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2013 11 18 3 18 3 2015 2016 2 4 2013 11 18 3 18 3 1 2014 3 15 2 2 2 1 2013 11 13 2 2014 3 16 91

19 1 2016 12 3 3 4 2015 2016 2 5 1986 6 4 3 2013 11 16 2013 11 21 4 2013 11 16 2014 1 1 2014 5 68-71 5 2015 11 27 6 James Mulvenon, China s Goldwater-Nichols? The Long-Awaited PLA Reorganization Has Finally Arrived, China Leadership Monitor, no.49, March 1, 2016; Phillip C. Saunders and Joel Wuthnow, China s Goldwater-Nichols? Assessing PLA Organizational Reforms, Strategic Forum, No.294, April 2016. 1986 2005 7 92

7 Roger Cliff 8 9 7 Deam Cheng, The PLA and Joint Operations: Moving form Theory Toward Practice, Michael D. Swain, Andrew N.D. Yang and Evan S. Mederios with Oriana Skylar Mastro, Assessing The Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan s Security (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace 2007), pp. 55-83; Richard D. Fisher, China s Military Modernization: Building for Regional and Global Reach (Stanford University Press 2010), pp. 66-79. Carnegie EndoWanda Ayuso and Lonnie Henley, Aspiring to Jointness: PLA Training, Exercises, and Doctrine, 2008-2012, Roy Kamphausen, David Lai, Travis Tanner ed, Assessing The People s Liberation Army in the Hu Jintao Era (Department of the Army, 2014), pp. 171-205 8 Roger Cliff, China s Military Power: Assessing Current and Future Capabilities (Cambridge University Press 2015), pp. 37-59. 9 2016 2016 3 50-53 2016 4 1 2016 5 50-65 2 2016 5 66-77 Kenneth W. Allen, Dennis J. Blasko, John F. Corbett, Jr., The PLA s New Organizational Structure: What is Known, Unknown and Speculation (Part 1), ChinaBrief, Volume XVI Issue 3, February 8, 2016, pp. 6-20; Kenneth W. Allen, Dennis J. Blasko, John F. Corbett, Jr., The PLA s New Organizational Structure: What is Known, Unknown and Speculation (Part 2), ChinaBrief, Volume XVI Issue 4, February 24, 2016, pp. 3-10; James Mulvenon, China s Goldwater-Nichols? The Long-Awaited PLA Reorganization Has Finally Arrived, China Leadership Monitor, no.49, March 1, 2016; Phillip C. Saunders and Joel Wuthnow, China s Goldwater-Nichols? Assessing PLA Organizational Reforms, Strategic Forum, No.294, April 2016; Phillip C. Saunders and Joel Wuthnow, What Do China s Military Reform Mean for Taiwan?, The NBR Commentary, May 19 2016 6 93

19 1 2016 12 2002 2012 10 2006 3 10 4 10 2004 9 2004 2010 11 12 2011 6 13 10 2014 3 11 Roger Cliff, China s Military Power: Assessing Current and Future Capabilities (Cambridge University Press 2015), p. 54. 12 2012 10 30 13 2011 7 1 94

14 2011 12 15 16 17 2011 11 18 19 20 2013 11 18 3 14 2011 10 16 15 2011 12 22 2011 12 22 16 2011 12 22 17 2012 8 7 18 2011 11 23 19 2011 11 29 20 no.563 36-37 95

19 1 2016 12 2014 3 1 2013 12 21 2013 11 22 23 24 2013 11 25 26 2015 9 3 70 30 27 2003 9 20 28 29 2014 7 2015 7 30 21 2014 2 223 22 2014 2 207 23 2013 11 16 2014 1 1 2014 5 68-71 24 2014 9 22-24 25 2014 8 22 26 2014 8 1 27 2015 9 4 28 2003 9 2 29 2012 2012 109 30 2015 9 4 96

4 5 31 2015 11 2020 32 2015 2016 2 2015 12 31 33 2016 1 1 34 1 11 7 31 South China Morning Post, September 2, 2015; Bloomberg News, September 1, 2015; 2015 9 7 http://www.jiji.com/jc/zc?k=201509/2015090700666. 32 2015 11 27 33 2016 1 2 34 2016 1 2 97

19 1 2016 12 3 5 15 1 35 2016 2 1 36 37 1 1 中国共産党中央政治局 中央軍事委員会直属機関 中央軍事委員会 ( 主席 副主席 委員 ) 国務院 国防部 弁公庁統合参謀部政治工作部後勤保障部装備発展部 訓練管理部国防動員部規律検査委員会政法委員会科学技術委員会 戦略計画弁公室改革編制弁公室国際軍事協力弁公室財務監査署機関事務管理総局 戦略支援部隊 戦区への支援 軍種司令部 : 行政的管理は行うものの作戦指揮は担当しない 陸軍指揮機構 海軍司令部 戦区東部南部西部北部中部 空軍司令部 ロケット軍司令部 核戦力は現在でも直接中央軍事委員会に報告される 陸軍 艦隊 空軍 ミサイル部隊 * Phillip C. Saunders and Joel Wuthnow, China s Goldwater-Nichols? Assessing PLA Organizational Reforms, Strategic Forum, No.294, April 2016, p. 3 35 2016 1 12 36 2016 2 2 37 2016 2 23 http://news.takungpao.com/mainland/focus/2016-02/3283259.html. 98

1 99

19 1 2016 12 * 69-101 100

38 39 2015 11 40 41 42 43 2016 4 20 44 38 South China Morning Post, January 13, 2016. 39 2016 1 2 40 2016 12 7 41 2015 11 30 12 1 2016 1 12 1 29 42 James Mulvenon, The Yuan Stops Here: Xi Jinping and the CMC Chairman Responsibility System, China Leadership Monitor, No.47, July 14, 2015. 43 2016 3 361 5 44 2016 4 21 James Mulvenon, Xi Jinping Has a Cool New Nickname: Commanderin-Chief, China Leadership Monitor, no.51. August 30, 2016. 101

19 1 2016 12 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 45 John Costello, The Strategic Support Force: China s Information Warfare Service, ChinaBrief, Volume XVI Issue 3, February 8, 2016, pp. 15-20 2016 6 56-58 46 2016 6 27 47 2016 1 12 48 2016 5 17 49 45 http://news.takungpao.com/special/junduigaige/. 50 Kenneth W. Allen, Dennis J. Blasko, John F. Corbett, Jr., The PLA s New Organizational Structure: What is Known, Unknown and Speculation (Part 1), ChinaBrief, Volume XVI Issue 3, February 8, 2016, p. 9. 51 45 2014 11 102

3 52 2016 3 11 1 53 4 54 2015 11 26 52 2015 11 30 2016 2 3 53 2016 3 3 54 2016 4 26 103

19 1 2016 12 55 56 57 58 59 2016 4 60 / 61 55 2015 11 27 56 2016 2 2 57 2016 3 361 4-10 58 2015 12 20 59 2016 3 361 9 60 2016 5 3 61 2015 2 2 104

62 63 1990 64 1 6 65 66 67 62 2016 3 361 9 63 2016 1 2 64 230 152 no.563 36-37 65 2013 11 255 66 2010 47-50 67 2016 2 2 105

19 1 2016 12 68 50 69 70 71 5 10 72 73 PKO 68 2014 23-24 69 2010 47-50 70 2014 95 71 2015 11 27 2016 2 3 72 2016 5 11 73 2016 5 16 5 17 106

4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 74 75 76 30 77 78 74 2013 11 205-250 75 45 76 South China Morning Post, February 2, 2016. 77 2016 4 15 78 2014 2 207 107

19 1 2016 12 79 80 2012 11 81 2012 11 16 79 2014 24 80 2015 11 28 81 2015 12 31 108

82 12 26 83 84 85 86 18 3 2013 12 27 87 18 3 82 2012 11 16 2014 2 15 83 2012 12 26 2014 2 49 84 慑 2012 12 26 2014 2 59-62 85 2014 8 6-16 86 2013 11 7-8 148 87 2014 2 220 109

19 1 2016 12 88 89 90 91 92 93 88 2013 11 21 89 2014 49-67 90 2016 2 3 91 Joe McReynolds, James Mulvenon, The Role of Informatizaition in People s Liberation Army under Hu Jintao, Roy Kamphausen, David Lai, Travis Tanner ed, Assessing The People s Liberation Army in the Hu Jintao Era (Department of the Army, 2014), pp. 207-256. 92 2013 20 1 2 3 2011 68 93 James Mulvenon, China s Goldwater-Nichols?: The Long-Awaited PLA Reorganization Has Finally Arrived, China Leadership Monitor, no.49, p. 5. 110

2014 3 2015 1 2015 7 94 1 2014 3 15 95 3 7 30 96 2015 11 47 97 2016 7 98 99 2016 3 100 9 101 94 2015 12 31 95 2014 3 16 2014 7 1 96 2015 7 31 97 45 98 2016 7 9 http://www.81.cn/kj/2016-07/09/content_7144412.htm. 99 45 100 2016 3 3 101 2016 9 28 111

19 1 2016 12 4 102 2016 1 103 104 105 Phillip C. Saunders Joel Wuthnow 106 102 2016 1 2 103 2016 1 12 104 2014 39-41 72-73 105 230 2008 60 Michael S. Chase, Jeffrey Engstrom, Tai Ming Cheung, Kristen A. Gunness, Scott Warren Harold, Susan Puska, Samuel K. Berkowitz, China s Incomplete Military Transformation: Assessing the Weaknesses of the People s Liberation Army (PLA), (RAND Corporation 2015), pp. 55-56. 106 Phillip C. Saunders and Joel Wuthnow, China s Goldwater-Nichols? Assessing PLA Organizational Reforms, Strategic Forum, No.294, April 2016, p. 5, p. 9. 112

107 108 109 110 111 112 2010 11 7 113 107 2015 1 13 5 19 108 2015 1 15 1 19 2 28 4 12 109 2013 110 2011 2 5 111 2008 20-27 112 2011 2 5 113 2010 12 18 2014 11 10 113

19 1 2016 12 114 2015 9 2015D 14 115 2016 3 300 116 3 117 3 118 119 120 2016 121 2016 3 122 2016 114 Michael S. Chase, Jeffrey Engstrom, Tai Ming Cheung, Kristen A. Gunness, Scott Warren Harold, Susan Puska, Samuel K. Berkowitz, China s Incomplete Military Transformation: Assessing the Weaknesses of the People s Liberation Army (PLA) (RAND Corporation 2015), pp. 58-59. 115 2015 9 29 116 2016 3 14 117 2016 3 30 118 2016 5 5 119 2016 4 22 120 2016 7 13 121 2016 1 2 122 2016 3 24 114

123 124 123 Roger Cliff, China s Military Power: Assessing Current and Future Capabilities (Cambridge University Press 2015), pp. 37-59. 124 2016 7 20 115

19 1 2016 12 125 126 2016 7 127 8 128 129 130 131 125 2016 5 30 126 2016 5 16 127 2016 7 9 7 14 2016 7 11 128 2016 8 2 129 2016 3 361 10 130 2014 39-41 72-83 131 2016 3 361 10 116

132 2020 133 134 3 132 2014 39-41 72 114-127 133 2015 11 27 2016 1 2 134 2014 39-41 62-63 117

19 1 2016 12 118