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1 平成 25 年度エネルギー需給緩和型インフラ システム普及等促進事業 ( グローバル市場におけるスマートコミュニティ等の事業可能性調査 : ロシアにおける都市交通情報ソリューションに関する事業可能性調査 ) 報告書 2014 年 3 月 14 日 ( 株 ) 野村総合研究所 ( 株 ) 京三製作所
2 目次 本調査の目的と意義 1) 市場分析 1 市場動向 ( 市場ポテンシャル情報更新 ) 2 事業環境 ( 相手国政府 自治体等の政策動向 ( 支援策 制約等 )) 3 事業環境 ( 競合 あるいは協業するグローバル / 企業等の動向 ) 2) 事業計画 1 事業計画 2エネルギー効率化 3 事業環境分析 4 技術戦略 5 事業展開上の課題抽出及び対応方策 6 国内への経済波及効果 1
3 本調査の目的と意義 ( 本調査の目的 ) 株式会社野村総合研究所 ( 以降 NRIと略す ) と株式会社京三製作所 ( 以降 京三と略す ) は 平成 24 年度インフラ システム輸出促進調査等委託事業 ( グローバル市場におけるスマートコミュニティ等の事業可能性調査 : ロシアにおける都市交通情報ソリューションに関する事業可能性調査 )( 以降 平成 24 年度調査と略す ) の成果を踏まえ 京三の信号ソリューション ARTEMIS が モスクワ市に導入可能性が高いと判断し 第二段階として実ビジネスへの参入を目指し 平成 25 年度事業では モスクワ市より本採用を受けるために必須とされている実証実験の実施に向け 準備調査を行うことを目的とする ( 本調査の意義 ) モスクワは勿論 ロシアにおける初の日系企業による 交通ソリューションの導入に向けて 地元モスクワ市政府 地元政府系 ITデベロッパーである SITRONICSとの 実証試験実施に向けての本格的な交渉を開始する 同時に 実証試験実施に向けての技術的 制度的課題の具体的な解決を進めることにより より実現に近い状況に進めることができる. 2
4 1) 市場分析書作成 1 市場動向 ( 市場ポテンシャル情報更新 ) 2 事業環境 ( 相手国政府 自治体等の政策動向 ( 支援策 制約等 )) 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 3
5 1) 市場分析 1 市場動向 ( 市場ポテンシャル情報更新 ) 参考情報 人口が 100 万人 ~50 万人規模の都市は 36 都市ある # Cities Region Population 01/01/10 01/01/13 GRP per capita*, Rub. Territory, km2 1 Moscow Moscow ,0 2511,0 2 St.-Petersburg St.-Petersburg ,9 1399,0 3 Novosibirsk Novosibirsk ,3 505,6 4 Yekaterinburg Sverdlovsk ,1 495,0 5 Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod ,2 466,5 6 Kazan Tatarstan ,6 614,2 7 Samara Samara ,2 541,4 8 Omsk Omsk ,6 572,9 9 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk ,2 530,0 10 Rostov-on-Don Rostov ,6 348,5 11 Ufa Bashkortostan ,6 707,9 12 Volgograd Volgograd ,8 799,7 13 Krasnoyarsk Krasnoyarsk ,0 859,4 14 Perm Perm ,5 380,0 15 Voronezh Voronezh ,4 596,5 16 Saratov Saratov ,9 394,0 17 Krasnodar Krasnodar ,7 314,8 18 Togliatti Samara ,2 192,2 # Cities Region Population 01/01/10 01/01/13 GRP per capita*, Rub. Territory, km2 19 Barnaul Altay ,7 315,2 20 Tyumen Tyumen ,0 205,8 21 Izhevsk Udmurtia ,6 622,5 22 Ulyanovsk Ulyanovsk ,0 322,0 23 Irkutsk Irkutsk ,6 277,4 24 Vladivostok Primorsk , Yaroslavl Yaroslavl , Khabarovsk Khabarovsk ,1 331,2 27 Orenburg Orenburg ,6 424,3 28 Novokuznetsk Kemerovo ,8 259,0 29 Tomsk Tomsk ,4 282,3 30 Kemerovo Kemerovo ,8 171,0 31 Ryazan Ryazan ,0 224,0 32 Astrakhan Astrakhan ,9 294,6 33 Penza Penza ,8 304,7 34 Naberezhnye Chelny Tatarstan ,6 208,7 35 Lipetsk Lipetsk ,6 320,0 36 Tula Tula ,5 153,5 Note: * - GRP per capita in the region in Source: Rosstat 4
6 1) 市場分析 2 事業環境 ( 相手国政府 自治体等の政策動向 ( 支援策 制約等 )) モスクワ市の郊外 (Agglomeration エリア ) を中心に SITRONICS とのコワークにより ARTEMIS の導入 普及を目指す ( モスクワ市とSITRONICS) モスクワ市には拡大計画があり 新しいエリアは旧市内の1.6 倍の面積があり 今後の都市計画にもよるが 多数の信号が必要になる このエリアについてもSITRONICSは自分のテリトリーになるようモスクワ市に働きかけており 市とのつながりの強いSITRONICSが自分の商圏に取込むことが確実と見られ 将来的にはこのエリアの整備にも大きな期待をもてる この動きを含めて まだこれから整備をすべき地域が拡大しており ロシアでは息の長いビジネスが可能と判断している (SITRONICS) SITRONICS 社はモスクワ市の交通管制システムのメインコントラクターで 市内の交通信号整備を独占的に請け負っている 実証実験後のモスクワ市及びその周辺での普及については大きな期待が持てる 機器の設置工事 運用 保守についてはSITRONICSが担当 保守品の供給は京三が担当する 京三からはARTEMISの制御ユニットとして供給 SITRONICSは自身の筐体に入れてSITRONICSブランドで販売する方針を確認している このことにより ロシア警察の機器認可や設置申請等がスムーズに行なえる環境が形成され 京三の負担が激減する 5
7 1) 市場分析 2 事業環境 ( 相手国政府 自治体等の政策動向 ( 支援策 制約等 )) SITRONICS 商圏以外のビジネス展開についても実証実験後の普及を目指す SITRONICS 商圏以外の地域 ( ロシアには100 万都市が15あり ) については 実証実験後の普及を目指していく この場合も 第 2 第 3のSITRONICS 企業を探し同様の枠組みでの普及を目指す この対応のために京三製作所の海外事業推進部が中心となって ロシアに強い商社と手を組んでロシア国内全体への普及を図っていく計画である 6
8 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 昨年度実施した 有料道路プロジェクト 関連情報を更新した 下表に記載されるような有料道路プロジェクトが計画 一部実施されており 料金徴収管理等を含む都市交通情報ソリューション ビジネスの可能性が見られる 但し 未だ充分な情報が得られていないので 引き続き情報収集 分析を行う 地域概要延長距離 ( 有料道路区間 ) Moscow Kutuzovsky 推定投資額 :60 billion rubles 10.3 Km Moscow St.Petersburg 総延長 700Km 400 Km Moscow Central Ring Road 520 km St.Petersburg West Diameter road 46 km Pskov 州 Altay territory. Lipetsukya 州 km 137 km 20 km 7
9 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 有料道路 (Toll roads) プロジェクトの概要 St.Petersburg. Toll road West Diameter Length 46,6 km; 4-8 lanes; 15 inter-junctions; speed limitation 110 km/h; planned traffic 100 th cars and more. Construction is done in 3 phases: South, Central and North parts. The South and North parts are completed. Ways of payment: cash; credit/debit card; prepaid card; transponder. 8
10 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 有料道路 (Toll roads) プロジェクトの概要 Moscow St.Petersburg toll road construction Total length 684 km (Moscow region 90 km, Tver region 253 km, Novgorod region 233, Leningrad region 75 km). Toll part will be only about 400 km (60%). The road shall be completed by The decision to build the highway was taken by the Ministry of Transport of the Russian Federation, and the initiative came directly from then-president Vladimir Putin's Russia. In January 2006, the design project was handed over to the customer justifying the investment in the construction of the highway Moscow - St. Petersburg between km 15 - km 58. In February 2008, a concessionaire for the construction of the first section was selected from the category of private companies. Of the three companies involved in the tender, Russian Ministry of Transportation chose "North-West Concession Company." At that time, the estimated cost of building of the entire route was approximately 350 billion rubles. In 2010, the beginning of the preparatory work for the construction of the km 15 - km 58 tracks (including logging in the Khimki forest clearing), but due to public protests in August of the same year, these works were suspended. In the spring of 2011 for the preparation of land for the construction of a new road continued. September 29, 2011 construction began on the highway in the area from the 15th to the 58th kilometer. It is expected that the construction should be completed in In January 2012 the large-scale reconstruction of Businovskaya interchange at 78 km of MKAD Road began, from which the road is to begin. Its continuation in Moscow will become Northeast chord highway. Completion is scheduled for October As of spring 2012 a preparation of building sites from 58 to 97 km was on. June 21, 2012, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev signed a decree, which ordered a concession agreement in respect of section km km 684. The site will be on the territory of the Leningrad region and St. Petersburg. The contract will be concluded for a period of 30 years. The duration of the competition Construction period years. According to "Avtodor state road corporation, in 2014, paid bypass to be introduced around Volochok town. 9
11 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 有料道路 (Toll roads) プロジェクトの概要 Central Ring Road Total length 520 km. Currently FS of the whole road is under development. The route of the road In some areas of the Moscow region has been determined, and the allocation of land is on. Estimated cost of construction is estimated at 350 billion rubles. New ring will have a width of 3-4 lanes in each direction, the road will bypass the large settlements. It is planned to expedite construction works and complete the road by 2017 (earlier it was planned to complete in 2019). 10
12 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 有料道路 (Toll roads) プロジェクトの概要 M4 Road ( Don ) toll road parts In autumn 2013 two new sections of roads will be put into operation - reconstructed section of the highway M4 from 492 to 517 kilometer detour route of Voronezh city, and bypass around Odintsovo city, Moscow region. In addition, in 2013, Avtodor" is going, to the beginning of the summer season, to expand the entry to the paid section of the M4 highway from 48 to 71 km. In particular, it is planned to build a single checkpoint in both directions through 14 locks on each side. 11
13 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 今年度情報更新 有料道路 (Toll roads) プロジェクトの概要 M4 Road ( Don ) toll road parts (cont.) As of December, 2010 additional sections of paid roads were put into operation: Detour of Zadonsk town and Hlevnoy village ( km), Lipetsk region As of September, 2013: Detour of Bogoroditsk town ( km), Tula region Detour of Efremov town ( km), Tula region As of December, 2013: Detour of Elets town and Yarkino village ( km) 12
14 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 有料道路 (Toll roads) プロジェクトの概要 Other toll roads construction There are plans of local toll roads in Pskov region, Altay territory. 13
15 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 有料道路 (Toll roads) プロジェクトの概要 Kutuzovsky avenue in Moscow Kutuzovsky Avenue - in the Western district of Moscow, one of the main thoroughfares of the capital. Is located in the district "Dorogomilovo" and "Fili-Davydkovo. Avenue begins as a continuation of Novy Arbat for Novoarbatsky bridge, then goes to the west and ends at the intersection Rublevsky and Aminevskogo highway. Continuation of the prospectus is Mozhayskoe highway. Kutuzovsky avenue - is the government's grand entry into the capital from the west, conceived as a high-speed line, connecting the Kremlin with the residence and favorite places of the political elite. Moscow International Business Center "Moscow City" ("Moscow-City") - a business district in Moscow Presnenskaya waterfront. As part of "Moscow-City" is created a zone of business activity that will bring together business, apartment living and leisure. Approximate Square of Moscow City is 4.5 million square meters. Construction of Moscow-City is the first step in creating a new area of Moscow Big City. Moscow - Big City - projected new district in Moscow. It is supposed to be located on the site of former industrial sites between the Moscow City and Khoroshevskaya highway (total area ha). In this area are expected to be built 21 million m ² Moscow CITY 14
16 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 有料道路 (Toll roads) プロジェクトの概要 Kutuzovsky avenue in Moscow ; City and North relief road of Kutuzovsky Avenue North relief road of Kutuzovsky Avenue in Moscow can be a toll road. Such a statement in December 2012, did Mayor Sergei Sobyanin. The corresponding solution is being worked out, the construction of the facility can attract private investors. Estimated cost of the project was estimated at 60 billion rubles. At City Hall suggested that the project allow to establish good work of the Moscow International Business Center "Moscow City. Plans about North relief road were promoted in The project plan was developed in North relief road of Kutuzovsky Avenue is the entrance to the Moscow Ring Road of toll motorway bypassing the city Odintsovo and provides inclusion of highways of Moscow in the trans-european transport corridors. North relief road of Kutuzovsky Avenue route begins from the Moscow International Business Center Moscow CITY, crosses Moscowriver by two bridge crossings (at the site of the 2nd Krasnogvardeisky street and Krasnopresnenskaya Embankment), is all over the south side of the Smolensk Moscow Railway direction and goes to the Ring Road on Molodogvardejsk transportation. 15
17 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) 有料道路 (Toll roads) プロジェクトの概要 Kutuzovsky avenue in Moscow ; North relief road of Kutuzovsky Avenue North relief road of Kutuzovsky Avenue route begins from the Moscow International Business Center Moscow CITY, crosses Moscow-river by two bridge crossings (at the site of the 2nd Krasnogvardeisky street and Krasnopresnenskaya Embankment), is all over the south side of the Smolensk Railway direction and goes to the Ring Road on Molodogvardejsk transportation. The length of the line is 10.3 km. Highway is designed for 3-4 lanes in each direction, ramps lanes. Railway track throughout is either completely (head section), or partly in the railroad precinct. The intensity of traffic on North relief road of Kutuzovsky Avenue will be about units in the rush hour in one direction, the reserve capacity of 6-27%. Construction of the road will help reduce citywide transport mileage by 50.0 million car-km per year, the average travel time through Kutuzovsky Avenue - Mozhaisk Highway - from 30 minutes to 20 minutes, the length of congested areas Kutuzovsky Avenue - Mozhaisk highway - 25%. Construction of the highway will require relocation of underground engineering services. 16
18 1) 市場分析 3 事業環境 ( 有料道路整備に関する市場調査の情報更新 ) ITS projects in Russia At the moment, the ITS elements (mainly GLONASS solutions) has been implemented in 60 regions, 122 cities of Russia ", - said the executive director of the group of companies" M2M telematics "Alex Smyatskih. The most popular solutions are in the field of passenger transport: Bus Safety, Smart Stop, passenger information system for transportation. The most active development of Intelligent Transportation Systems received in cities such as Moscow, Ryazan, Tambov, Omsk, Krasnoyarsk, Kostroma, Kemerovo, Novosibirsk, and others. Region Project Comments North -West Kazan city, Tatarstan Moscow KAD road (ring road around St.Petersburg); Road St.Petersburg Petrozavodsk. The first stage is to cover 95 traffic signals and 16 interchanges on the main routes of the Universiade Traffic lights adaptive control system, traffic analytics, traffic information and navigation service This system will include dynamic information displays and controls (LED) traffic signals, surveillance system with automatic determination of incident: when the vehicle is stopped or a traffic accident corresponding image will appear on the monitor of the operator, with a beep to attract his attention. In addition, the ATMS will include a system for monitoring traffic flow, the function of which is to count and classification of vehicles on the road; meteo-systems from weather stations operating in the on-line mode, is able to determine the wind speed and direction, relative humidity, temperature and other indicators, without an operator to change the speed limit, and put a message about it on the boards. These boards will display messages on the movement prohibition in the case of an accident. All the information about the traffic situation will be kept in an operations center, with servers for data processing and storage. Austrian company Swarco developed ITS for Kazan. It is expected that the introduction of ITS will reduce traffic delay by 15%, by 20% will reduce the amount of travel time, by 25% reduce the emission of harmful substances into the atmosphere. 980 million rubles - this is the preliminary cost of the project. In 2014, the system will be at the initial stage of implementation. First the modernization will be related to improvement of the city transportation network and public on-ground transportation. New system will increase road safety and traffic predictability. 17
19 2) 事業計画 1 事業計画 2 エネルギー効率化 3 事業環境分析 4 技術戦略 5 事業展開上の課題抽出及び対応方策 6 国内への経済波及効果 18
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