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7 Y = Y () x i c C = i + c

8 = ( x ) x π (x) π ( x ) = Y ( ){1 + ( x )}( 1 x ) Y ( )(1 + C ) ( 1 x) x π ( x) = 0 = ( x ) R R R R

9 Y = (Y ) CS () CS ( ) = Y ( ) 0 ( Y ) dy Y ( ) A() * S( π ), S( CS) S( π ) = A(0.09) π (0.09) + A(0.1) π (0.1) + A( ) π ( ) = * = 0.09 A( ) π ( ) * * * R R

10 S( CS) = A(0.09) CS(0.09) + A(0.1) CS(0.1) + A( ) CS( ) = * = 0.09 A( ) CS( ) E(SW ) E ( SW ) = S( π ) + S( CS) i c * *

11 CF T s 1 α 1 + α 2CF + α T Y 2 = Y 4 = β + β 1 + β 2CF + β 3T + β s Y = 27.44CF T + ε ε Y = Y () AVCF AVT

12 Y ( 27.44AVCF AVT) + = AVCF AVT = 3. 5 Y = x x = α x δ

13 = x δ i c i i i = c c c = C = c + i =

14 x π( x) = {1 + ( x)}(1 x) Y( ) (1 + C) Y( ) = 0 x = = ( x) = π (x) x() π (x) π ( x) = Y ( ){1 + ( x)}(1 x) Y ( )(1 + C) = Y ( ) = Y ( )(1 = π ( ) { 1 + ( x) }{ 1 x( ) } + ) { 1 x( ) } Y Y ( )(1 + C) ( )(1 + C) b Y ( ) = a +

15 A() A() (Y ) b ( Y ) = Y + a Y ( ) b CS ( ) = dy Y ( ) 0 Y + a Y ( ) = b log + 1 Y ( ) a

16 A() A() A()

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