宮本大輔 山川修治

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No.53 2018 pp.163 175 PDO The Relationships between Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Synoptic Climate System Daisuke MIYAMOTO and Shuji YAMAKAWA Accepted November 30, 2017 We investigated the relationships between Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and synoptic climate system using PDO Index (Washington Univ.) and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. In tropical zones, we found a positive correlation between PDO and sea level pressure (SLP) in the areas of Southeast Asia, South Asia, Middle East and a part of Africa. The variations in the location and intensity of Walker circulation are dependent on PDO as well as ENSO. In the Northern Hemisphere, we detected a correlation between PDO and not only Siberian High but also Aleutian Low in January. The PDO warm phase is characterized by the quasi-stationary 3-wave pattern at 500 hpa and a warm winter in East Asia. It is pointed out that Arctic Oscillation (AO) tends to be in a positive phase in January. In summer, we revealed a positive correlation between PDO and Okhotsk High in August. PDO tends to be at a statistically significant level with SLP in the Okhotsk Sea with a ridge in the Far East at 500 hpa in both June and August. In the Southern Hemisphere, South Pacific High seems to be strong in the PDO cool phase. This study indicated a negative correlation between PDO and South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ). Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) tends to be in a negative/positive phase during the warm/cool PDO phase, respectively. The quasi-stationary 3-wave pattern shows a tendency to prevail in January during the PDO cool phase. Keywords: Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), Arctic oscillation (AO), Antarctic oscillation (AAO), South Pacific convergence zone (SPCZ), Okhotsk High, Siberian High, Aleutian Low Mantua et al. 1997 SST Pacific Decadal Oscillation; PDO PDO 2005 PDO PDO PDO Mantua and Hare (2002 ; Zanchettin et al. (2008) ; Deflorio et al. (2013) ; Krishnamurthy et al. (2014); Urabe and Maeda (2014) PDO 2 3 PDO 4 5 PDO 6 1 8 156-8550 3-25-40 156-8550 3-25-40 Graduate School of Integrated Basic Sciences, Nihon University: 3-25-40 Sakurajosui Setagaya-ku, Tokyo, 156-8850 Japan Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, College of Humanities and Sciences, Nihon University: 3-25-40 Sakurajosui, Setagaya-ku, Tokyo 156-8550, Japan 163 147

宮本大輔 山川修治 2 1.5 1 0.5 0-0.5 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015-1 -1.5 1 PDO 1975 2015 本 1 PDO Index 大 2 SLP 500hPa NCEP/NCAR 3 OLR NOAA PDO Index SLP 500hPa OLR 1981 2015 OLR 1981 2013 PDO SLP 500hPa OLR 1975 2015 OLR 1975 2013 1 PDO Index PDO 5 1983 1987 1993 1997 2015 1975 1999 2008 2011 2012 PDO PDO Index 2015 本 PDO PDO 10 SST 20 N SST EOF 1 Mantua et al., 1997 SST 20 N ENSO SST PDO PDO 2 PDO Index SST EOF PC1 3 PDO Index 1900 1 2015 10 1920 1940 1980 1990 2014 2015 PDO 1900 1920 1940 1980 2000 PDO PDO 1 1 4a 1 PDO SLP PDO PDO 4b 1 PDO 500hPa 148 164

PDO 2 PDO Web-site (http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/pdo) 3 PDO 1900 1 2015 10 Web-site (http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/pdo) 4c 1 PDO OLR 2 8 5a 8 PDO SLP 8 PDO PDO PDO PDO 2016 5b 8 PDO 500hPa 5c 8 PDO OLR 165 149

宮本大輔 山川修治 4 1 PDO (a)slp (b)500hpa (c)olr 150 166

PDO 5 8 PDO (a)slp (b)500hpa (c)olr 167 151

宮本大輔 山川修治 6 SLP 1 hpa 95 (a)pdo (b)pdo (c)pdo (d)pdo SPCZ 大 PDO 1 1 6 PDO SLP 1 6a AO 山川 2005 山 2008 6b 本 6c AAO 山 川 2010 6d AAO 7 PDO 500hPa 1 7a 3 AO 152 168

PDO 7 500hPa 1 m 95 (a)pdo (b)pdo (c)pdo (d)pdo 7b 2 7c AAO 7d 3 8 PDO 850hPa 8a 8b 8c 8d 169 153

宮本大輔 山川修治 8 850hPa 1 m/s 95 (a)pdo (b)pdo (c)pdo (d)pdo 9 PDO 200hPa 9a 8 本 9b 8 10 PDO OLR 1 10a 大 10b 大 2 8 11 PDO SLP 8 11a 11b 154 170

PDO 9 200hPa 1 m/s 95 (a)pdo (b)pdo 10 OLR 1 W/m 2 95 (a)pdo (b)pdo 11c 11d 12 PDO 500hPa 8 12a 500hPa 2000 12b 12c 12d 13 PDO 850hPa 8 13a c 13b d 171 155

宮本大輔 山川修治 11 SLP 8 hpa 95 (a)pdo (b)pdo (c)pdo (d)pdo 14 PDO 200hPa 8 14a 14b 15 PDO OLR 8 15a SPCZ 15b PDO 大 PDO Index NCEP/ NCAR SLP PDO PDO ENSO 1 PDO 500hPa 3 1 AO 8 PDO 8 500hPa 本 PJ Nitta 1987 156 172

PDO 12 500hPa 8 m 95 (a)pdo (b)pdo (c)pdo (d)pdo SPCZ PDO AAO 1 8 3 1 GrADS PDO Index NCEP/NCAR NOAA OLR 2016 173 157

宮本大輔 山川修治 13 850hPa 8 m/s 95 (a)pdo (b)pdo (c)pdo (d)pdo 14 200hPa 8 m/s 95 (a) (b)pdo 158 174

PDO 15 OLR 8 W/m 2, 95 (a)pdo (b)pdo Deflorio, M. J. and Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., Miller, A. J. (2013) : Western U.S. Extreme Precipitation Events and Their Relation to ENSO and PDO in CCSM4. Journal of Climate, 26, 4231-4243. Krishnamurthy, L. and Krishnamurthy, V. (2014) : Influence of PDO on South Asian summer monsoon and monsoon-en- SO relation. Clim Dyn, 42, 2397-2410. Mantua, N. J. and Hare, S. R. (2002) : The Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Journal of Oceanography, 58, 35-44. Mantua, N. J., Hare, S. R., Zhang, Y., Wallace, J. M. and Francis, R. C. (1997) : A Pacific Interdecadal Climate Oscillation with Impacts on Salmon Production. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 78 (6), 1069-1079. 2016 PDO. 2016 D364 531p. 2015 PDO 62 (7), 609-611. Nitta, T. (1987) : Convective Activities in the Tropical Western Pacific and Their Impact on the Northern Hemisphere Summer Circulation. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 65 (3), 373-390. Urabe, Y. and Maeda, S. (2014) : The Relationship between Japan s Recent Temperature and Decadal Variability. SOLA, 10, 176-179. 2008 117 (6), 1051-1062. 2010 ENSO 216-219. 2000 17, 25-30. 2005 114 (3), 460-484. Zanchettin, D., Franks, S. W., Traverso, P. and Tomasino, M. (2008) : On ENSO impacts on European wintertime rainfalls and their modulation by the NAO and the Pacific multi-decadal variability described through the PDO index. International Journal of Climatology, 28, 995-1006. 175 159