RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT 1Q 2016 SUMITOMO REAL ESTATE SALES 800 SECOND AVENUE, SUITE 300 NEW YORK, NY 10017 (212) 596-0800 WWW.SUMITOMO-NY.COM
RENTAL 賃貸市場 MANHATTAN
QUICK LOOK MH OVERVIEW 概要 PRICES 中間賃料 -2.8% VACANCY 空室率 0.43% KEY POINT: 24 ケ月ぶりの中間賃料減少 昨年からの急激な価格上昇等により割高感が強まり 各種指標において 調整局面の兆候が見られる MAR 16 前年比変化率 MAR 15 Avg Rental Price 平均賃料 $3,989-3.3% $4,126 Median Rental Price 中間賃料 $3,300-2.8% $3,395 # of New Rentals 新規契約数 3,837-1.6% 3,899 Days on Market リスティング期間 48-7.7% 52 Listing Discount 割引率 2.2% 0.8% Listing Inventory 市場在庫 6,186 20.9% 5,117 Vacancy Rate 空室率 2.42% 1.99% PROPERTY TYPE 物件種類別 Median Rental Price 中間賃料 MAR 16 前年比変化率 MAR 15 Doorman ドアマン付き $3,748-1.6% $3,808 Non Doorman ドアマン無し $2,754-0.9% $2,780 New Development 新築 $4,350 0.4% $4,333 BY PRICE 賃料別 Median Rental Price 中間賃料 MAR 16 前年比変化率 MAR 15 Luxury (Top 10%) 上位 10% $8,228-3.5% $8,530 Upper Tier (3 rd 30%) 上部層 30% $4,400-2.6% $4,516 Mid Tier (2 nd 30%) 中央層 30% $3,148-3.2% $3,253 Entry Tier (1 st 30%) 下部層 30% $2,258-2.2% $2,308 BY LOCATION エリア別 Median Rental Price 中間賃料 MAR 16 前年比変化率 MAR 15 Uptown $2,275-5.2% $2,400 Side $3,143-0.6% $3,161 West Side $3,297-4.4% $3,450 Downtown $3,635 0.6% $3,613 出所 : Miller Samuel Inc. Market Report 3
QUICK LOOK STUDIO MH $1,775 $2,357 Harlem Non Doorman Doorman Average Price 平均賃料 $ 2,384 Non Doorman $2,177 $2,757 Upper West Side Central Park $2,103 $2,711 Upper Side $ 2,938 Doorman $2,222 $2,911 Midtown West Midtown $2,261 $2,615 Price Change YoY 前年比価格上昇率 Murray Hill $2,204 $2,592-3.9% (-$98) $2,488 $3,308 Chelsea $2,694 $3,094 Gramercy Park Greenwich Village $2,492 $2,971 Village $2,267 $3,263-8.3% (-$265) $2,521 $2,945 $3,170 $3,571 SoHo TriBeCa Lower Side $2,260 $2,763 N/A $3,195 Battery Park City Financial District $2,745 $3,019 出所 : MNS Manhattan Rental Market Report http://www.mns.com/manhattan_rental_market_report 2014.12 2015.1 2015.2 2015.3 2015.4 2015.5 2015.6 2015.7 2015.8 2015.9 2015.10 2015.11 2015.12 2016.1 2016.2 2016.3 Non Doorman 2,366 2,557 2,455 2,482 2,456 2,385 2,437 2,396 2,414 2,431 2,413 2,418 2,428 2,466 2,480 2,384 Doorman 2,970 3,005 3,041 3,203 3,167 3,074 3,048 3,034 3,021 3,060 2,990 2,960 2,933 2,974 2,918 2,938 4
QUICK LOOK 1BR MH $2,220 $2,800 Harlem Non Doorman Doorman Average Price 平均賃料 $ 3,081 Non Doorman $2,851 $3,967 Upper West Side Central Park $2,634 $3,876 Upper Side $ 4,104 Doorman $2,691 $3,886 Midtown West Midtown $2,854 $3,827 Price Change YoY 前年比価格上昇率 Murray Hill $2,849 $3,772-3.1% (-$100) $3,347 $4,592 Chelsea $3,478 $4,649 Gramercy Park Greenwich Village $3,236 $4,143 Village $2,913 $4,519-1.9% (-$79) $3,367 $5,149 $4,373 $5,035 SoHo TriBeCa Lower Side $2,578 $3,384 N/A $3,953 Battery Park City Financial District $3,745 $4,002 出所 : MNS Manhattan Rental Market Report http://www.mns.com/manhattan_rental_market_report 2014.12 2015.1 2015.2 2015.3 2015.4 2015.5 2015.6 2015.7 2015.8 2015.9 2015.10 2015.11 2015.12 2016.1 2016.2 2016.3 Non Doorman 3,051 3,115 3,193 3,181 3,081 3,041 3,160 3,187 3,157 3,144 3,124 3,140 3,137 3,037 3,047 3,081 Doorman 4,045 4,088 4,103 4,183 4,233 4,259 4,353 4,359 4,294 4,297 4,206 4,176 4,148 4,109 4,097 4,104 5
QUICK LOOK 2BR MH $2,618 $3,544 Harlem Non Doorman Doorman Average Price 平均賃料 $ 4,218 Non Doorman $3,900 $6,277 Upper West Side Central Park $3,364 $6,140 Upper Side $ 6,101 Doorman $3,453 $5,984 Midtown West Midtown $3,674 $5,502 Price Change YoY 前年比価格上昇率 Murray Hill $3,843 $5,318-4.8 % (-$214) $4,300 $7,308 Chelsea $4,664 $6,741 Gramercy Park Greenwich Village $4,088 $6,007 Village $3,609 $6,072 + 0.4% (+$27) $5,273 $8,311 $7,695 $6,679 SoHo TriBeCa Lower Side $3,598 $5,078 N/A $6,656 Battery Park City Financial District $4,981 $5,900 出所 : MNS Manhattan Rental Market Report http://www.mns.com/manhattan_rental_market_report 2014.12 2015.1 2015.2 2015.3 2015.4 2015.5 2015.6 2015.7 2015.8 2015.9 2015.10 2015.11 2015.12 2016.1 2016.2 2016.3 Non Doorman 4,133 4,313 4,395 4,432 4,271 4,241 4,288 4,234 4,276 4,367 4,313 4,302 4,271 4,187 4,183 4,218 Doorman 6,033 6,210 5,978 6,074 6,184 6,293 6,375 6,315 6,431 6,409 6,274 6,246 6,186 6,173 6,102 6,101 6
RENTAL 賃貸市場 BROOKLYN QUEENS
QUICK LOOK BK OVERVIEW 概要 PRICES 中間賃料 2.7% INVENTORY 在庫 1.6% KEY POINT: Brooklyn の全エリアにおいて 賃料を含む各種指標の上昇が見られ 同エリアに対する需要の高さが確認される 中間賃料ベースでは Manhattan 比 $525 安く 割安感が選好の要因 MAR 16 前年比変化率 MAR 15 Ave Rental Price 平均賃料 $3,065 0.2% $3,059 Median Rental Price 中間賃料 $2,775 2.7% $2,703 # of New Rentals 新規契約数 907 36.6% 664 Days on Market リスティング期間 49-12.5% 56 Listing Discount 割引率 1.1% 1.1% Listing Inventory 市場在庫 1,882 1.6% 1,852 BY TYPE 物件種類別 Median Rental Price 中間賃料 MAR 16 前年比変化率 MAR 15 Studio $2,284 4.4% $2,187 1 Bed Room $2,614 4.3% $2,507 2 Bed Room $3,200 1.4% $3,155 3+ Bed Room $3,575-11.6% $4,043 BY PRICE 賃料別 Median Rental Price 中間賃料 MAR 16 前年比変化率 MAR 15 Luxury (Top 10%) 上位 10% $5,227-12.9% $6,000 New Development 新築 $3,343 2.7% $3,254 出所 : Miller Samuel Inc. Market Report 8
QUICK LOOK RENT BK AVERAGE RENT BY NEIGHBORHOOD $2,618 $3,175 $4,259 Downtown Brooklyn $2,301 $2,980 $4,490 $2,390 $3,054 $3,915 Fort Green $3,037 $3,947 $5,553 DUMBO Brooklyn Heights Clinton Hill $1,972 $2,500 $3,264 $2,403 $2,637 $3,260 Greenpoint Williamsburg $2,956 $3,095 $3,908 Bushwick $1,777 $2,091 $2,517 Studio 1 Bed Room 2 Bed Room Cobble Hill $2,203 $2,803 $3,626 Boerum Hill $2,486 $2,774 $3,604 Park Slope Bed Stuy Crown Heights $1,619 $2,049 $2,386 $1,656 $1,967 $2,532 $2,068 $2,618 $3,268 Prospect Lefferts Gardens $1,503 $1,718 $2,259 Bay Ridge $1,388 $1,708 $2,227 出所 : MNS Brooklyn Rental Market Report http://www.mns.com/brooklyn_rental_market_report 9
QUICK LOOK QN OVERVIEW 概要 PRICES 中間賃料 -5.2% INVENTORY 在庫 42.1% KEY POINT: Queens エリア全体における各種指標は 強気 弱気が混在し 方向性が定まらないものの Manhattan 比の割安感が 底堅い賃貸需要を促している MAR 16 前年比変化率 MAR 15 Ave Rental Price 平均賃料 $2,927-2.1% $2,989 Median Rental Price 中間賃料 $2,799-5.2% $2,952 #of New Rentals 新規契約数 188 19.0% 158 Days on Market リスティング期間 42 31.3% 32 Listing Discount 割引率 2.2% -0.8% Listing Inventory 市場在庫 439 42.1% 309 BY TYPE 物件種類別 Median Rental Price 中間賃料 MAR 16 前年比変化率 MAR 15 Studio $2,415-2.1% $2,468 1 Bed Room $2,725-7.8% $2,957 2 Bed Room $3,600-5.0% $3,790 3+ Bed Room $4,019-26.9% $5,500 BY PRICE 賃料別 Median Rental Price 中間賃料 MAR 16 前年比変化率 MAR 15 Luxury (Top 10%) 上位 10% $4,375-10.8% $4,886 New Development 新築 $3,017-4.7% $3,166 出所 : Miller Samuel Inc. Market Report 10
QUICK LOOK RENT QN AVERAGE RENT BY NEIGHBORHOOD Studio 1 Bed Room 2 Bed Room $2,436 $2,821 $3,697 $1,875 $2,163 $2,526 $1,713 $1,860 $2,111 $1,561 $1,780 $2,215 $1,746 $2,090 $2,582 $1,480 $1,745 $2,356 $1,532 $2,020 $2,582 11
SALE 売買市場 MANHATTAN BROOKLYN QUEENS WESTCHESTER
QUICK LOOK MH OVERVIEW 概要 PRICES 中間価格 中古 35.2% 新築 60.4% SALES 売買取引数 中古 33.1% 新築 94.1% INVENTORY 在庫 中古 11.9% 新築 -44.0% KEY POINT: 前期に引続き 中古 新築市場とも 中間価格が最高値を更新 本格的な景気上昇局面に転じ 建築ラッシュが続くなか 特に 新築 高額物件市場においては 各種指標に強気基調が確認される CONDOMINIUM 1Q 2016 前年比変化率 1Q 2015 Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $2,887,440 33.9% $2,157,129 Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単格 $2,061 34.7% $1,530 Median Sale Price 中間価格 $1,845,000 35.2% $1,365,000 #of Sales (Closed) 売買取引数 1,378 33.1% 1,035 Days on Marketリスティング期間 110-4.3% 115 Listing Discount 割引率 2.0% 9.7% Listing Inventory 市場在庫 3,058 11.9% 2,734 NEW DEVELOPMENT 1Q 2016 前年比変化率 1Q 2015 Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $3,921,677 29.9% $3,018,596 Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単格 $2,360 27.1% $1,857 Median Sale Price 中間価格 $2,606,720 60.4% $1,625,000 # of Sales 売買取引数 621 94.1% 320 Days on Market リスティング期間 162 11.0% 146 Listing Inventory 市場在庫 753-44.0% 1,345 RESALE CONDO HISTORICAL SALE PRICE $2,000,000 $2,100 $1,800,000 $1,900 $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $1,700 $1,500 $1,300 $1,100 $900 $400,000 $700 出所 : Miller Samuel Inc. Market Report Median Sale Price Average PPSF 13
QUICK LOOK BR OVERVIEW 概要 PRICES 中間価格 中古 0.9% 新築 -9.2% SALES 売買取引数 中古 32.4% 新築 -41.9% KEY POINT: 中古市場では 中間価格は横ばいならガも 取引件数は大幅に上昇し 高水準での強気基調の継続が確認される 割安感から中古市場が選好され 新築市場は 多くの指標において軟調基調 CONDOMINIUM 1Q 2016 前年比変化率 1Q 2015 Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $838,651 0.6% $833,952 Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単格 $952 24.3% $766 Median Sale Price 中間価格 $736,616 0.9% $729,750 #of Sales 売買取引数 588 32.4% 444 Days on Market リスティング期間 75 8.7% 69 Listing Discount 割引率 0.2% 3.5% NEW DEVELOPMENT 1Q 2016 前年比変化率 1Q 2015 Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $818,235-11.4% $923,806 Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単格 $1,263 44.2% $876 Median Sale Price 中間価格 $753,505-9.2% $829,500 #of Sales 売買取引数 93-41.9% 160 Days on Market リスティング期間 91 9.6% 83 RESALE CONDO HISTORICAL SALE PRICE $800,000 $1,100 $1,000 $600,000 $900 $800 $400,000 $700 $600 $200,000 $500 $400 $- $300 Median Sale Price Average PPSF 出所 : Miller Samuel Inc. Market Report 14
QUICK LOOK QN OVERVIEW 概要 PRICES 中間価格 CONDO 16.6% CO-OP 4.9% SALES 売買取引数 CONDO 19.4% CO-OP 25.5% KEY POINT: 依然として 他エリアより価格割安感があり 特に現地住民の住居として CONDO 中古 CO-OP 市場においては 各種指標で急激な上昇が続き 市場の強気姿勢が確認される 新築市場においては 直近の急激な価格上昇により 若干の調整局面に転じた様相 CONDOMINIUM 1Q 2016 前年比変化率 1Q 2015 Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $560,604 18.2% $474,412 Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単格 $643 26.1% $510 Median Sale Price 中間価格 $490,000 16.6% $420,405 # of Sales 売買取引数 301 19.4% 252 CO-OP 1Q 2016 前年比変化率 1Q 2015 Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $273,230 10.0% $248,396 Median Sale Price 中間価格 $228,777 4.9% $218,000 # of Sales 売買取引数 951 25.5% 758 NEW DEVELOPMENT 1Q 2016 前年比変化率 1Q 2015 Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $502,999-3.4% $520,554 Ave Price / Sqft SF あたり単格 $930 48.8% $625 Median Sale Price 中間価格 $364,744-28.2% $508,063 # of Sales 売買取引数 52-21.2% 66 RESALE CONDO HISTORICAL SALE PRICE $600,000 $800 $500,000 $700 $400,000 $600 $500 $300,000 $400 $200,000 $300 $100,000 $200 $- $100 出所 : Miller Samuel Inc. Market Report Median Sale Price Average PPSF 15
QUICK LOOK WC OVERVIEW 概要 PRICES 中間価格 HOUSE -5.7% SALES 売買取引数 HOUSE 0.0% KEY POINT: 緩やかながらも 着実な景気拡大基調が続くなか NY 市内の価格上昇を嫌気する購入需要が継続的に流入し 売買取引数が高水準で推移 SINGLE FAMILY 1Q 2016 前年比変化率 1Q 2015 Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $769,654-9.8% $853,596 Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単格 $308-5.5% $326 Median Sale Price 中間価格 $566,000-5.7% $600,000 #of Sales 売買取引数 967 0.0% 967 Days on Market リスティング期間 106-9.4% 117 Listing Discount 割引率 3.9% 4.0% Listing Inventory 市場在庫 3,105 13.6% 2,734 AREA: Median Sale Price 1Q 2016 前年比変化率 1Q 2015 North $625,000-21.2% $793,000 North West $364,950-9.9% $405,250 River Towns $565,000 6.6% $530,000 White Plaints & Vicinity $998,888 3.5% $965,000 * 駐在員を含む日本人に人気のエリア (Harrison, Rye, Scarsdale) は Sound Shore, Lower Market エリアに位置します Sound Shore* $518,750-4.1% $540,750 Lower Market* $1,095,000 0.0% $1,095,000 South $476,750 4.8% $455,000 RESALE SINGLE FAMILY HISTORICAL SALE PRICE $800,000 $400 $350 $600,000 $300 $250 $400,000 $200 $150 $200,000 $100 $50 $- $- 出所 : Miller Samuel Inc. Market Report Median Sale Price Average PPSF 16