Robert S. Ross 7 Charles L. Glaser 8 Susan Shirk David Shambaugh, China Engages Asia: Reshaping the Regional Order Internationa

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1 revisionist power status quo power 1 Aaron Friedberg 2 John J. Mearsheimer 3 4 David Shambaugh Alastair Iain Johnston, Is China a Status Quo Power? International Security, vol. 27, no. 4, (Spring 2003), pp Aaron L. Friedberg, The Future of US- China Relations: Is Conflict Inevitable? International Security, vol. 30, no. 2, (Fall 2005), pp John J. Mearsheimer, Tragedy of Great Power Politics, Updated Edition, (New York and London: W.W. Norton & Company, 2014), Chapter G. John Ikenberry, The Future of the Liberal World Order: Internationalism After America, Foreign Affairs, (May/June, 2011). 45

International Security, vol. 30, no. 2, (Fall 2005), pp. 7-45. 3 John J.

2 Robert S. Ross 7 Charles L. Glaser 8 Susan Shirk David Shambaugh, China Engages Asia: Reshaping the Regional Order International Security, vol. 29, no. 3, (Winter 2004/2005), pp David Shambaugh, China Goes Global; The Partial Power, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2013). 7 Robert S. Ross, The Geography of the Peace: East Asia in the Twenty-First Century, International Security, vol. 23, no. 4, (Spring 1999), pp Charles L. Glaser, Will China s Rise Lead to War?: Why Realism Does Not Mean Pessimism Foreign Affairs, (March/April 2011), pp Susan L. Shirk, China: Fragile Superpower: How China s Internal Politics Could Derail Its Peaceful Rise, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007.) 10 Robert S. Ross, China s Naval Nationalism: Sources, Prospects, and the U.S. Response International Security, vol. 34, no. 2, (Fall 2009), pp

Ross, The Geography of the Peace: East Asia in the Twenty-First Century, International Security, vol. 23, no. 4, (Spring 1999), pp. 81-118. 8 Charles L. Glaser, Will China s Rise Lead to War?

3 Thomas J. Christensen 11 Randall Schweller Xiaoyu Pu rightful resistance Thomas Christensen, Posing Problems without Catching up International Security, vol. 25, no. 4, (Spring 2001), pp Randall Schweller and Xiaoyu Pu, After Unipolarity: China s Vision of International Order in an Era of U.S. Decline International Security vol. 36, no. 1, (Summer 2011), pp

Posing Problems without Catching up International Security, vol. 25, no. 4, (Spring 2001), pp.

4 Shambaugh, China Goes Global, pp

5 David C. Kang, Balancing, and Empirical Puzzles in Asian International Relations International Security, vol. 28, no. 3, (Winter, 2003/2004), pp

6 APEC IT Johnston Is China a Status Quo Power? 50

7 NATO NATO WTO

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9 篪 CSIS % G2 35 CSIS Zbignew Brzezinski, The Group of Two that could change the world Financial Times, Jan. 13, 篪 Pew Research Center, Views of the United States and American Foreign Policy, (July 14, 2014). 34 CSIS, Power and Order in Asia: A Survey of Regional Expectations, (July 2014) CSIS, Power and Order in Asia: A Survey of Regional Expectations 53

31 2009 7 20 32 篪 2011 3 3 33 Pew Research Center, Views of the United States and American Foreign Policy, (July 14,

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11 Chuck Hagel CSIS CSIS, Power and Order in Asia: A Survey of Regional Expectations

5 41 CSIS, Power and Order in Asia: A Survey

13 篪篪篪篪

16 G20 IMF

17 Schweller and Pu After Unipolarity: China s Vision of International Order in an Era of U.S. Decline, pp 伙

19 63

Special Providence No

Special Providence No Kitano Mitsuru 2009 2009 12 15 COP152010 9 ASEAN 1 2 2 3 No. 604 2011 9 47 4 4 1 42419802000 5 6 7 1 2 4 Special Providence 4 5 4 6 4 2 2 No. 604 2011 9 48 4 1 4 7 2 241 4 4 status quo revisionist 4 4