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1 S C B SHINKIN CENTRAL BANK TEL FAX URL GDP 80 S&L

2 OFHEOHPI OFHEO GDP ( 5.9) GDP 2 New York

3 GDP % GDP 6.8% 10.7% 4.7% % 6.0% 5.5% % -38.7% 3.7% S&P Case-Shiller New York

4 10 CME Rader Logic National Association of Realtors % 25% a. $208,700 $263,500 $173,700 $333,000 b. 6.41% 6.35% 6.43% 6.39% c. $1,045 $1,312 $872 $1,665 d. c 25% $50,160 $62,976 $41,856 $79,920 e. $59,833 $67,532 $54,440 $62,526 f. (e/d) g. $248,750 $282,625 $225,875 $260,500 h. a/g % 1 4 New York

5 g 30% 20% FDIC FDIC, U.S. Home Prices: Does Bust Always Follow Boom?, Feb. 10, OFHEOHPI 5 New York

6 ABS Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan at the Ninth Annual Economic Development Summit, The Greenlining Institute, Oakland, California, January 10, New York

7 20 S&L S&L S&L IMF 1, S&L History of the 80s 7 New York

8 ,900 6 GDP 2007 GDP 1.2 S&L 1989 GDP GDP 19.7 S&L Web New York

9 RSI New York

10 CEO ,400 2,000 3,500 3,500-2,000=1, , , IO 10 New York

11 870 1=110 FDIC LA LA LA 80 A 20 B 11 New York

12 LA CEO CEO 12 New York

13 ABSCDO ABS) ABS) ABS) ABS CDO AAA AAB () ABSCDO ABS ABSCDO AAB AAA ABSCDO ABS BB ABS ABSCDO ABSCDO AAA S&L 13 New York

14 ( ) 14 New York

15 RSI Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, History of the 80s Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, FDIC, U.S. Home Prices: Does Bust Always Follow Boom?, Feb. 10, 2005 International Monetary Fund, Financial Market Turbulence Causes, Consequences, and Policies, Global Financial Stability Report, October 2007 NEW YORK New York

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