16 2 2014 2 2000 3 4 2010 3 2001 7 27 2020 4 2010 12 2030 5 2008 2020 2009 5 2020 3 Mikhail Barabanov, Sovremennoe Sostoyanie i Perspektivy Razvitiya



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2008 10 2010 2020 2012 5 7 3 1 2020 100 2 1 http://news.kremlin.ru/acts/15242. (2013 10 4 ) 2 Captain Thomas R. Fedyszyn (U.S. [Navy Retired]), Renaissance of the Russian Navy? PROCEEDINGS, March 2012, pp.30-35 Lieutenant Commander Tom Spahn (U.S. Navy Reserve), The Russian Submarine Fleet Reborn, PROCEEDINGS, June 2013, pp.36-41. 35

16 2 2014 2 2000 3 4 2010 3 2001 7 27 2020 4 2010 12 2030 5 2008 2020 2009 5 2020 3 Mikhail Barabanov, Sovremennoe Sostoyanie i Perspektivy Razvitiya Rossiiskogo Flota (The Current Situation and the Perspectives of Development of the Russian Fleet), (Moskva, Tsentr Oboronnoy Informatsii), 2006, pp.6-7. 4 http://www.scrf.gov.ru/documents/34.html (2010 6 18 ) 5 Sobranie Zakonodatelstva Rossiiskoi Federatsii (Statute book of laws and ordinances of the Russian Federation), No.51, St.6954, December 2010, pp.15919-15939. 36

6 7 2010 2 8 SSBN 9 2020 100 SSBN SLBM 8 SSBN 955/955A SSBN 2013 3 2014 10 4 4 955A 2012 7 5 6 2013 11 1985 1991 SSBN 667BDRM 6 2011 23 3 64 7 FOI-NIDS 24 11 43-53 8 http://www.scrf.gov.ru/documents/18/33.html 2010 6 18 9 Krasnaya zvezda, 25 February 2011, http://www.redstar.ru/2011/02/25_02/1_01.html. 2013 10 18 10 Voennyi parad, No.1, 2013, pp.5-7, http://www.rg.ru/printable/2013/11/08/nevskiy-anons.html (2013 12 9 ) 11 Voennyi parad, No.1, 2013, pp.5-7. 37

16 2 2014 2 955/955A 8 885/885M 6 10 677 5 636.6 1164 1 22350 11356M 11661K 15 20380 20385 35 4 667BDRM 1 949A 2 11435 1 11442 2 Igor Korotchenko (ed.), Vooruzhonnye Sily Rossiiskoi Federatsii: Modernizatsiya i Perspektivy Razvitiya (Armed Forces of the Russian Federation: Modernization and the Perspectives of development), (Moskva, Natsionalnaya Oborona), 2012, pp.259-264. Fredrik Westerlund, The Defence Industry, in Carolina Vendil Pallin (ed.), Russian Military Capability in a Ten-Year Perspective 2011, FOI-R--3474--SE, Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI), 2012, pp.69-70 http://function.mil.ru/news_page/person/more.htm?id=11807877 @egnews&_print=true (2013 10 25 ) 10 SSBN 6 SSBN 5 6 2012 1 SSBN R29RM R29RMU 12 10 885/885M 2013 2 2015 3 2013 7 13 677 636.6 14 12 Barabanov, Sovremennoe Sostoyanie i Perspektivy Razvitiya Rossiiskogo Flota, pp.14-15, Korotchenko (ed.), Vooruzhonnye Sily Rossiiskoi Federatsii, p.263. 13 Korotchenko (ed.), ibid., pp.263-264, Voennyi parad, No.3, 2013, p.6, Dmitry Boltenkov, Russian Naval Shipbuilding in 2012, Moscow Defense Brief, No.3, 2013, p.12. 14 Boltenkov, ibid., pp.12-13. 38

1 2014 3 2016 1 2013 3 2013 4 15 22350 11356M 2 6 22350 1 2013 2 3 4 2013 11356M 1 2013 2014 4 3 20380 12 20385 16 2 20380 4 2013 4 20385 2 20380 2 16 2013 10 1 2013 2 2014 2015 2 2011 2006 2015 955 SSBN 1 15 Boltenkov, ibid., pp.13-14, http://function.mil.ru/news_page/person/more.htm?id=11807877@egnews&_ print=true (2013 10 25 ) 16 Boltenkov, ibid., p.13, Krasnaya zvezda, 16 October 2013. 39

16 2 2014 2 1 6 1 24 10% 17 2011 2013 5 48 18 2012 7 SSBN 2020 19 23.4% 4 4,400 2016 30 2020 70% 19 2013 4 20 SSBN 1 12 1996 1999 2004 2 6 2006 3 5 21 17 Nezavisimoe voennoe obozrenie, 11-17 March, 2011. 18 Boltenkov, ibid., p.15. 19 Krasnaya zvezda, 1 August 2012 http://news.kremlin.ru/transcripts/16086/print (2012 8 3 ). 20 Voennyi parad, No.3, 2013, pp.4-6. 21 Barabanov, Sovremennoe Sostoyanie i Perspektivy Razvitiya Rossiiskogo Flota, pp.17-19 Appendix No.4 40

2010 2013 10 2010 2011 2012 2013 1277 1521 1661 2102 487 (38.1%) 380 (78.0%) 316,5 (65.0%) 63,5 (13.0%) 107 (22.0%) 574 (37.7%) 460 (80.0%) 374 (65.0%) 86 (15.0%) 114 (20.0%) 726 (43.7%) 596 (82.1%) 487 (67.0%) 109 (15.0%) 130 (18.0%) 1165 (55.4%) 980 (84.1%) 816 (70.0%) 164 (14.1%) 185 (15.9%) Igor Korotchenko (ed.), Vooruzhonnye Sily Rossiiskoi Federatsii: Modernizatsiya i Perspektivy Razvitiya (Armed Forces of the Russian Federation: Modernization and the Perspectives of development), (Moskva, Natsionalnaya Oborona), 2012, p.279. 3 2011 2013 2013 55.4% 22 SLBM R30 22 Korotchenko (ed.), Vooruzhonnye Sily Rossiiskoi Federatsii: Modernizatsiya i Perspektivy Razvitiya, pp.274-279. 41

16 2 2014 2 1 SSBN 955/955A SLBM 23 2013 9 6 SSBN 2 20 8 3 2020 SLBM 128 148 1 SSBN 955 16 955A 20 24 25 955 R39UTTX 1998 3 MIT MIT M SLBM M 2003 2005 9 26 2020 SLBM 40 23 Roger McDermott, Bulava: Russia s Most Spectacular Defense Industry Failure, The Jamestown Foundation Eurasia Daily Monitor, Vol.10, Issue 188, October 22, 2013. 24 Susanne Oxenstierna and Fredrik Westerlund, Arms Procurement and the Russian Defense Industry: Challenges Up to 2020, The Journal of Slavic Military Studies, Vol.26, January-March 2013, No.1, p.20. 25 McDermott, Bulava: Russia s Most Spectacular Defense Industry Failure. 26 Barabanov, Sovremennoe Sostoyanie i Perspektivy Razvitiya Rossiiskogo Flota, pp.16-18. 42

22350 20380 3M54 3M14 27 2 4 28 2010 11 DCNS 29 30 35 31 27 Oxenstierna and Westerlund, Arms Procurement and the Russian Defense Industry, p.20 and Korotchenko (ed.), Vooruzhonnye Sily Rossiiskoi Federatsii: Modernizatsiya i Perspektivy Razvitiya, p.262. 28 European parliament criticizes France for selling Mistral ship to Russia, Itar-tass, September 9, 2010. 29 Ibid. 30 Aleksandr Chuikov, Reformy Rossiiskoi Armii: ot Petra do Serdiukova, (Reform of the Russian Military: from Peter to Serdiukov) (Eksmo, 2012), pp.253-254. 31 Chuikov, ibid., pp.259-265 43

16 2 2014 2 500 16 2 4 3 4 44

775/775M 11711 32 33 3 20 30 34 2020 23 4 1990 2000 32 Nezavisimoe voennoe obozrenie, 20-26 November, 2009. 33 Chuikov, Reformy Rossiiskoi Armii, pp.254-255. 34 http://premier.gov.ru/events/news/18185. 2012 3 10 45

16 2 2014 2 1980 1996 1998 GDP 15 17% 3% 80% 3 2 30 20% 50 35 1980 2009 74 36 2012 5 600 94 4 1 37 2012 8 38 39 35 Oxenstierna and Westerlund, Arms Procurement and the Russian Defense Industry, pp.15-16. 36 Nezavisimoe voennoe obozrenie, 18-24 December, 2009. 37 http://www.rg.ru/printable/2012/05/18/putin-site.html. (2012 5 20 ) 38 http://www.scrf.gov.ru/news/735.html. (2012 9 10 ) 39 Oxenstierna and Westerlund, Arms Procurement and the Russian Defense Industry, p.19 46

40 2011 7 41 7 2011 5,815 18.5 1,080 M MIT M 42 10 2011 2013 2 2011 20 2013 15.9% 40 Guy Anderson, Briefing: Russia s military doctrine and the challenges for the defence industry, Jane s Defence Industry, 12 February 2010. 41 Reuben F Johnson, Medvedev tells MoD to refuse to buy junk, Janes Defense Weekly, 20 July 2011, p.14. 42 Johnson, Medvedev tells MoD to refuse to buy junk, Rossiiskaya gazeta, 8 July, 2011 http:// www.rg.ru/printable/2011/07/08/serdukov.html. (2011 7 25 ) 47

16 2 2014 2 2011 80% 2013 84.1% 43 44 1939 129 37 45 1998 2003 SSBN 27,000 SSBN 70% 45 43 Mikhail Barabanov, Konstantin Makienko, Ruslan Pukhov, Voennaya reforma: na puti k novomu obliku Rossiiskoi armii (Military reform: On the way for the new look of the Russian armed forces), Valdai Discussion Club, July 2012, pp.32-34. 44 Ibid. 45 Vladimir Karnazov, Carrier Killers for the Russian Navy: The Strategic Environment, RES Security Watch, 1 August 2012, http://www.res.ethz.ch/news/sw/details.cfm?fecvnodeid=123329&v35=123329&fecvi d=35&lng=en&id=150713. (2012 8 1 ) 48

2011 955/955A SSBN 2011 9 10 2011 11 4 955A SSBN4 2 5 46 2012 11 8 2013 2030 47 2030 2016 1180 72% 2020 2011 1.4 2030 2011 3.2 2011 4.5 6050 3379 3 46 Ibid. 47 http://government.ru/docs/3349. (2013 10 ) 49

16 2 2014 2 3 122,999,000 90,270,000 27,500,000 43,400,500 5,575,000 (2009 2016) 48,199,085 http://government.ru/docs/3349 2013 10 9 48 10 50 49 48 Voennyi parad, No.3, 2011, p.11. 49 Nezavisimoe voennoe obozrenie, 3-9 July, 2009. 50

955/955A 50 51 2011 6 MVMS2011 2016 2018 2023 52 50 Nezavisimoe voennoe obozrenie, 15-21 February, 2013. 51 Ibid. 52 Nezavisimoe voennoe obozrenie, 30 September - 6 October, 2011. 51