S C B SHINKIN CENTRAL BANK 103-0028 1-3-7 TEL.03-5202-7671 FAX.03-3278-7048 URL http://www.scbri.jp 20 1015 GDP 80 S&L
OFHEOHPI 2007 79 0.4 1994 13 1975 2007 912 1995 1-3 100 OFHEO 1980 2000 GDP ( 5.9) 5 2000 1512 3.5 12 8.7 GDP 2 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
GDP 1997 2007 15 39 3.7% GDP 6.8% 10.7% 4.7% 19972006 5.3% 6.0% 5.5% 19972006 2007 221.5 313.6 176.6 1997 193.1 207.6 157.7 2007-14.7% -38.7% 3.7% 30 15 S&P Case-Shiller 20 2006 226.292007 217.07 3 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
10 CME 2007 201.4 2009 184.8 8 Rader Logic National Association of Realtors 100 80% 25% a. $208,700 $263,500 $173,700 $333,000 b. 6.41% 6.35% 6.43% 6.39% c. $1,045 $1,312 $872 $1,665 d. c 25% $50,160 $62,976 $41,856 $79,920 e. $59,833 $67,532 $54,440 $62,526 f. (e/d) 119.3 107.2 130.1 78.2 g. $248,750 $282,625 $225,875 $260,500 h. a/g 0.84 0.93 0.77 1.28 2007 11 100 20% 1 http://www.realtor.org/research.nsf/files/rel0711a.xls/$file/rel0711a.xls 4 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
g 30% 20% FDIC 2 19781998 54 17 2 15 20 1015 2 FDIC, U.S. Home Prices: Does Bust Always Follow Boom?, Feb. 10, 2005 30 15 OFHEOHPI 5 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
ABS 2002 3 1990 2004 69 2004 1990 60 3 Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan at the Ninth Annual Economic Development Summit, The Greenlining Institute, Oakland, California, January 10, 2002 6 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
20 S&L S&L 4 1980 1990 S&L 15 22 37 5 IMF 1,700 19 1980 S&L 4 2004 5 2004 History of the 80s 7 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
18 98 8,900 6 GDP 2007 GDP 1.2 S&L 1989 GDP 2.9 1999 GDP 19.7 S&L 2007 200 10 7 6 Web 19 7 8 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
90 1215 500 RSI 500 9 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
8 9 10 CEO 2007 12 14 8 600 2,400 2,000 3,500 3,500-2,000=1,500 + 2,500 500 2,000 9 20 5 15 10 IO 10 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
870 1=110 FDIC 20042005 1020 LA LA LA 80 A 20 B 11 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
LA CEO 2009 80 90 90 CEO 12 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
ABSCDO ABS) ABS) ABS) ABS CDO AAA AAB () ABSCDO ABS ABSCDO AAB AAA ABSCDO ABS BB ABS ABSCDO ABSCDO AAA S&L 13 New York 19-2 2008.2.27
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RSI Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, History of the 80s Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, FDIC, U.S. Home Prices: Does Bust Always Follow Boom?, Feb. 10, 2005 International Monetary Fund, Financial Market Turbulence Causes, Consequences, and Policies, Global Financial Stability Report, October 2007 NEW YORK 15-5 2004.3.17 15 New York 19-2 2008.2.27