Lecture Part I Formation of the Modern World System World System.. Long Waves of Kondratieff J. Goldstein) Kuniko 2 1
Lecture Bibliography/ 1989, 85 1987,151-189 1991 1989 1,6 1978. Joshua S. Goldstein, Long Cycles: Prosperity and War in the Modern Age, New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1988. 82 1986. 3 World System Immanuel Wallerstein) ( 4 2
Lecture World System/ Formation / 01 Bartholomeu Diaz) Cape of Good Hope) (1488) Lisbon core Vasco da Gama: 1498 ( 500 1998 ( Henry the Navigator, Henrique el Navogador, 1394-1460): 5 World System/ Formation Portugal s Discovery of India/ 02 /// ( 1584 1590 ( In recognition of the importance of the ocean, the marine environment and its resources for life and earth and for sustainable development, the United Nations has decided 1998 as the International Year of the Ocean. The UN General Assembly formally adopted the proposal in Dec. 1994. 6 3
Lecture Cycles/ Medium and Short Cycles / 01 Joseph Armstrong Kitchin) Joseph Clement Juglar1819-1905 1984 7 World System/ Formation (Treaty of Tordesillias) 1494 : Treaty of Tordesillias) : divided the world, giving Portugal all rights in Asia and in the Atlantic up to Brazil, and Spain all right in lands west of Brazil ( Columbus 1493 Portugal Spain Portugal Spain Brazil Cabral Portugal Philippines Magellan Spain 8 4
Lecture World System/ Formation )/ 01 Cortes (1521) Pizarro (1533) Portugal/Spain 9 World System/ Formation )/ 02 /// [ ] core 10 5
Lecture World System/ Trends and Cycles Webster s Dictionary) 11 Cycles/ Medium and Short Cycles / 02 /// Kuznets Simmon Smith Kuznets, 1901-19 ): 17 20 GNP 20 20 12 6
Lecture Cycles/ Long Wave of Kondratieff Nikolai Dmitrievich Kondratieff (1892-1920 50 13 Cycles/ Long Wave of Kondratieff 14 7
Lecture Kondratieff Wave Kuniko INOGUCHI 15 Cycles/ Kondratieff Wave/ ( 16 8
Lecture Cycles/ Kondratieff Wave/ Joseph Alois Schumpeter (1883-1950) G. Gerhard Mensh Depression Trigger (Gerhard Mensh, Stalemate in Technology: Innovations Overcome the Depression, Cambridge: Ballinger, 1979.) 17 Goldstein / 01 Joshua Goldstein Kondratieff F. Blodel 17 19 20 18 9
Lecture Goldstein 19 World System/ / 1980-88) IT 20 10