同 盟 の 変 革 と NATO=ロシア 関 係 の 現 在 : NATO 側 の 視 点 から 1. はじめに WTO WTO CFE NATO= 2. NATO=ロシア 関 係 のこれまで (1) 冷 戦 後 の NATO=ロシア 関 係 の 構 造 化 NATO NATO WTO NACC WTO NACC EAPC PFP NATO=EAPC/PFP NATO PJC NATO=NRC PJC 1997 NATO= 1 NRC 2004 NATO=: 2 PJC N+1NRC NRC NRC NRC NATO NATO NATO 1 NATO ( Founding Act on Mutual Relations, Cooperation and Security between the Russian Federation and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, signed in Paris, France, 27 May, 1997) 2 NATO-Russia Relations: New Quality, Declaration by Heads of State and Government of NATO Member States and the Russian Federation, 28 May, 2002. 1/10
NATO=: NATO, NATO NATO=NATO NATO= PJC NRC PJC NATO OSCE OSCE CJTF EAPC PFP NATO safety NBC combating nuclear trafficking possible NATO as appropriate NATO reciprocal exchanges NATO 2/10
NATO= NATO 2000 8 12 2003 2 8 NATO 3 NRC NATO PJC NATO NATO 4 NATO NATO NATO NATO= (2)NATO=ロシア 協 力 の 実 績 NATO= PKO Operation Active Endeavour OAE PKO IFOR/SFOR KFOR IFOR/SFOR 3 NATO, NATO Update: NATO and Russia sign submarine rescue agreement, 8 February, 2003. <http://www.nato.int/docu/update/2003/02-february/e0208a.htm><2011 10 18 > 4 NATO 10 2002 5 29 NATO 2002 6 3 NATO 2002 5 29 3/10
NATO=: NATO NATO 1999 6 12 KFOR 5 NATO= 2003 7 2 KFOR non-lethal goods NATO OAE 2001 10 OAE 2004 2006 2007 2 6 2008 OAE NATO NRC PKO 2005 NRC NATO 2006 NATO PKO 7 (3) 二 重 拡 大 の 安 全 弁? NATO= NATO NATO NATO NATO WTO 5 12 1 30 The Lessons of Kosovo, Testimony of Zbigniew Brzezinski to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, October 6, 1999. < http://csis.org/files/media/csis/congress/ts991006brzezinski.pdf> <2011 10 20 > 6 2006 2007 Pytlivy Ladny NATO news:russian frigate deployed in Operation Active Endeavour < http://www.nato.int/docu/update/2007/09-september/e0903a.html> <2011 10 25 > 7 Vincent Pouliot, International Security in Practice: the politics of NATO-Russia diplomacy, Cambridge University Press, 2010, p.114. 4/10
1997 NATO 1999 WTO 2002 NATO 2004 2008 NATO 2009 8 PJC NRC 9 2008 NATO 10 1999 NATO NATO NATO NATO NATO 1999 3 23 NATO PJC NATO= NATO KFOR PJC NRC 2002 NATO NATO 8 9 Dr. Stefan Forss, Russian Military Thinking and Threat Perception: A Finnish View, CERI Strategy Papers, no.5, Séminaire Stratégique du 13 novembre 2009. 10 Putin says NATO enlargement is direct threat to Russia, China View (Xinhua), 4 April, 2008. < http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-04/04/content_7920815.htm><2011 10 20 > 5/10
NATO=: NATO NRC NATO NRC NATO Wherever NATO 90 NATO NATO NRC 3. NATO=ロシア 関 係 を 動 かすもの (1)NATO=ロシア 関 係 の 蜜 月 と 対 立 NATO= NATO= 2006 NATO= Pouliot 1992-93 honeymoons 1998-99 rough patches 2001-03 2004-06 11 2008 NATO NATO NATO WTO NATO 2 2 11 Pouliot, op. cit, p.112. 6/10
PJC NRC NATO= 2000 NATO (2)NATO にとってのロシア ロシアにとっての NATO NATO NATO NATO NATO NATO NATO NATO PFP MAP NATO NATO NATO NATO CSBM NATO NATO NATO CSBM 1987 1990 CSCE 2009 EST 2009 EST CSCE/OSCE 7/10
NATO=: NATO CSCE/OSCE 1990 OSCE 12 ODIHR HCNM 13 OSCE NATO EST OSCE EST EST 14 (3)NATO=ロシア 関 係 の 将 来 NATO NATO 2000 NATO PJC NRC NATO= 2008 2009 NATO 2008 NATO NRC NATO 2010 NATO NATO= 2009 2 7 2010 5 17 NATO NATO 2020 11 19 NATO 15 NATO 2020 12 OSCE 2011, 99 13 Dov Lynch, Russia faces Europe, Chaillot Paper, no. 60, May 2003, pp.39-42. 14 Arthur R. Rachwald, A Reset of NATO-Russia relations: real or imaginary?, European Security, Vol.20, no.1, March 2011, p.125. 15 NATO 2020: assured security; dynamic engagement, Analysis and recommendations of the group of experts on a new strategic concept for NATO, 17 May, 2010. Strategic Concept for the Defence and Security of the Members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, adopted by Heads of State and Government in Lisbon, Active Engagement 8/10
NATO= NATO= NATO NATO NATO PJC NRC NATO NATO= NATO= MDMD MD NACC PJC NRC NATO= 4. おわりに NATO 20 NATO= finalité NATO 16 NATO NATO NATO= and Modern Defence, 19 November, 2010. 16 Pouliot, op. cit., pp.240-241. 9/10
NATO=: NATO ANTONENKO, Oksana and YURGENS, Igor, Towards a NATO-Russia Strategic Concept, Survival, Vol.52, no.6, December 2010-January 2011, pp.5-11. ÅSLUND, Andrew and KUCHINS, Andrew, Pressing the Reset Button on US-Russia Relations, Policy Brief(CSIS Peterson Institute for International Economics), no.pb09-6, March 2009. MANKOFF, Jeffrey, Reforming the Euro-Atlantic Security Architecture: An Opportunity for U.S. Leadership, The Washington Quarterly, Vol.33, no.2, April 2010, pp.65-83. MATTOX, Gale A., Resetting the US-Russian relationship: is cooperative engagement possible?, European Security, Vol.20, no.1, March 2011, pp.103-116. McNAMARA, Sally, Russia s proposed New European Security Treaty: A Non-Starter for the US and Europe, Backgrounder, no.2463, September 16, 2010. POULIOT, Vincent, International Security in Practice: the politics of NATO-Russia diplomacy, Cambridge University Press, 2010. RACHWALD, Arthur R., A Reset of NATO-Russia relations: real or imaginary?, European Security, Vol.20, no.1, March 2011, pp.117-126. SMITH, Julianne, The NATO-Russia Relationship Defining Moment or Déjà Vu?, Ifri and CSIS, November 2008. SZABO, Stephan F., Can Berlin and Washington Agree on Russia?, The Washington Quarterly, Vol.32, no.4, 2009, pp.23-41. TRENIN, Dimitry, Russia leaves West, Foreign Affairs, July-August 2006. WEITZ, Richard, Illusive Visions and Practical Realities: Russia, NATO and Missile Defence, Survival, Vol.54, no.2, August-September 2010, pp.99-120. Euro-Atlantic Security: One Vision, Three Paths, EastWest Institute, 2009. OSCE 2011 pp.95-122 NATO 94 99 45(2000 )pp.1-36 : NATO NIDS 2 2009 12 9 NATO : NIDS 19 2011 2 17 10/10