SiRi Group 2008 2012 SRI
PC19981000 3 1000 2010 100 10 2003 2010 20102000
30 2 5 10 30 2 5 10 10% 1970 1980 1990 30 2 5 10 30 2 5 10 10% 1970 1980 1990 18 2 2~3 3:3:3 18 2 2~3 3:3:3 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 18 2 2~3 3:3:3 18 2 2~3 3:3:3 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 18 2 2~3 3:3:3 18 2 2~3 3:3:3 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 12 2 1 12 2 1 10 1995 1997 1999 2001
DHS Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Information Analysis and Infrastructure Protection Emergency Preparedness Border and Transport Security TechnologyInformation Analysis and Infrastructure Protection IT 13
A B A C C D E F B F D E
A B C D 2002 2010 2015 CY
.1
2002 2010 2015 CY 2010/2015 2010/2015 WW 2010/2015 2010/2015
4 FPD AV 3 2 1 DSC 4 FPD AV 3 2 1 DSC
TDM(Time Division Multiplexing) OTDM (Optical Time Division Multiplexing) DWDM (Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing) DXC(Digital Cross Connect) OXC(Optical Cross Connect) ADM(Add-Drop Multiplexer) OADM(Optical Add-Drop Multiplexer) CWDM(Coarse Wavelength Division Multiplexing) WWDM(Wide Wavelength Division Multiplexing) ONU(Optical Network Unit)MC(Media Converter) LAN LAN Single Mode FiberMulti Mode Fiber
1Tbps 100Gbps 40Gbps 10Gbps 2000 1500 1000 TDM 40Gbps 2000 2005 2010 2015 500 OTDM 40100Gbps C+L 200 OTDM 401Tbps O+E+S+C+L+U 10002000 E+S+C+L 2001000 2000 2005 2010 2015
NA LD SHG DBR-LD GaN BD /HD DVD SHG GeTe-S b2te3 AgInSbTe GaSb
SIL/SIM NA GB 137nm Super-RENS
NA
TB 100GB DVD 10GB DVD GB CD, CDMO 100MB 2002 2010 2015
HID LED
(c).2
2005 / 2010 / CPU
LED SLD
Epi- Sub-
(1)
(2)
(3) B 2002 A
Increase of average traffic Increase of traffic range JPIX2 Dix-ieNSPIXP2 2 JPNAP 5 Scalability will be very important in the future photonic networks (WHITE PAPER Information and Communications in Japan, The Ministry of Public Management, Home Affairs, Posts and Telecommunications (MPHPT) http://www.johotsusintokei.soumu.go.jp/whitepaper/ja/h15/pdf/f1010000.pdf) λ λ λ λ λ λ WDM WDM WDM (Add/Drop) OXC OXC OADM 2001 2005 2010 p33 2.2-8 Routing Make Routing Make a a routing routing table table Address Address Processing Processing Determine Determine output output port port from from the the routing routing table table Scheduling Scheduling Avoid Avoid collision collision of of packets packets Payload Header Switching Switching Buffering Buffering Switch Switch the the packet packet Store Store the the packets packets to to the the appropriate appropriate port port for for appropriate appropriate time time Optical Electrical
10 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D 3D
D - -
IT
GaAs GaP GaAlAs AlGaInP LED LED
\ (lm) (W) () () (lm/w) (/lm)
~ 100m cm km m
(ITS) Source Coupler Sensing fiber Reighley scattering Raman scattering OTDR OCDR Brillouin scattering OFDR Detector-Signal processor P-M coupling Source Coupler Fiber Sensors: FBG, --- WDM, TDM FDM, CDM SDM -- Detector-Signal processor
2000 2010 2020 Si Si Si CIS Si - CIGS AC SSPS
GW) NSS Project Milestone Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Extrapolated
1.5eV H + OH -
100 10 US-NIF 1 0.1 1 10
F. B. Mead
(LISW)
100 µm
(a) OCT 1mm (b) 1mm µ
nm 200 500 800 (nm) 800 500 200 (nm) 100 80 60 40 20
(4 19 (1 4 (0.84 1.46 20 10 (0.21 0.3 (0.95 1.7 7 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
a a 3.3 µm 330 nm
φ t CEP CEP
n/ T 1.0x10-4 5.0x10-5 0.0-5.0x10-5 -1.0x10-4 -1.5x10-4 -2.0x10-4 -2.5x10-4 -3.0x10-4 -3.5x10-4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Nb 2 O 5 Content (wt%) n / T
(a) (b) (c) (d) (h) (e) (f) (g)
25 20 15 10 5 5.4 23.0, 10.7 % 8.3 19.2 12.7, 9.5 % 14.7 2.6 11.2 6.2 10.1 0 2002 2010 2015
25 2015 23.0 20 15 10 5 0 9 10 2000 7.1 1989 1990 2002 1980 2.0 2.4 1994 6.2 800 3.3 2010 12.7 1980 1990 2000 2010 2015 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 91 95 00 05 10 15
PC 100 1 100 1 100 Arpanet VAN LAN 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
POPS(Peta Operations Per Second) CMOS LSI 100MW 50 1THz10THz
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 91 90 91 87 74 69 55 50 3 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 5 6 6 11 25 30 44 49 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
(