis Gaddis) (The Long Peace) 2 ABM ABM (MD) 1 2 2001