2014 1 150 43 5 1 15 MDG, 2000 1 MDG 8 1 7.C 2015 2014 2 1990 762012 89 1990 2012 23 MDG 60 3 MDG 7.C 2014 1990 4 1 10
162 2014 7 7 4 MDGs 10 1 2 1 2 3 4 1. 1 1. 2000 9 1990 Millennium Development Goals MDGsMDGs 2015 8 21 60 7.C 2015 5
163 5 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 200 図 1 安全な飲料水へのアクセスと 5 歳以下の死亡率 World Development Indicators 2013 21 21 1990 76 2010 89 MDG 5 62 38 1990 6 2011 3 1 8,000 United Nations Children s Fund World Development Indicators 1 1 2.
164 2. 2 1. 4 4 3 6 7
165 2 2. 3 2 5 10 1 3 3 20 5 1970 11 1980 75 1998 226 4 1990 5 20 2012 2,424 5.2 2 3.
166 Rank Countries Million of Gallons 2006 2011 Compound annual growth rate 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 United States China Mexico Brazil Indonesia Thailand Italy Germany France Spain 8,255.00 4,163.30 5,359.90 3,301.60 2,155.90 1,426.20 3,115.50 2,808.90 2,285.30 1,524.00 9,107.30 7,686.40 7,520.70 4,500.90 3,760.60 3,118.80 3,034.70 2,954.20 2,291.00 1,514.60 2.00 13.00 7 6.40 11.80 16.90 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.10 Top 10 Subtotal All others WORLD TOTAL 34,395.60 12,606.80 47,002.40 45,489.30 15,880.70 61,370.00 5.80 4.70 5.50 図 2 ボトルドウォーター消費量と成長率 IBWA http://www.bottledwater.org/files/2011bwstats.pdf 2011 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Gallons per Capita Countries 2006 2011 Mexico 50.5 65.5 Italy 53.5 49.9 Thailand 21.7 44.9 United Arab Emirates 31.6 43.2 Belgium-Luxembourg 38.3 38.3 France 37.5 36.3 Germany 34.1 36 Lebanon 31 32.8 Spain 20.1 29.3 Switzerland 29 29.4 United States 27.6 29.2 Hungary 23 28.7 Croatia 21.6 28 Slovenia 22 27.9 China, Hong Kong SAR 20.4 27.5 Qatar 22.6 27.3 Cyprus 27.1 26.9 Saudi Arabia 25.7 26.4 Austria 21.8 25 Portugal 24.3 23.9 GLOBAL AVERAGE 7.2 8.8 図 3 ボトルドウォーター 1 人当たり消費量 IBWA http://www.bottledwater.org/files/2011bwstats. pdf
167 図 4 世界のボトルドウォーター市場規模推移 http://euromonitor.typepad.com/files/euromonitorinternational_bottled-water_download.pdf 3. 3 1. 1 1 1 3 2. 1 1 0 24 25 49 50 74 75 99 100 149 150 6 12 37 62 87 124.5 175 8 1. 5 2. 1 GDP 2005 US
168 表 1 データソース Euro Monitor International; 6 Bottled Water in 2011: Building on a Rebound in Growth; 150 175 World bottled water consumption http://euro. monitor.com The University of MERBOURNE; World map of 5 Koppen-Geiger climate classification http://people.eng. unimelb.edu.au/mpeel/koppen. html The World Bank; GDP per 1 GDP 2010 2014 capita constant 2005 US http://data.worldbank.org/ indicator/ny.gdp.pcap.kd The World Bank; GINI index Gini 2010 2014 http://data.worldbank.org/ indicator/si.pov.gini The World Bank; Improved 2010 2014 water source % of population 1 with access http://data. worldbank.org/indicator/ SH.H2O.SAFE.ZS 3. 1 GDP 2 4. Gini 0 1 5. 5 2 1 GDP Gini
169 表 2 ボトルドウォーター消費要因に関するクロスカントリー分析 (Gini 係数を説明変数に含む ) t p 72.8244 64.5495 1.13 0.2642 12.2264 56.59482 0.22 0.8298 25.7011 55.99501 0.46 0.6481 24.4356 55.64973 0.44 0.6623 40.6788 56.39375 0.72 0.4738 1 GDP 0.00288 0.00084 3.43 0.0012 1 GDP 2 0 0.1194 10 7 3.31 0.0016 Gini 0.10196 0.62868 0.16 0.8718 0.60671 0.5301 1.14 0.2575 1051 表 3 ボトルドウォーター消費要因に関するクロスカントリー分析 (Gini 係数を説明変数に含まない ) t p 20.0577 27.69563 0.72 0.47 13.9887 21.44281 0.65 0.5151 19.857 19.93994 1 0.3209 23.4515 18.85492 1.24 0.2155 33.2035 19.16137 1.73 0.0852 1 GDP 0.00089 0.00036 2.44 0.0159 1 GDP 2 0 0.3319 10 8 1.24 0.2155 0.63497 0.2316 2.74 0.0068 1051 3 3. 2010 2010 Gini 63 Gini 160 Gini 2 Gini Gini 3 1 Gini 3 0.26472 F 5
170 3 4. 1. 1 2. 1 GDP 1 3. 1 2 1 3 5 0 4. 4 1. 1 MDGs 1 1 2
171 3 MDGs 3 4 2. 2010 11 1. 6 2. 3. 4. 1 5. 5 6. 7. 1 GDP 8. 9. 10. 11. Gini World Development Indicators 2010 193 2010 Human Development Index 49 148
172 表 4 データソース 2010 1 6 Euromonitor international. www.euromonitor.com 28 1,000 The World Bank Indicators. http://data.worldbank.org/ indicator 1 1 1,000 5 5 1,000 1,000 1 GDP 1 2005 1 Gini 0 4 World Development Indicators 1,000 4 3. 9 5 10 6 6 1 0.948
173 図 5 新生児死亡率パス図整理前 表 5 分析結果 P 0.001 t Gini.012.017.678.498 Gini 2.162 2.123 1.018.309 Gini.078.122.638.524.015.008 1.957.050 GDP.721.335 2.151.031 3.515.739 4.753 1.045.001 51.134 1.000.000 3.792.066.184.356.722 1.196.624 1.918.055.466.046 10.088.008.005 1.685.092 1 GDP.000.000 1.310.190 1 GDP.000.000 4.329 1 GDP 247.732 66.872 3.705.002.001 3.607 GDP.341.487.701.483.028.007 4.092 GDP.034.028 1.211.226.199.114 1.746.081.015.009 1.629.103
174 図 6 新生児死亡率パス図整理後 表 6 分析結果 t 1 GDP 248.758 66.538 3.739 3.463.740 4.681 1 GDP.045.001 50.873 1 GDP.000.000 3.959.002.001 3.868.036.005 7.533.014.008 1.810.070 1 GDP.000.000 4.361.266.110 2.414.016 1.863.559 3.334.498.043 11.622 4 4. 1. 2. 2
175 表 7 標準化総合効果 1 GDP 1 GDP.299.000.000.000.000.371.948.000.000.000.617.056 1.160.000.000.419.324.263.227.000.760.065.053.046.201 表 8 安全な水へのアクセス人口率の相関関係 t.498.043 11.622.676 1 1.117.096 11.691.712 5 1.905.162 11.755.736.087.020 4.319.409 1 0.1 0.676 7 0.760 8 10 0.129 0.129 1 5 9
176 表 9 ボトルドウォーター消費量の相関関係 t BW 1.196.624 1.918.055.129 1 BW 1.152 1.314.877.381.058 5 BW.640 2.233.287.774.020 BW.002.279.006.996.001 4 5. 9 1 5 10 2 2 1 2 1 3 2 4
177 注 1 Unicef http://www.unicef.or.jp/special/water/life.html 2http://www.unic.or.jp/files/MDGreport2014-_Japanese.pdf 3 Unicef http://www.unicef.or.jp/special/water/report01_1.html 4http://www.unic.or.jp/news_press/features_backgrounders/9629/ 5UNDPhttp://www.jp.undp.org/content/tokyo/ja/home/mdgoverview/mdg_7/ 6 7 8 9 1 5 参考文献 1 2014 http://www.unic.or.jp/files/mdgreport2014-_ Japanese.pdf 2014/1/30 2 2008 AMOS 3 20142015 2014 07 07 http://www.unic.or.jp/ news_press/features_backgrounders/9629/ 2014/1/30 4 http://www.mlit.go.jp/tochimizushigen/mizsei/j_ international/about/about004.html 2014/11/28 5 MDGs http://www.jp.undp.org/content/tokyo/ja/home/ mdgoverview/mdg_7 2014/11/28 6 http://www.unic.or.jp/files/mdg_report_2013_ JP.pdf 2014/11/28 7 20012001 10 pp. 22 25 8 http://euromonitor.typepad.com/files/euromonitorinternational_bottled-water_download.pdf 2014/12/03 9 http://www.waterworks.metro.tokyo.jp/kouhou/ eizo/ 2014/12/07 10http://www.unicef.or.jp/special/water/future.html 2014/12/01 11 Deloitte bottled water consumption http://euro.monitor.com 2014.11.30 12 International Bottled Water Association 2011 Market Report Findings http://www.bottledwater. org/files/2010bwstats.pdf 2014/12/03 13 The University of MELBOURNE World map of Koppen-Geiger climate classification http:// people.eng.unimelb.edu.au/mpeel/koppen.html 2014.11.30 14 World Development Indicators http://data.worldbank.org/indicator 2014/12/03 15 United Nations Children s Fundhttp://www. unicef.or.jp/special/water/report01_1.html 2014/1/30