New ESRI Working Paper Series No.7 北朝鮮経済の現状と今後の展望 : 改革 開放の行方 by 山本栄二 August 2008 内閣府経済社会総合研究所 Economic and Social Research Institute Cabinet Office Tokyo, Japan
新 ESRI ワーキング ペーパー シリーズは 内閣府経済社会総合研究所の研究者および外部研究者によってとりまとめられた研究試論です 学界 研究機関等の関係する方々から幅広くコメントを頂き 今後の研究に役立てることを意図して発表しております 論文は すべて研究者個人の責任で執筆されており 内閣府経済社会総合研究所の見解を示すものではありません なお 研究試論という性格上今後の修正が予定されるものであり 当研究所及び著者からの事前の許可なく論文を引用 転載することを禁止いたします ( 連絡先 ) 総務部総務課 03-3581-0919 ( 直通 )
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FAO/WFP 1995 2004 2005 1 2000 1994 90 2
2004 2002 2003 2005 10 2003 2005 1998 2002 2007 1994 90 90 3
2002 2002 2001 2000 2000 2003 10 2003 2004 2006 2007 4
99 2006 2007 2006 90 90 2007 1 36.4 GNI 1 17.4 5
FAO/WFP 2004 11 Crop Prospects and Food Situation 2007/2008 2007 300 2008 4 2004/2005 423.5 10 FAO/WFP 6
2003 2002 2007 2007 160 2004/05 513.2 90 1990 2004 26 31 FAO/WFP 30 2007 21.2 KOTRA 90 90 90 2000 2006 2007 1990 7
8
91 1 1998 2003 2000 4 2007 18 2007 8 4 6 9
10
2007 47 1990 11
12 90 90 2004 2007 2006 4.5.
2000 10 2007 14 90 7 10 11 2007 8.1 2.7 3 Haggard & Noland 2007 2.7 6 4 2007 5 13
World Trade Search 2006 56 43 84 KOTRA 70 2006 13 2006 2007 4.8 2007 3.4 2006 2007 2.65 2007 0.2 2005 50 2006 52.4 2002 2003 50 2005 2006 132 4.3 52 54 26 128 6.0 52 45 30 2005 50 2.3 2006 30 1.8 2000 100 2003 2006 14
10 2003 2006 2.2 90 2000 2006,2007 2007 5 1990 1990 5 6 90 3 4 2000 1 2002 05 06 07 583 04 585 2002 15
2 20,30 10 2001 2004 16
2 2005 2007 3 5 2004 2005 10 20 2006 3.2 91.1 3 2000 4 5 1 2 2007 2006 4 5 2007 17
2007 15.9 54 52 2003 2000 2003 1 2 2007 42 18
2006 50 37 06 17 05 50 10 50 9 06 26 05 17 07 19
2007 8 20
2000 2005 10 1,000 0.062006 2007 2005 A 21
B C 2007 37.782 2007 2 6,700 6 3,000 2 1 8,000 8,000 1 3 13.5 1 40 2005 27 2003 66 93 2 22
17 2005 1 2 2008 2009 2010 2 23
2008 1990 77 5,792 2007 2002 2005 2007 1991 1 2007 24
18 2005 30 50 8 4 25
2007 2005 62 1 22 2005 2007 4 2002 2007 1 14 2 25 2004 14 3 2006 2 2004 1 4 2 1998 11 2008 2 178 8,560 2006 2007 35 4 7 12 14 50 80 26
18 25 1,400 3 7,560 2007 12 2008 2 2 4,205 18 180 300 2008 5 2004 2008 2 68 3 252 2 459 2,677 70 2007 9 20 3 1,200 6,800 21.8 2007 7 27
2007 8,000 230 1991 2007 1 5 2004 2006 2007 2007 2002 2003 2008 2006 2007 4,728 1 929.17 5.08 30 35 6 4 45 50 5 4 2007 12 5,017 2008 4 66 28
1,108 2 25 10 3,000 1,200 1 2 6 2007 10 29
2008 2 25 4 1 3000 Haggard & Noland 2007 4 4 2006 2007 2007 5.08 4 4 2007 9080 252 279 375.6 66 287 9 4,200 2000 3,964 1 3,500 2 6,000 2002 1 2005 30
2007 16 2007 34 5 1,000 1989 2008 1 448,924 253,806 56.5 59.7 15.8 15.3 7.5 4.9 4.9 2005 2 2 2 3 2007 31
2007 2002 20 98 2005 2007 2007 2007 20082005 2007 2005 2005 32
20052007 2005 2006 2008 2007 2007 2008 2008 33
2005 10 FAO/WFP 2004 2,3 44 45 1,000 1,500 2008 2,000 2 3,000 6,000 1 140 3,000 2 10 300 350 2003 2004 FAO/WFP 34
80 20 30 FAO/WFP 7 1 2002 2007 Carlin & Witt 2006 2006 2000 3 2007 2008 35
2012 2008 1990 90 2000 2006 2007 1990 90 4 8 4 1 3,500 2 6,000 36
2000 4 5 9 4.7 18 25 20 5.08 5.53 17.8 2.2 300 90 5 50 1 2 50 60 37
Direction of Trade Statistics World Trade Atlas IMF Democratic People s Republic of Korea Fact-finding Report,Nov.12,1997; UNDP Thematic Roundtable on Agriculture Recovery and Environmental Protection in DPRK. Palais des Nations, Geneva, May, 1998 1995 1998 94 21 ERINA REPORT Vol.72,2006.11 70 2007.12 2007 20.42 2006 38
2007 2006 190 06 2006 84 10 2006 400 1 7600 2006 0.1 2005 198 2006 247 90 2008 3 24 39
2006 1 10 19 6,667 negotiated investment2006 10 49 1 3 5 2008 1 84 2 6 2008 4 24 2007 2005 159.2 168.5 327.7 30.1 17.1 51.49.25.2 500 2006 80 69.7 2007 10 8 2006 16 13 40
5 A 300 100 5 B 30 10 C 400 D E 10 2008 1 18,748 18,227 97 2002 7 1 2007 41
2007 2008 5 23 2005 KITA.NET. 2002 World trade search FAO Crop Prospects and Food Situation www.fao.org FAO/WFP Special Report: FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission to the Democratic People s Republic of Korea. www.fao.org Direction of Trade Statistics Democratic People s Republic of Korea Fact-Finding Report., Nov.12,1997 UNDP Thematic Roundtable on Agricultural Recovery and Environmental Protection in DPRK. Palais des Nations, Geneva, May,1998 WFP home page: www.wfp.org/english/ World Trade Atlas 42
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2007 2006 vol.42,no.1,jan.2005 44
2008 1 22 No.160, 2003.8.12 2006.8.15~22 2007.2.23 45
Erina report vol.78 2007.11 2003.12.2 46
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