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40 1 1996-2012 30 20 10 0 1996-2000 2000-2003 2003-2005 2005-2009 2009-2012

40.00 2 1958-1990 30.00 20.00 10.00 0 1958-1960 1963-1967 1969-1972 1976-1979 1980-1983 1986-1990

15.00 3 11.25 7.50 3.75 0-3.75-7.50 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 70.0 4 52.5 35.0 17.5 0 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

12000000 5 11000000 10000000 9000000 8000000 1955 1958 1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988

30.0 6 22.5 15.0 7.5 0-7.5 1955 1958 1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991

800 7 600 400 200 0 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 30% 8 65 22.5% 15% 7.5% 0% 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

90.0 9 77.5 65.0 52.5 40.0 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

30.0 10 22.5 15.0 7.5 0 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

Bartolini,Stefano and Peter Mair (1990) Identity, Competition and Electoral Availability Cambridge,Cambridge University Press Bornscheir,Simon (2011) The New Cultural Divide and the Two-Dimensional Political Space in Western Europe in Zsolt Enyedi and Kevin Deegan-Kraus (ed) The Structure of Political Competition in Western Europe Routledge Dalton, Russell and Martin Wattenberg eds. (2000) Parties without Partisans Oxford, Oxford University Press Hopkin, Jonathan and Caterina Paolucci (1999) The Business Firm Model of Party Organisation: Case from Spain and Italy European Journal of Political Research 35 Katz,Richard (2011) Political Parties in Carles Boix and Susan Stokes ed. Oxford Handbook of Comparative Politics" Oxford, Oxford University Press 219-235 Katz, Richard and Peter Mair (2009) The Cartel Party Thesis: Restatement in Perspectives on Politics 17(4) New York : Cambridge University Press for the American Political Science Association Kirchheimer, Otto (1966) The Transformation of the Western European Party Systems in Lapalombara, H and Weiner,M (eds) Political parties and Political Development Princeton, Princeton University Press 177-200 Krouwel, André (2006) Party Models in in Katz,Richard and William Crotty Handbook of Party Politics London, Sage 249-269 Mair, Peter (1997) Party System Change Oxford,Oxford University Press Mair, Peter (2006) Party System Change in Katz,Richard and William Crotty Handbook of Party Politics London, Sage 63-73 Manin, Bernard, Adam Przeworski and Susan Srokes (1999) Introduction in Adam Przeworski,Susan Stokes and Bernard Manin eds. Democracy, Accountability, and Representation Cambridge, Cambridge University Press 1-53 Pedersen, Mogens (1979) The Dynamics of European Party System:Changing Patterns of Electoral Volatility European Journal of Political Research 7, 1-26 Reed, Steven (1990) Structure and Behavior: Extending Duverger s Law to the Japanese Case British Journal of Political Science 20(3) 335-356

Smith, Gordon (1989) A System Perspective on Party System Change Journal of Theoretical Politics, 1(3) 349-64 London, Sage Smith, Gordon (1990) Core Persistance: Change and the People s Party in Peter Mair and Gordon Smith (eds) Understanding Party System Change in Western Europe, London, Frank Cass 157-168