ゴールド・デマンド・トレンド
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- ゆめじ さわまつ
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1 ,400 1,200 1, Louise Street louise.street@gold.org Krishan Gopaul Krishan.gopaul@gold.org Alistair Hewitt alistair.hewitt@gold.org Marcus Grubb marcus.grubb@gold.org 0 Q1 04 Q1 06 Q1 08 Q1 10 Q1 12 Q1 14 Gold demand 10-year quarterly average Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council Gold Demand Trends Second quarter
2 2 1, % ETF % US$mn Q2 13 Q year average Year on year % change Q2 13 Q year average Year on year % change Jewellery ,057 21,108 23, Technology ,722 4,183 4, Investment ,266 9,752 15,996-5 Total bar and coin demand ,563 11,405 15, ETFs and similar products ,297-1, Central bank net purchases ,187 4,879 3, Gold demand 1, , ,232 39,922 48, Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council 3%
3 % Index level Jan 2013 Apr 2013 Jun 2013 Sept 2013 Dec 2013 Mar 2014 Jun 2014 US dollar Euro Indian rupee Chinese renminbi Source: The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; Thomson Reuters Datastream; World Gold Council Investment commentary, First half _03
4 % % ,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, Q1 04 Q1 06 Q1 08 Q1 10 Q1 12 Q Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council
5 ,400 1,200 1, Q2 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q4 12 Q2 13 Q4 13 Q2 14 Mine production Net producer hedging Recycled gold Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council 04_05
6 % % % 10% 28% % ,600 1,400 1,200 1, H1 04 H1 05 H1 06 H1 07 H1 08 H1 09 H1 10 H1 11 H1 12 H1 13 H Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council
7 new for old 5 star trading house US$/oz January 2014: Banks resume gold imports. July 2013: Introduction of the 80:20 rule. May 2014: Partial easing of RBI restrictions gold imports for some banks and nominated agencies Jan 2012 May 2012 Sept 2012 Jan 2013 May 2013 Sept 2013 Jan 2014 May 2014 Chinese Premium (US$/oz) Indian Premium (US$/oz) 2 Note: Annotations in chart relate to India only. Source: Bloomberg; The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council 4 star/premier trading house _07
8 2 2 20% % May is Gold Month 5 25%
9 ETF % Q1 11 Q3 11 Q1 12 Q3 12 Q1 13 Q3 13 Q1 14 Total bar and coin demand ETFs and similar products 2013 ETF Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council 08_09
10 2 ETF ETF OTC OTC %
11 / chi ring / 10_11
12 % CBGA CBGA H1 11 H1 12 H1 13 H Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council
13 3% 2% SIA % 11% CEO Brian Toohey % % % 8% 5% 2 4% _13
14 , ,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, H Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council
15 % ,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, H1 H Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council 14_15
16 GFMS CPM GFMS Understanding China s gold market ,200 1, China India US GFMS, Thomson Reuters Metals Focus CPM Group Note: This chart represents jewellery fabrication demand, which is different from jewellery consumer demand. Fabrication is the first transformation of gold bullion into a semi-finished or finished product. Consumption demand is equal to fabrication plus or minus jewellery imports or exports and stocking or de-stocking in the supply chain. Source: CPM Group; GFMS, Thomson Reuters; Metals Focus
17 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Jewellery 1, , Technology Electronics Other industrial Dentistry Investment 1, Total bar and coin demand 1, , Physical bar demand 1, , Official coin Medals/imitation coin ETFs and similar products* Central bank net purchases Gold demand 4, , , , , , , London PM fix (US$/oz) 1, , , , , , , , , , *For a listing of the Exchange Traded Funds and similar products, please see the Notes and definitions. Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; World Gold Council Q2 14 vs Q2 13 % chg Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Jewellery 107, ,120 27,026 28,156 28,494 33,057 24,084 21,592 24,199 21, Technology 22,292 18,560 5,545 5,436 5,438 4,722 4,407 4,031 4,107 4, Electronics 15,265 12,682 3,842 3,709 3,725 3,188 3,033 2,761 2,807 2, Other industrial 4,957 4,229 1,205 1,212 1,243 1, Dentistry 2,069 1, Investment 87,268 40,207 23,738 26,008 15,008 10,266 8,082 7,585 11,778 9,752-5 Total bar and coin demand 72,293 80,134 16,422 21,129 24,270 28,563 13,209 15,010 11,884 11, Physical bar demand 55,757 62,571 12,472 16,471 18,655 22,590 10,711 11,310 9,335 8, Official coin 10,450 12,852 2,370 2,757 4,000 4,228 1,818 2,930 1,967 1, Medals/imitation coin 6,086 4,712 1,579 1,901 1,614 1, ETFs and similar products* 14,975-39,927 7,317 4,879-9,261-18,297-5,128-7, ,654 - Central bank net purchases 29,193 18,572 5,967 8,323 6,863 4,187 4,326 3,488 5,166 4, Gold demand 246, ,459 62,276 67,922 55,803 52,232 40,899 36,696 45,250 39, *For a listing of the Exchange Traded Funds and similar products, please see the Notes and definitions. Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; World Gold Council Q2 14 vs Q2 13 % chg 16_17
18 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Investment 1, Total bar and coin demand 1, , Physical bar demand 1, , Official coin Medals/imitation coin ETFs and similar products OTC investment and stock flows Total investment 1, , Total investment US$mn 80,320 49,101 24,613 19,160 13,924 2,599 15,365 16,384 10,094 14, For a listing of the Exchange Traded Funds and similar products, please see the Notes and definitions. 2 For an explanation of OTC investment and stock flows, please see the Notes and definitions. Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; World Gold Council Q2 14 vs Q2 13 % chg Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q2 14 vs Q2 13 % change US$/oz 1, , , , , , , /oz 1, , , , /oz 1, CHF/kg 50, , , , , , , /g 4, , , , , , , Rs/10g 28, , , , , , , RMB/g TL/g Source: The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; Thomson Reuters Datastream; World Gold Council
19 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Supply Mine production 2, , Net producer hedging Total mine supply 2, , Recycled gold 1, , Total supply 4, , , , , , , , , Demand Fabrication Jewellery 1 1, , Technology Sub-total above fabrication 2, , Total bar and coin demand 1, , ETFs and similar Central bank net purchases Gold demand 4, , , , , , , OTC investment and stock flows Total demand 4, , , , , , , , , London PM fix (US$/oz) 1, , , , , , , , , , Jewellery fabrication. The quarterly data differ from those for jewellery consumption shown in Table 2. Fabrication is the first transformation of gold bullion into a semi-finished or finished product. Jewellery consumption is equal to fabrication plus/minus jewellery imports/exports plus/minus stocking/ de-stocking by distributors and manufacturers. On an annual basis, the consumption and fabrication data series will reconcile. 2 For a listing of the Exchange Traded Funds and similar products, please see the Notes and definitions. 3 Excluding any delta hedging of central bank options. 4 For an explanation of OTC investment and stock flows, please see the Notes and definitions. Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; World Gold Council. Data in the table are consistent with those published by GFMS, Thomson Reuters in their Gold Survey but adapted to the World Gold Council s presentation. Q2 14 vs Q2 13 % chg 18_19
20 7 Figures in tonnes Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q Supply Net imports, available for domestic consumption Domestic supply from recycled gold Domestic supply from other sources Equals total supply Domestic supply from local mine production, recovery from imported copper concentrates and disinvestment. 2 This supply can be consumed across the three sectors jewellery, investment and technology. Consequently, the total supply figure in the table will not add to jewellery plus investment demand for India. Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council % of reserves 1 United States 8, % 2 Germany 3, % 3 IMF 2, Italy 2, % 5 France 2, % 6 Russia 1, % 7 China 1, % 8 Switzerland 1, % 9 Japan % 10 Netherlands % 11 India % 12 Turkey % 13 ECB % 14 Taiwan % 15 Portugal % 16 Venezuela % 17 Saudi Arabia % 18 United Kingdom % 19 Lebanon % 20 Spain % % of reserves 21 Austria % 22 Belgium % 23 Philippines % 24 Algeria % 25 Kazakhstan % 26 Thailand % 27 Singapore % 28 Sweden % 29 South Africa % 30 Mexico % 31 Libya % 32 Greece % 33 BIS Korea % 35 Romania % 36 Poland % 37 Iraq % 38 Australia % 39 Kuwait % 40 Indonesia % For information on the methodology behind this data, as well as footnotes for specific countries, please see our table of Latest World Official Gold Reserves, at Source: IMF IFS; World Gold Council
21 Jewellery Q2 13 Q2 14 Q2 14 vs Q2 13, % change Total bar and coin invest Total Jewellery Total bar and coin invest Total Jewellery Total bar and coin invest India Greater China China Hong Kong Taiwan Japan Indonesia South Korea Thailand Vietnam Middle East Saudi Arabia Egypt UAE Other Gulf Turkey Russia USA Europe ex CIS Italy UK France Germany Switzerland Other Europe Total above , Other World total , Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council Total 20_21
22 Jewellery Q2 13 Q2 14 Q2 14 vs Q2 13, % change Total bar and coin invest Total Jewellery Total bar and coin invest Total Jewellery Total bar and coin invest India 8,552 6,778 15,329 6,398 2,055 8, Greater China 12,871 6,451 19,321 6,406 2,207 8, China 11,899 6,253 18,152 5,940 2,035 7, Hong Kong Taiwan Japan Indonesia South Korea Thailand 137 2,076 2, Vietnam 154 1,369 1, Middle East 2, ,704 1, , Saudi Arabia , Egypt UAE , Other Gulf Turkey 1,199 1,751 2, , Russia USA 1,033 1,105 2,138 1, , Europe ex CIS 326 3,957 4, ,077 2, Italy UK France Germany - 1,847 1, Switzerland Other Europe - 1,168 1, Total above 28,554 25,262 53,815 18,412 9,682 28, Other 4,503 3,301 7,804 2,696 1,723 4, World total 33,057 28,563 61,620 21,108 11,405 32, Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; World Gold Council Total
23 11 4 Jewellery 12 months ended Q months ended Q2 14 Year on Year % change Total bar and coin invest Total Jewellery Total bar and coin invest Total Jewellery Total bar and coin invest India , Greater China , , China , , Hong Kong Taiwan Japan Indonesia South Korea Thailand Vietnam Middle East Saudi Arabia Egypt UAE Other Gulf Turkey Russia USA Europe ex CIS Italy UK France Germany Switzerland Other Europe Total above 2, , , , , , Other World total 2, , , , , , Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council Total 22_23
24 12 4 Jewellery 12 months ended Q months ended Q2 14 Year on Year % change Total bar and coin invest Total Jewellery Total bar and coin invest Total Jewellery Total bar and coin invest India 32,618 22,356 54,973 23,516 8,712 32, Greater China 41,787 20,405 62,193 35,184 9,742 44, China 39,061 19,831 58,892 33,101 9,317 42, Hong Kong 2, ,470 1, , Taiwan Japan , Indonesia 1,784 1,387 3,171 1,564 1,065 2, South Korea Thailand 329 7,795 8, ,170 4, Vietnam 590 3,946 4, ,114 3, Middle East 9,138 2,286 11,424 7,434 2,004 9, Saudi Arabia 2, ,585 2, , Egypt 2, ,883 1, , UAE 2, ,707 2, , Other Gulf 1, , , Turkey 3,516 4,154 7,669 2,758 2,530 5, Russia 3,671-3,671 3,069-3, USA 5,574 3,624 9,198 5,228 2,024 7, Europe ex CIS 2,214 13,953 16,168 1,844 9,800 11, Italy 1,133-1, UK 1,081-1,081 1,029-1, France Germany - 5,913 5,913-4,471 4, Switzerland - 3,655 3,655-2,170 2, Other Europe - 4,269 4,269-3,084 3, Total above 102,606 79, ,347 82,405 43, , Other 14,127 10,641 24,768 8,578 7,785 16, World total 116,732 90, ,115 90,983 51, , Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; World Gold Council Total
25 13 Jewellery Total bar and coin invest ETFs and similar* Central banks Total Jewellery Total bar and coin invest US$bn ETFs and similar Technology Technology Central banks , , , , , , , , , , , , ,034 1, , ,029 1, , ,999 1, , ,361 1, , Q Q , Q , Q , Q Q Q Q Q , Q , Q Q , Q , Q , Q , Q , Q , Q , Q , Q , Q , Q Q Q , Q *For a listing of the Exchange Traded Funds and similar products, please see the Notes and definitions. Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; World Gold Council Total 24_25
26 ,500 2, , , ,500 1, H1 13 Jewellery Technology Investment Central bank net purchases H1 14 Net change H H % 2013 ETF 2013 Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council ,400 US$bn 80 1, , Q2 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q4 12 Q2 13 Q4 13 Q2 14 Jewellery Technology Investment Central bank net purchases Gold demand value (US$mn, rhs) % 9% Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; World Gold Council
27 % change US$/oz Rs/10g /g TL/g RMB/g /oz /oz CHF/kg Year-on-year Quarter-on-quarter Source: The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; Thomson Reuters Datastream; World Gold Council 14 ETF / 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, US$/oz 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, Q2 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q4 12 Q2 13 Q4 13 Q2 14 GLD ETFs (ex GLD) London PM fix (US$/oz, rhs) 2013 ETF Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; The London Gold Market Fixing Ltd; World Gold Council 26_27
28 Q2 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q4 12 Q2 13 Q4 13 Q2 14 Electronics Other industrial Dentistry Source: GFMS, Thomson Reuters; World Gold Council
29 Consumer demand Dental ETF ETFs and similar products ETF Gold Bullion Securities London Gold Bullion Securities Australia SPDR Gold Shares streettracks Gold Shares NewGold Gold Debentures ishares Comex Gold Trust ZKB Gold ETF GOLDIST ETF Securities Physical Gold ETF Securities Tokyo ETF Securities NYSE XETRA-GOLD Julius Baer Physical Gold Central Fund of Canada and Central Gold Trust Swiss Gold ishares Gold Bullion Fund Claymore Gold Bullion ETF Sprott Physical Gold Trust ETF Securities Glitter Mitsubishi Physical Gold ETF ishares Gold CH Fabrication Fabrication Jewellery London PM fix Mine production Net producer hedging Central bank net purchases OTC investment and stock flows Physical bar demand Recycled gold Technology Tonne 1,000 32,151 Total bar and coin demand EU 99% Total investment ETF GFMS 28_29
30 2014 World Gold Council. All rights reserved. GFMS The London Gold Market Fixing Limited 2 i ii believe expect may suggest
31 Pulps used to produce this paper are Elemental Chlorine Free (ECF). Scan with your mobile device to access our research app for investors The paper mill and printer are accredited to ISO14001 environmental standards. I
32 World Gold Council 10 Old Bailey, London EC4M 7NG United Kingdom E marketintelligence@gold.org T F W : :
ゴールド・デマンド・トレンド 2013年年間
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特集 平成 2 5 年 5 月 2 2 日東京税関調査部調査統計課 金の輸出入 2012 年の世界の金需要は 4,405 トン 2012 年に合金も含む金を日本は 132 トン輸出し 11 トン輸入しています 日本の 2006 年から 2010 年の平均年間金産出量は 10 トン足らずですが 200
特集 平成 2 5 5 月 2 2 日東京税関調査部調査統計課 金の輸出入 の世界の金需要は 4,45 トン に合金も含む金を日本は 132 トン輸出し 11 トン輸入しています 日本の 6 から 21 の平均間金産出量は 1 トン足らずですが 5 から までの間 毎 トンを超える輸出数量を記録しています 一方 1981 から 1999 まで トンを超えていた輸入数量は に 11 トンとなり過去最低を記録しました
平成 30 年 9 月中対外 対内証券投資 ( 速報 ) Portfolio Investment Assets/Liabilities, September 2018 (Preliminary) ( 付表 3 / Appendix table 3) 対外 対内証券投資 Portfolio Inve
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平成 30 年 1 月中対外 対内証券投資 ( 速報 ) Portfolio Investment Assets/Liabilities, January 2018 (Preliminary) ( 付表 3 / Appendix table 3) 対外 対内証券投資 Portfolio Invest
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鉄スクラップ : 欧州マーケット JISRI, Kobe, Japan, June 2019 デイビスインデックス社について デイビスインデックス社は価格に関するレポートやデータ分析により世界のスクラップマーケット情報を提供しています 創業者 : ショーン デビッドソン Fastmarkets AMM 社や Argus Metal Prices 社において記者として 10 年以上従事 新断価格指標や先物の創設に携わった
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