No. 36 March 2019 Continuity and Change of China s Foreign Policy under Xi Jinping Rumi Aoyama With China s economic power on the rise, China and the

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1 No. 36 March 2019 Continuity and Change of Chinas Foreign Policy under Xi Jinping Rumi Aoyama With Chinas economic power on the rise, China and the world orderhas become a key topic of discussion for academics and policymakers. To analyze Chinas evolving grand strategy, this paper addresses such questions as: What are Chinas strategic intensions? And how has the Xi Jinping administration employed diplomacy in the pursuit of these objectives from 2013? This paper contends that Western international relations theories have had a significant impact on the development of Chinas foreign policy in the post-cold War era, and there are four major factors that shape Chinas calculative rising strategy under the umbrella of the Belt and Road Initiative BRI: Seeking structural power, economic statecraft, ideological hegemony and military buildup. Nowadays, BRI is largely driven by state capitalism as a consequence of government reorganization and the remodeling of Chinese policy-making East Asia Institute The Rising China and New Civilization in the Asia-Pacific No. 370, No. 394, 篪

2 C. Kingdleberger 6 structural power 7 8 regime hegemony 4 9 IMF Tse-kang Leng, Rumi Aoyama eds., Decoding the Rise of China: Taiwanese and Japanese Perspectives, Palgrave Macmillan, R

3 WTONATO G7/G8NAFTAPSI Robert Gilpin IMFG7TPP R323 He Yafei, A Post-American EraArrives, CNKI

4 Institutional discourse power IMF G20BRICS 21 IMF BRICS AIIB

5 NATO NATO NATO NATO NATO 9.11 NATO NATO NATO NATO NATO 22 NATO 23 NATO NATO NATO 2003 EU NATO NATO NATO NATO NATO 25 NATO ISAF 2014 NATO ISAF NATO NATO NATO ISAF 伙

6 NATO NATO EU Permanent Structured Cooperation: PESCOEU PESCO PESCO NATO EU EU 31 EU 32 PESCO 33 NATO 34 NATO NATO NATO NATO shtml 伙 Joint Communication to the European Parliament and the Council: Elements for a new Strategy on ChinaJune 22, Scott W Harold, Chinese Views of European Defense Integration,China Monitor, Merics, December 19,

7 NATO NATO NATO NATO IPCP NATO 9 36 NATO 2010 NATO EU EU Jaap de Hoop SchefferNATO 4 NATO 38 NATO NATO 39 NATO NATO THAAD SCO Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council: The European Union and the Arctic Region,November 20, NATO Bobo Lo, Axis of Convenience: Moscow, Beijing, and the New Geopolitics, Washington, D.C. and New York: Brookings Institution Press,

8 THAAD NATO CSTO CSTO SCO CSTO 45 CSTOSCO BRICS 46 CSTO 47 NATO CSTO 41 Michael S. Chase, Evan S. Medeiros, J. Stapleton Roy, Eugene Bu. Rumer, Robert Sutter, and Richard Weitz, RussiaChina Relations: Assessing Common Ground and Strategic Fault Lines,NBR Special Reports#66, July Alexander Gabuev, China and Russia: Friends with Strategic Benefits, Robert Sutter, ChinaRussia Relations: Strategic Implications and U.S. Policy Options,NBR Special Reports, September Joint Communique of Meeting of Council of Heads of SCO Members, 2649_665393/t shtml Russian Security Council Develops New Formats of Cooperation within CIS, BRICS, CSTO, SCO, council.co.za/brics-news/russian-security-council-develops-new-formats-of-cooperation-within-cis-brics-csto-sco/

9 APEC AIIB BRICS 9

10 IMF 2010 IMF PKO PKO 48 BRICS AIIB AIIB BRICS PKO

11 2014 BRICS 1990 AC: Arctic Council FTA, RCEP, FTAAT FTARCEP FTAAP ASEAN 14 FTA GCC FTA EU FTA EU CPTPP, TPP RCEP2019 RCEP ASEAN GDP RCEP FTA RCEPFTAAP TPP RCEP FTAAP G2 50 FTARCEPFTAAP FTARCEPFTAAP

12 htm g.china.com/act/news/ / / html ASEAN guojiyanjiuxuebu/201811/t _ html

13 informatized local war 63 8 Belt and Road Space Information Corridor shtml Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the Peoples Republic of China htm

14 ASEAN Palapa Statelit Nusa SejahteraPSNS PALA- PA-N1 69 GPS GLONASS UN- OOSA APSCO html China is Building a $9 Billion Rival to the American-Run GPS,Bloomberg News, November 11, Chinese, Indonesian Firms Sign Contract on Satellite Purchase Package, c_ htm Dq shtml United Nations/China Space Station Announcement of Opportunity Ceremony, tionfor/media/2018-unis-ma-222.html

15 EU International Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities: Code Prevention of the Placement of Weapons in Outer Space, the Threat or Use of Force Against Outer Space Objects Treaty: PPWT Code PPWT 77 BRICS e e e Russia, China Sigh Space Exploration Deal, Deal Chinas Position on a Code of Conduct in Space,Security Review Commission Staff Research Report, September 8, India, China Sign 12 Agreements, ece

16 space force GPS e ewtp Adam Segalhttps:// _segal/ Why Donald Trumps New Space Force cant Hurt China Like Star Wars Hurt the Soviet Union,South China Morning Post, October 4, Jordan Wilson, Chinas Alternative to GPS and its Implications for the United States,U.S.China Economic and Security Review Commission Staff Research Report, January 5, e shtml

17 G2 RCEPFTAAP

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