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Transcription:

Barro Regression

Does social capital improve regional economic growth? - Investigation using prefectural cross-sectional data in Japan - Abstract The purpose of this research is to empirically examine the relationship between social capital and regional economic growth using prefectural data in Japan. The concept of social capital has been increasingly discussed in recent literature, however, research on social capital has just started in Japan. There is no established technique to measure social capital quantitatively. In this research, I measure the level of social capital by the index of trust and the index of norm. These indices are thought to be the main components of social capital because they promote cooperation among community members. Making use of these indices, I conduct an empirical test using Barro Regression method, which is often used in empirical studies on cross-country economic growth differences. I find that the norm index has a positive impact on regional economic growth, while the trust index does not. The finding suggests that social capital improves the regional economic growth in Japan and policy makers should take into consideration the positive effect from social capital to stimulate the regional economy. Key Words: social capital, trust, norm, regional economic growth

Putnam1993 Putnam 1,2 Putnam Knack and Keefer(1997) Coase Williamson 3 1 (2000) 2 (2004) 3 Milgrom and Roberts(1992)

4 4 Putnam (2003) Barro Regression Barro Regression D GDP Putnam 4 (2004)

5 La Porta et al.(1997) Knack and Keefer(1997) 1980 1990 1991 World Values Surveys 1000 Knack and Keefer 29 Barro Regression 2003 5 1996 Social Capital Initiative http://www1.worldbank.org/prem/poverty/scapital/index.htm2005 11

Putnam 6 6 web 2003 1 3 1,878 web 2,000

Barro Regression Barro Regression GDP P ( ) ( ln y ln y ) = c + y + β x + β x + + β x u 1 T T 0 λ ln 0 1 1 2 2 n n + yt T GDP y0 0 GDP c x1 x 2 x n u 7 Barro(1991) Barro Regression 8 http://www1.worldbank.org/prem/poverty/scapital/schowmeas1.htm 17 11 7 8 15

2003 Barro Regression (2001) 9 2003 NHK 1978 1996 5 10 Knack and Keefer(1997) 9 Barro(1997) 10 NHK 900 ( 75 12 ) 42,300 1996 29,620

11 (2003) 12 1978 11 (2003)1980 12 12

(2003) (2003) (2003) 1980 1999 13 (1)(2)(3) GDP 14 13 GDP 1990 14 Barro. and Sala-i-Martin(1995)(2000)(2000)

(4) 1996 15 (5)19801990 GDP GDP Barro regression 16 (6) Shioji(2001) (7) (8) 17 15 1978 16 Sala-i-Martin(1997)(2001) 17

(9) (10) GDP 18 (11) DID 0.0035 10 2003 (1999)(1980) (1980)(1980) 18

(2003) Putnam(1993) 19 Knack and Keefer 19 Fukuyama(1995)

Putnam Knack and Keefer 20 Barro Regression Putnam 20 (2001) (p.10) (2004)

21 21 (2004)NPO

(1) (2) GDP (3) 15 (4) Shioji(2001) ij ( A A ) S ln / jt j At t Ajt t j Sij t i j (5) (6) (7) 15 65 65 (8) (9) 1980

(10) (11) GDP

NHK 12 =100 1978 1996 1981 1996 1980 1995 i C i C i = 1 Di n i σ n = 1 D i σ D i n47 94

- 20 -

Barro,Robert,J.(1991) Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries Quartely Journal of Economics 106,2,pp.407-443. Barro,Robert.J. and Xavier Sala-i-Martin(1995) Economic Growth, McGraw-Hill,1997,1998 Barro,Robert.J.(1997) Determinants of Economic Growth, MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass,2001 Fukuyama,Francis(1995) Trust:The social Virtues and the Creation of Prosperity, Free Press,1996 Knack,Stephen and Keefer,Philip(1997) Does Social Capital have an Economic Payoff? : Cross-Country Investigation The Quarterly Journal of Economics, November,112(4),pp.1251-1288. La Porta,R.,Lopez-Silanes,F.,Shleifer,A.and Vishny,R.(1997) Trust in Large Organizations American Economic Review,87,2,pp.333-338. Mankiw,N.Gregory,David Romer, and David N.Weil(1992) A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, 2, pp.407-437. Putnam.Robert(1993) Making Democracy Work,Princeton,NJ:Princeton University PressNTT 2001 Paul,Milgrom and John,Roberts(1992) Economics,Organization and Management,Englewood Cliffs,New Jersey 07632:Prentice-Hall, NTT 2001 Shioji,Etsuro(2001) Public Capital and Economic GrowthA Convergence Approach Journal of Economic Growth, vol6, pp.205-227. (2002) (2000) β Convergence vol.15 (2000) 2004 3 (2002) (2001) 2000 (2001) 54 (2003) 1999 39

2004 (2004) 2004