4 29 [13] bility high consequence) [14] LPHC ( ) ( ) [15] (Multi-Parameter [2] Radar) km 2.5 km 30 ( ) 500 m 500 m ( ) ( ) : ;

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29 1 2010 01 PROGRESS IN GEOGRAPHY Vol.29 No.1 Jan. 2010 ( / 210093) : 100 10 ( : ) ( : ) ; : ; ; : ; ; ; 1 2 2000 2004 2004 23 100 [1] ( ); ; ; ( 2000 ); 2.1 ( ) 100 (LPHC: low proba- :2009-08; : 2009-10. : FP7-230824 ECURBS ; (973) (2010CB428506); ; ; : (1964-) : E-mail:guofang.zhai@gmail.com 003-009

4 29 [13] bility high consequence) [14] LPHC ( ) 2006 6 2 ( ) [15] (Multi-Parameter [2] Radar) 2.5 23 2 km 2.5 km 30 ( ) 500 m 500 m ( ) 25 30 ( ) : ; 10 m 10 m ; ; 2 2.3 200 1000 ( ( ) [16] ) 2000 ZHAI [18] 2004 Journal of Natural Disasters [3-9] 2.2 ; [17] [19] [20] [21] SHOJI [22] 2004 [10] [23] USHIYAMA [11] ZHAI [12] [24]

1 : 5 TATANO [25] ( ) [26-27] [42] ( ) ZHAI [28] [43] 2.4 ( ) [41] [46] 2.4.1 (GIS) 3 : 2.4.2 (1) (risk perception and acceptability) (risk communication) [29] 2000 ( ) [30] [47] [31] 15 ZHAI [32] [48] (multi-risk context) ZHAI [33] [49] WebGIS ( 1/10 10/100) (willingness to pay) ZHAI [34] ( ) [50] 2393 (2) ( ) [35] [51] ; [36] KURITA [37] [52] [38] : [39] [40] [44] [45] [41] (3) [53-54]

6 29 (e-community plat- (PAFRICS) form) NPO ; 2000 : ( : ) [55] ( : ) ; 2.5 2001 ( ) (1) 5 [56] ZHAI [57] ZHAI [58] OKADA [59] PDCA(plan-do- check-action) (urban (adaptive diagnosis) management) [60-67] (risk control) : (risk financing ); (risk premium) ( ) HARTMANN [68] [69] [70] (3) 3 (2) :

1 : 7 [EB/OL].(2009-7-23)[2009-8-8]. http://www. bousai.go.jp/jishin/chubou/suigai/index.html [3] Srivichai M Supharatid S Imamura F. Recovery process in Thailand after the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2007 29(1): 3-12. [4] Muhari A Diposaptono S Imamura F. Toward an integrated Tsunami disaster mitigation: Lessons learned from previous Tsunami events in Indonesia. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2007 29(1): 13-19. [5] Harsha A Ratnasooriya R Samarawickrama S P et al. Post Tsunami recovery process in Sri Lanka. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2007 29(1): 21-28. [6] Kurita T Arakida M Colombage S R N. Regional charac- teristics of Tsunami risk perception among the Tsunami 1968 affected countries in the Indian Ocean. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2007 29(1): 29-38. [7] Takahashi M Tanaka S Kimura R et al. Restoration after the Sumatra earthquake Tsunami in Banda Aceh: Based : ; on the results of interdisciplinary researches by Nagoya U- ; niversity. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2007 29(2): ; 53-61. [8] Nakazato H Murao O. Study on regional differences in permanent housing reconstruction process in Sri Lanka after the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami. Journal of Natural (4) Disaster Science 2007 29(2): 63-71. [9] Wickramasinghe V Takano S. Revival of tourism in Sri 3S Lanka following the December 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2007 29 (2): 83- ; ; ; 95. [10] ほか. のたな ; にづく シミュレ ション ; システムの. 2001 No. 691/ - 57: 42-43. (5) [11] USHIYAMA Motoyuki TAKRA Kaoru. An internet-based real-time heavy rainfall display system. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2002 24(2): 43-49. [12] ほか. システムの とダム の. 2005 No. 803/ -73: 13-27. [13] ほか. ダム をする システムをいた の. 2006 50: 601-606. [14] ほか. モデルを いた システムの と への. 2007 26(2): 189-201. [15] ( ). リアルタイム あめリスク. ナウ [EB/OL]. (2009-8- 8) [2009-8 -8].http://gis.mapservice.jp/jp/go/bosai/MP - Radar/index.html. [1]. リスクの とその について : な リスクマネジメント の に けて. : 2005 15: 25-38. [2] ( ). にする [16]. マニュアル ( )( 12 ). [17] グルプ. アンケト による [J/ OL]. (2002-09)[2009-7-23 ]. RISK-065:18-25. http:// www.nliro.or.jp/disclosure/risk/index.html. [18] Zhai Guofang Fukuzono T Ikeda S. Modeling flood damage: Case of Tokai flood 2000 Journal of the American Water Resources Association 2005 41(2): 77-92. [19] 々 ほか. を としたライフライン の. 2005 23(4): 553 564. [20] ほか. における の にする. D 2007 63(2): 88-100. [21] 々. の ライフライン による への の.

8 29 2007 24: 243-250. [22] Shoji G Moriyama T. Evaluation of the structural fragility of a bridge structure subjected to a Tsunami wave load. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2007 29(2): 73-81. [23]. と の に する. 45 B-2 2002. [24] Zhai Guofang Fukuzono T Ikeda S. Effect of flooding on megalopolitan land prices: A Case study of the 2000 Tokai Flood in Japan. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2003 25(2): 23-36. [25] Tatano H Homma T Okada N et al. Economic restoration after a catastrophic event: Heterogeneous damage to infrastructure and capital and its effects on economic growth. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2004 26(2): 81-85. [26] ほか. による と に す る. 2006 12: 175-180. [27] ほか. による び の - の への を して. シミュレ ションモデル. 2005 23(4): 2007 13: 427-432. [28] Zhai Guofang Fukuzono T Ikeda S. An empirical model of fatalities and injuries due to floods in Japan. Journal of the American Water Resources Association. 2006 42 (4): 863-875. [29]. としての :. 38 2002. 15(1): 23-28. [30] : リスクの に [47] ( ) : を ぼす. 2004 20 (1): 58-67. [31]. のリスク に する と の 2006 12: 169-174. [32] Zhai Guofang Ikeda S. Empirical analysis of Japanese flood risk Acceptability within multi-risk context. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 2008 8: 1049-1066. [33] Zhai Guofang Suzuki T. Effects of risk representation and scope on willingness to pay for reduced risks: Evidence from Tokyo Bay Japan. Risk Analysis 2008 28 (2): 513-522. [34] Zhai Guofang Suzuki T. Risk perception in Northeast A- sia. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 2009 157: 151-167.. [35] ほか. の に ぼす び の. [53]. リスクコミュニケ 2002 63. ション システム :2006 [EB/OL]. (2006-03 -27) [36]. への [2009-8-8]. http://www.pafrics.org/index.php を する. The Japanese Journal of Psychology 2004 75(1): 72-77. [37] Kurita T Ikeda M Suzuki K et al. Promotion of community-based disaster reduction activity through hands -on training in Sri Lanka. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2007 29(2): 41-51. [38]. の リス ク と とのズレ. 2007 24: 299-306. [39]. に する の えとその の. 2008 25: 85-92. [40]. における の. 2009 27(3): 319-330. [41]. シミュレ ション の と への. 2001 20(2): 183-195. [42] ほか. を にした に わる の にわ る. 2002 46: 319-324. [43]. における モデルの とその. 2002 21 (1): 51-66. [44].. を した 521-538. [45]. のた めの に づくマルチエ ジェントシミュレ タの. 2005 8: 629-636. [46]. GIS を いた システムの. GIS- と 2007 ハザ ドマップ. マニュアル 2003. [48]. イベント のハザ ドマップに する と. 2004 23 (3): 349-361. [49] ほか. WebGISベ スの ハザ ドマップの とその に する. 2005 23(4): 539-551. [50] ( ). ハザ ドマップと にする 2006. [51]. リスク? コミュニケ ションのための ハザ ドマップのあり に する. : D 2007 63 (4): 498-508. [52] ほか. に する をしたリスクコミュニケ ション の. 2008 27(1): 25-43. [54]. マップ : 2007 [EB/OL]. (2007-02-27)[ 2009-8-8]. http://engan.bosai.go. jp/engan/index.htm [55] ほか. ビデオスト リ

1 : 9 を いた のための の の に する. 200927(4): 401-413. [56] Ikeda S Fukuzono T Sato T. A Better Integrated Governance of Disaster Risks: Toward Resilient Society to E- merging Disaster Risks In Mega -cities. TERRAPUB and NIED 2006. [57] Zhai Guofang Fukuzono T Ikeda S. Multi-attribute evaluation of flood management in Japan: A choice experiment approach. Water and Environment Journal 2007 21 (4): 265-274. [58] Zhai Guofang Suzuki T. Public willingness to pay for environmental management risk reduction and economic development: Evidence from Tianjin China. China Economic Review 2008 19(4): 551-566. [59] Okada N. Urban diagnosis and integrated disaster risk management. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2004 26(2): 49-54. [60]. カタストロフ. リスクと の. 2000639/ IV-46: 39-52. [61]. のフロンティア : パラダイムを えて. にする 6 2000: 237-242. [62]. による リスクの. 2000 660/IV-49:111-123. [63]. サンクコストと : リアルオプションアプロ チ. に する 2001 7 : 417-422. [64] ほか. リスクの と. 2002 8 : 161-166. [65]. リスクマネジメントと.. 2002 19(1): 1-12. [66]. による リスク. 200016:369-380. [67]. と リス ク. 2001 18(2): 275-286. [68] Hartmann J Okada N Levy Jason K. Integrated disaster risk management strategy to prevent exposure to hazardous substances due to inundation triggered releases: A concept for Japan. Journal of Natural Disaster Science 2004 26 (2): 87-93. [69]. と の を した な リスクマネジメント の システム. 200511:215-220. [70]. リスクガバナンス の と. リスク 2008 17(3): 13-24. Progress in Japanese Flood Risk Management Research ZHAI Guofang (Department of Urban and Regional Planning/Laboratory for Urban Disaster and Public Safety Nanjing University Nanjing 210093 China) Abstract: Like China Japan is a country with frequent flood occurrence but has achieved great progress in flood disaster management through more than 100 -year exploration and practice. This paper reviews the literatures on the flood disaster risk in Japan and finds that Japan pays many attentions to non -structural measures such as public flood risk awareness real -time early warning system and disaster insurance against flood disaster as well as structural measures like levees and urban sewage system. It has become an academic mainstream in Japan that applying information technology in flood management integrating urban flood risk management and urban development and implementing integrated flood risk management. Japanese experience may provide many good implications for Chinese flood disaster management. That is strengthening the interdisciplinary studies on the flood risk mechanism and management by increasing the research investment; emphasizing public participation and insurance system in flood management; and fastening the development and application of high technology such as information technology in flood risk management. Key words: flood risk management; literature review; research progress; Japan; implications :.. 201029(1):3-9.