2007 21 1564 1
15 (a) (b) (c) 80 90 90 (a)(b)(c) 90 2
90 90 3.8 13.1 90 2.6 1.2 1998 19982025 0.43 202550 0.94 90 0.14 0.08 0.87 0.91 1.71 2.10 1.93 1.88 3
1998 81 80 90 1.9 2.5 90 0.5 70 3.5 80 2.8 70 0.6 80 1.5 2025 202550 1.5 1998 2025 1.57 202550 0.56 4
2025 2050 2010 119 2050 479 26.5 19.3 43.0 34.0 449 1,114 2.5 330 1.9 635 2 2025 1.3 2050 1.2 2.2 5
1998 1,300 3 1998 13.7 11.5 4 22.6 20 30 1998 0.92 2025 8.0 2050 5.9 2050 2,828 2.7 2,814 9.2 25.7 1998 0.92 2050 5 6
19982025 1.85 202550 1.13 100 1,709 28 1998 481 616 1,709 4,989 7
100 8
2010 9
84 1995 1995 60 60 62.5 10 10
4050 1.43.1 6.6 11
1970 1998 32 12 12
10 23.6 65 33.1 13
20 1980 90 6.6 8.0 14
15
2005 34.0 2008 35.2 2018 40.2 2043 64.0 km 28.1 43.8 16
1564 1998 183 2025 152 31 180 150 2069 1998 4,517 2025 3,837 15 70.4km 2025 17
2025 3,009 33 1. 18
2. 2025 2050 1.5 2025 0.8 2050 0.5 2025 1.1 2050 0.7 3. [1993] = Horioka.C.Y.[1991] The Determinants of Japan s Saving Rate:The Impact of the Age Structure of the population and other Factors, The Economic Studies Quarterly,vol.42 [1990] 1 [1996] = = 4. 25.8 11.5 5. 22.6 50 2025 0.2 2050 3.8 20 10 2025 0.5 2050 1.0 2010 Horioka.C.Y.[1991] [1990] [1996] 12 10 27 93 1995 68 1990 12 19
20 91 9
1. 98 1 300 20 2. 97 96 94 9198 IMF,"International Financial Statistics Yearbook 1999" ILO,"Yearbook of Labour Statistics" U.S.Bureau of Economic Analysis,"Survey of Current Business" U.S.Bureau of Labor Statistics,"Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey" 21
1. 2. 3. 197090 U.S.Bureau of Economic Analysis,"Survey of Current Business" "Net Stock Estimates of Fixed Assets and Consumer Durable Goods" 22
1. 2. 96 90 GDP96 GDP 90 GDP96 90 GDP 3. 69 CHASS70 OECD U.S.Bureau of Economic Analysis,"Survey of Current Business" U.S.Bureau of Labor Statistics,"Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey" CHASS,"Penn World Tables data" OECD,"Purchasing Power Parities and Real Expenditures" 200025 202550 1998 1.97 0.47 1.50 1.36 0.89 0.47 1997 2.14 0.77 1.37 1.54 0.99 0.55 1. 2. 3. 4. 91 151 23
1998 2025 2050 732 1,250 1,814 2.0 1.5 449 768 1,114 2.0 1.5 119 296 479 3.4 1.9 27% 39% 43% 330 471 635 1.3 1.2 199820252050 / ()1 732 1,250 1,814 ()1 497 756 866 ()3 282 439 503 ()3 23 25 29 ()2 6,790 6,045 4,776 ()2 5,354 5,138 4,060 ()2 1,436 907716 / 4497681,114 409 667 962 81 179 229 ()4 54 129153 ()5 275076 / 119296479 79 / 80 213320 / 4083159 / 26.5 38.6 43.0 19.3 29.2 34.0 330471635 / 393 625 862 12,64912,09110,050 2025 2.0 2050 1.5 1998. 19982025 2.0 20252050 1.5. 1998 24
.2025 2050 1998 1998 78.8 2025 85. 1998 61.4 85 34.20.711 0.882 t 197898 12.294. 2000 3 2025 80 2050 91 1.098 19.6 19.6 1.098 7 218.4 2025 104 1997 90 1.1 77 50 2050 2025 1.0 90 2.5 1997 2025 3.5 2025 39 2050 50 1999 2000 4.3 1.9 44 2010 6.9 3.0 2025 20002010 3.9 2050 1.0 2025 5 2050 7 90 3 2025 2050 5. 1998 11 2025 15 2050 20. 9 1 25
20 1998 2025 2050 1,030 1,766 2,814 9.2 16.0 25.7 (4.3%) (5.0%) (6.1%) 1,303 2,135 2,828 13.7% 8.0% 5.9% 30 1998 2025 2050 1,030 1,596 2,305 9.2 14.5 21.1 (4.3%) (4.6%) (5.1%) 1,303 1,930 2,317 13.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1998 2025 2050 1,030 1,380 2,087 9.2 12.6 19.0 (4.3%) (4.0%) (4.6%) 1,303 1,668 2,098 13.7% 3.8% 4.4% 1. 1998 2. 1998 0.92 20 1998 0.20 1998 0.22 10 1998 1.50 1998 1.22 1998 2.01 3. 1 1 2 2 3 3 1014 21564 11564 365 1 3 98 3 11.5 1 3 2 222.6 22.6 4. 16 5. 26
96 208 882 23.5 478 113 365 1,153 2,242 51.4 8 4 4 697 1,575 44.2 182 81 102 291 735 39.5 63 25 38 2,351 2,366 99.4 50 50 0 1,313 1,116 117.6 59 59 0 1,052 838 125.6 574 574 0 704 1,332 52.8 567 299 267 642 844 76.0 709 539 170 3,141 5,190 60.5 44 27 17 833 1,224 68.1 384 261 123 563 887 63.5 1,115 708 407 2,658 3,364 79.0 306 242 64 522 572 91.4 1,760 1,609 152 880 500 176.0 401 401 0 758 973 77.9 6,699 4,989 1,709 1. 2. 96 90 2. 3. 4. 96 OECD 93 96 1 108.8 5. 6. / 7. U.S.Bureau of Economic Analysis,"Survey of Current Business" U.S.Bureau of Labor Statistics,"Establishment Data in Employment and Earnings Statistics" OECD,"Purchasing Power Parities and Real Expenditures" 27
102.7010.474 2 0.281 2.300 t 1. 100 18 2. 3. 953 893 4. 5. 100 1994 3-7 1995 28
87.27412.743 2 0.817 7.079 t 1. 100, 90 14 2. 95 2. 3. 96 "Food,beverages and tobacco" 1 255 OECD,"National Accounts of OECD Countries" 1 8 1996 OECD,"National Accounts 1984-1996 Vol." 29
1. 100 90 14 2. 95 94 91 2. 96 "Consumer goods" 1 221 OECD,"National Accounts 1984-1996 Vol." 18 1. 2. 65 65 30
5 3.4240.160 2 0.509 4.072 t 1. 98 96 2. 3. 4. 1 2 OECD,"Labour Force Statistics" 31
32 1. 1998 1999 1 1998 2025 1.57 202550 0.56 199498 1.51 1998 87.5 2. 92 87 91 93 1998 2025 2050 32.10 46.06 98 1.4 72.72 98 2.3
1.2000 1998 2.2000 1564 3. 1. 1km 1 2.2000 1998 3.2000 20 69 33