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IMES DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES Discussion Paper No.2003-J-17 INSTITUTE FOR MONETARY AND ECONOMIC STUDIES BANK OF JAPAN 103-8660 30 http://www.imes.boj.or.jp

IMES Discussion Paper Series 2003-J-17 2003 7 * JEL Classification M41 * (tokuga@econ.kyoto-u.ac.jp) 3

...1...1...1...2...4...4...6...6...7...9...10...10...11...13...17...18...21...22...24...28 1946..31...36

1 2 3 1 1 1 [2002] 2 reserve, provision, allowance, estimated liability, etc. 3 FASB[1976] [2002], pp.148-153 1

Moonitz[1960] p.44 2

4 2 5 1960 8 6 4 Moonitz[1960] Moonitz & Sprouse[1961] Hawkins[1972] Briloff[1972] FASB[1976] Kerr[1984] 5 6 [1997] 3

7 8 7 266 253 1 2 252 1 4 252 1 (4) 253 (2) 8 Paton & Littleton[1940] pp.127-128, p.212 4

9 SHM Sanders et al.[1938] p.12 pp.18-19 APB 4 (AICPA[1970]) p.35 10 Sterling[1970] SHM p.256 IASC IASC[1989] para.37 IASC[1989] Sanders et al. [1938] Sanders et al.[1938] 11 9 10 FASB[1980], para.92 11 FASB 2 FASB[1980] 2 para.95 p.107 FASB[1980] 5

IASC[1989] Sanders, et.al[1938] (adequate) p.13 FASB[1975] para.65 6

12 Bernstein[1978], p.45 income smoothing and shifting profit equalization Mauriello[1967], p.142 Big Bath 1960 1970 7 13 Bernstein[1970], pp.45-48 1950 75 12 13 Bernstein[1970] Briloff[1972] http://www.cheseweb.com/pennco/pctco/history.html 7

1 1 ( : ) 1950-55 1956-60 1961-65 1966-70 1971-75 121 376 11 12 234 63 475 60 439 889 35 61 47 380 60 70 270 340 8 500 67 46 515 380 14 360 48 20 18 455 580 16 242 227 31 352 (1) 0 (2) [1986], p.60 502 760 8 226 1960 1951 8

14 2 611 1966 2 49 8,101 1 200 19 8,076 1 7 14 11,376 1 25 10 815 1 340 20 4,961 1 50 17 1,349 2 103 1 2 1 64 5 2,656 1 103 6 1,081 1 251 3 71 1 49 2 650 1 12 7 914 1 125 1 22 2 563 2 111 4 560 1 5 3 77 179 42,719 [1998], p.99 : [1967]pp.63-65 15 14 6 15 [1998], p.215 1951 3 1952 3 9

2 reserve 16 16 10

17 18 17 18 [2002] 11

FASB FASB[1985b], para.35 IASC IASC[1989], para.49 12

19 5 1 5 1 2,700,000 2 3,000,000 3 3,300,000 4 3,300,000 5 3,600,000 3 1 1 0 2 2 0 3 3 10 4 4 10 5 5 80 5 5 100 1 2 3 4 4 10 5 5 90 4 5 5 100 3 2 4 19 AIA American Institute of Accountants 1950 109 1955 43 1960 35 1965 19 1950 46 1955 29 1960 12 1965 9 13

5 3 5 5,300,000 1 5 15,900,000 1/3 1 5 5 5,300,000 1,060,000 5,300,000 1/5 1,060,000 3 4 3 3,000,000 1/3 900,000+1,000,000+1,100,000 3,180,000 1,060,000 3 180,000 3 4 4,100,000 4,240,000 140,000 4 2 1 2 20 3 5,300,000 21 20 [2000] 21 14

4 5 3% 2% 3 1 831,461 831,461 2 942,322 16,629 1 958,951 3 1,057,286 16,962 1 +18,847 2 1,093,095 4 1,078,431 17,301 1 +19,223 2 +21,145 3 1,136,100 5 1,200,000 17,647 1 +19,608 2 +21,569 3 +21,569 4 1,280,393 5,109,500 190,500 5,300,000 2% 5 3 3 3,300,000 1/3 1,100,000 1+0.02 2 3 1 831,461 2 16,629 831,461 0.02 1.02 2 942,322 1 18,847 942,322 0.02 15

1 2 3 4 5 900,000 (1+0.02) -1 0%+(900,000+1,000,000) (1+0.02) -2 0 + (900,000+1,000,000+1,100,000) (1+0.02) -3 10% + (900,000+1,000,000+ 1,100,000+1,100,000) (1+0.02) -3 (1+0.03) -1 10%+(900,000+1,000,000+ 1,100,000+1,100,000+1,200,000) (1+0.02) -3 (1+0.03) -2 80% 4,423,888 1 1 2 3 4 5 (900,000+1,000,000) (1+0.02) -1 0 + (900,000+1,000,000+1,100,000) (+0.02) -2 10%+ (900,000+1,000,000+1,100,000+1,100,000) (1+0.02) -2 (1+0.03) -1 10%+(900,000+1,000,000+1,100,000+1,100,000+1,200,000) (1+0.02) -2 (1+0.03) -2 80% 4,512,366 2 (900,000+1,000,000+1,100,000) (1+0.02) -1 10%+(900,000+1,000,000+ 1,100,000 + 1,100,000) (1+0.02) -1 (1+0.03) -1 10%+(900,000+ 1,000,000+ 1,100,000+1,100,000+ 1,200,000) (1+0.02) -1 (1+0.03) -2 80% 4,602,613 3 (900,000+1,000,000+1,100,000+1,100,000) (1+0.03) -1 10%+(900,000+ 1,000,000+1,100,000+1,100,000+1,200,000) (1+0.03) -2 90% 4,894,240 16

4 (900,000+1,000,000+1,100,000+1,100,000+1,200,000) (1+0.03) -1 100% 5,145,631 5 (900,000+1,000,000+1,100,000+1,100,000+1,200,000) 100% 5,300,000 4 1 1 2 1 0 2 0 3 10 4 10 5 80 4,423,888 4,423,888 2 0 3 10 4 10 5 80 4,512,366 88,478 3 10 4 10 5 80 4,602,613 90,247 3 4 10 5 90 4,894,240 291,627 4 5 100 5,145,631 251,391 5 100 5,300,000 154,369 5,300,000 5 5,300,000 1 17

IASC[1997] IASC[1998] IASC[1998] 22 23 IASC[1997] IASC [1998] 22 23 18

IASC[1998] 24 IASC[1989] IASC[1998] (para.17) (IASC[1997], paras.17, 18) IASC[1997], paras.55-74 IASC[1998], paras.70-83 25 24 IASC[1998] para.10 para.14 50 25 IASC[1997], para.17 (constructive obligation) IASC[1997], para.16 19

FASB[1975] 26 27 26 FASB[1975] para.1 a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. j. para.4 para.1 para.8 para.8 2 FASB[1975] FASB[1975] 27 FASB[1976], sec.194 20

28 29 IASC[1997] IASC[1998] probable more likely than not 50 probable IAS 3 28 [2002] [2002] 29 FASB[1975] Discussion Memorandum FASB[1975], paras.76-79 21

10 90 1 0.9 10 0.9 10 1,000 0.9 1,000 0 0 1 0.9 k 1 100 30 30 Kohler[1970] p.121 22

CF FASB[1975] IASC[1978] IASC[1998] CF IASC[1997] IASC[1998] FASB[1999] FASB[2000] CF 31 CF 1990 100 6 31 IASC 1997 para.27 para.27 para.28 23

0.6 1 5 1 92 5 2 1 0.6 5 1 2 5 1 100 10 CF 24

300 315 25

32 33 32 300 300 315 315 300 300 33 26

27

34 CF 2 34 Palepu et al.[2000], pp. 5.5-5.6 pp.107-109 Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act, 1980 superfund sites Palepu et.al[2000], pp.5.6-5.7 pp.109-111 28

vs. 35 35 29

1 Kohler[1975] 1 Paton & Littleton[1940], AAA[1957] Kohler[1975] 30

1946 reserve provision allowance reserve 1960 reserve reserve AIA[1953] 1940 reserve sec.60 reserve 36 37 36 18 37 Hawkins[1972] "no-man's land" "twilight zone" Bernstein[1978], p.189 31

AIA CAP 34 AIA[1948] 1953 reserve surplus 39 AIA[1951] AIA reserve estimated liabilities or liabilities of estimated amount AIA[1953], sec.62 A-1 AIA AICPA 1940 50 A-1 AIA[1948][1951][1953] AIA reserve "no-man's land" Sprouse[1966], p.45 Sprouse[1966] "no-man's land" "what-you-call-its " 1 Hawkins[1972], p.197 "no-man's land" 32

A-1 1946 (1) 1950 (1) 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 reserve 318 125 55 37 20 7 (2) provision 3 1 2 1 27 16 9 7 318 155 72 48 28 reserve 143 136 98 80 57 34 10 6 provision 7 5 2 1 8 9 3 4 143 151 112 85 62 reserve 20 39 29 40 59 31 16 provision 0 0 0 4 2 7 10 8 20 41 36 50 71 (1) AIA[1946-47] AIA[1951-52] 525 600 (2) AIA[1946-47, 1951-52, 1956] AICPA[1961, 1966, 1971, 1976, 1981] provision A-1 provision Kohler[1970] provision p.397 A-2 A-3 33

A-2 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 allowance 169 248 288 324 389 440 450 reserve 248 181 150 102 74 45 35 provision 37 31 36 29 17 estimated 36 27 20 17 16 47 13 7 11 9 6 2 A-1 AIA[1956], AICPA[1961,1966, 1971,1976, 1981] allowance A-2 reserve allowance Kohler[1970] allowance p.29 A-3 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 Allowance 108 127 153 123 79 75 57 Reserve 275 166 120 67 26 Provision 17 13 6 17 Estimated 2 3 2 17 16 Accumulated depreciation 98 190 266 396 484 460 511 Depreciation 80 85 73 50 33 20 16 8 A-1 AIA[1956], AICPA[1961, 1966, 1971, 1976, 1981] 1940 50 reserve allowance 34

accumulated depreciation 35

1998 CIRJE Discussion Paper Series J-21 2000 2002 185-248 163 1 2003 40-55 1999 (1) (3) 107 6 1-18 108 1 1-10 3 1-11 1975 1999 1993 [1] 55 1 2003 116-117 1998 3-42 2 47 3 4 2000 623-647 50 12 1998 4-10 1981 53 1981 115-148 M. 13 1 1985 87-98 46 8 1994 67-74 1999 160-170 2002 147-177 132 2 1987 62-75 7 1997 27-42 36

2002 19 11 1967 63-65 American Accounting Association, A Tentative Statement of Accounting Principles Affecting Corporate Reports, AAA, 1936. AAA 1977, Accounting Principles Underlying Corporate Financial Statements, AAA, 1941. AAA 1977, Accounting Concepts and Standards Underlying Corporate Financial Statements, AAA, 1948. AAA 1977, Accounting and Reporting Standards for Corporate Financial Statements, AAA, 1957. AAA 1977 American Institute of Accountants, Accounting Survey of 525 Corporate Reports, AIA, 1946-47., Accounting Research Bulletin, No.34, AIA, 1948., Accounting Research Bulletin, No.39, AIA, 1951., Accounting Trends and Techniques, AIA, 1951-52., Accounting Terminology Bulletins, Review and Resume, AIA, 1953., Accounting Trends and Techniques, AIA, 1956. American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, Accounting Trends and Techniques, AICPA, 1961., Accounting Trends and Techniques, AICPA, 1966., Basic Concepts and Accounting Principles Underlyng Financial Statements of Business Enterprises, Statement of the Accounting Principles Board No.4, AICPA, 1970. 1975, Accounting Trends and Techniques, AICPA, 1971., Accounting Trends and Techniques, AICPA, 1976., Accounting Trends and Techniques, AICPA, 1981. Bernstein, L.A., Reserves for Future Costs and Losses, The Financial Analysts Journal, January/February, 1970, pp.45-48., Financial Statement Analysis, Theory, Application and Interpretation, revised, McGraw-Hill, 1978. Briloff, A.J., Unaccountable Accounting, Harper & Row, 1972. Chatfield, M., History of Accounting Thought, Holt, Rinehart & Winston, Inc., 1973. 37

1978 Financial Accounting Standards Board, Accounting for Contingencies, Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No.5, FASB, 1975., An analysis of issues related to Conceptual Framework for Financial Accounting and Reporting: Elements of Fianacial Statements and Their Measurement, Discussion Memorandum, FASB, 1976. FASB 1997, Qualitative Characteristics of Accounting Information, Statement of Financial Accounting Concept No.2, FASB, 1980. FASB 2002, Recognition and Measurement in Financial Statement of Business Enterprises, Statement of Financial Accounting Concept No.5, FASB, 1985a. FASB 2002, Elements of Financial Statements, Statement of Financial Accounting Concept No.6, FASB, 1985b. FASB 2002, Using Cash Flow Information and Present Value in Accounting Measurement, Proposed Statement of Financial Accounting Concepts Exposure Draft (Revised), FASB, 1999., Using Cash Flow Information and Present Value in Accounting Measurement, Statement of Financial Accounting Concepts No.7, FASB, 2000. Finney, H.A., Reserves, Journal of Accountancy, 1922, pp.249-261. Gilman, S., Accounting Concepts of Profit, The Ronald Press Company, 1938. 1965 Hawkins, D.F., Financial Reporting Practices of Corporations, Richard D. Irwin, 1972. International Accounting Standards Committee, Contingencies and Events Occurring After the Balance Sheet Date, International Accounting Standards No.10, IASC, 1978., Framework for the Preparation and Presentation of Financial Statements, IASC, 1989., Provisions, Contingent Liabilities and Contingent Assets, Proposed International Accounting Standard, Exposure Draft E59, IASC, 1997., Provisions, Contingent Liabilities and Contingent Assets, International 38

Accounting Standards No.37, IASC, 1998. Johnson, L.T., Future Events: A Conceptual Study of Their Significance for Recognition and Measurement, G4+1 Special Report, FASB, 1994. Kerr, J.St.G., The Definition and Recognition of Liabilities, Victorian Printing Pty. Ltd., 1984. 1989 Kohler, E.L., A Dictionary for Accountants, Prentice-Hall Inc., 1975. 1973 Littleton, A.C., Structure of Accounting Theory, AAA, 1953. 1955 Mauriello, J.A., Accounting for Financial Analyst, The Institute of Chartered Financial Analysts, 1967. 1976 Moonitz, M., "The Changing Concept of Liabilities," The Journal of Accountancy, Vol.109, No.5, 1960, pp.41-46., and R.T. Sprouse, A Tentative Set of Broad Accounting Principles for Business Enterprises, AICPA, 1961. Palepu, K.G., P.M. Healy, and V. L. Bernard, Business Analysis and Valuation: Using Financial Statements, South-Western College Publishing, 2000. 2001 Paton, W.A., and A.C. Littleton, An Introduction to Corporate Accounting Standards, AAA, 1940. 1953 Sanders, T.H., H.R. Hatfield, and U. Moore, A Statement of Accounting Principles, AAA, 1938. SHM 1979 Sprouse, R.T., Accounting for What-You-May-Call-Its, The Journal of Accountancy, October, 1966. Sterling, R.R., Conservatism: Fundamental Principles of Valuation in Traditional Accounting, Abacus 3, 1967, pp.122-123., Theory of the Measurement of Enterprise Income, Scholars Book Co., 1970. 39