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Uyama Tomohiko 1 1 19 1991 1991 3 5 93 98% 8 12 5 1 CIS 1993 5 7 No. 647 2015 12 16

2 1992 CIS CIS 7000 CIS 1992 10 CICA 1990 1998 WTO CIS 201 201 1997 6 3 CIS 1995 12 2006 12 1999 2000 IMU 2001 9 11 2003 5 EBRD No. 647 2015 12 17

11 12 2005 5 11 2005 3 2006 1 2014 7 2 2015 7 5 9 11 2 USAID 2 1 1994 CIS 2000 10 EAEC 2002 5 5 CSTO 2003 10 CSTO 2004 10 No. 647 2015 12 18

OCAC 10 EAEC 3 2000 2008 8 5 4 2009 2 6 2010 4 5 2007 10 2010 1 7 2011 10 3 4 EU 2 2014 5 10 2015 1 4 8 No. 647 2015 12 19

1990 2014 2 EU 2013 11 CIS 2014 3 27 3 10 18 3 11 20 9 12 1990 6 7 No. 647 2015 12 20

WTO 2015 WTO 8 2014 93% 79% 72% 62% 22% 2013 2014 37% 9% 45% 25% 31% 21% 9 EDB 2015 5 80% 78% 60% 56% 2013 72% 2014 50% 2015 86% 72% 2015 2014 68% 2013 50% 10 2 NGO No. 647 2015 12 21

11 201 2042 2012 10 2020 5900 9000 2012 9 2032 2014 IS IS IS 2015 10 16 CIS 12 9 30 10 4 13 2 14 3 1 18 1990 2000 3 No. 647 2015 12 22

15 19 16 1996 4 5 4 2001 6 SCO SCO CSTO 2 2000 2000 2013 7.3% 17.0% 3.0% 17.1% 8.7% 1.9% 6.7% 23.9% 0.4% 7.4% 1.8% 14.6% 17 2014 69.7% 10.7% 26.8% 19.6% 18 2005 2015 251 40 39 20 15 5 302 19 No. 647 2015 12 23

2014 44% 20 2015 7 9 4200 11 1600 18 21 2 2013 9 AIIB 2014 10 4 2011 22.79% 42.80% 16.50% 13.21% 2014 33.32% 17.88% 22 No. 647 2015 12 24

23 2014 4 1 15 2 2000 EU No. 647 2015 12 25

1 2015 79 88 2 9 11 2002 3 65 68 71 73 3 3 4 2009 3 215 216 5 2010 4 20 http://src-h.slav.hokudai.ac.jp/center/essay/20100420uyama_j.html 6 Tengri News, 9 Jan. 2013 http://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/nazarbaev-kazahstan-vyihodit-ugrojayuschihnezavisimosti-226393/. 7 Tengri News, 26 May 2014 http://tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/kazahstan-isklyuchil-iz-dogovora-o-eaesobschee-grajdanstvo-255918/. 8 Radio Azattyq, 27 May 2015 http://rus.azattyq.org/content/nazarbaev-interview-rossia-24/27038 775.html. 9 Gallup, Rating World Leaders: What People Worldwide Think of the U.S., China, Russia, the EU and Germany http://www.gallup.com/opinion/gallup/182801/rating-world-leaders-china-russia-germany.aspx. 10 Evraziiskii Bank Razvitiia, Integratsionnyi Barometr EABR 2015 http://www.eabr.org/r/research/centre/projects CII/integration_barometer/, p. 97. 11 Max Bader, Democracy Promotion and Authoritarian Diffusion: The Foreign Origins of Post-Soviet Election Laws, Europe-Asia Studies, Vol. 66, No. 8 2014, pp. 1350 1370. 12 BBC, 16 Oct. 2015 http://www.bbc.com/russian/news/2015/10/151016_cis_joint_forces. 13 Eurasia Daily Monitor, 31 March 2015 http://www.jamestown.org/regions/centralasia/single/?tx_ttnews% 5Btt_news%5D=43725&tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=659&cHash=bd9b50f5208a80af68ae28163e9e3b6c. 14 Chosun Ilbo, 26 Oct. 2015 http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2015/10/26/2015102600981.html. 15 4 0 2 2005 3 16 Oka Natsuko, Transnationalism As a Threat to State Security? Case Studies on Uighurs and Uzbeks in Kazakhstan, in Uyama Tomohiko ed., Empire, Islam, and Politics in Central Eurasia, Sapporo: Slavic Research Center, 2007, pp. 351 368. 17 Interstate Statistical Committee of the Commonwealth of Independent States, External Trade of the CIS Countries: Statistical Abstract Moscow, 2003, pp. 28 31; Idem, Foreign Trade of the CIS Countries: Statistical Abstract 2013 Moscow, 2014, pp. 28 31. 18 Central Intelligence Agency, The World Factbook https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-fact book/. 19 American Enterprise Institute and The Heritage Foundation, China Global Investment Tracker https:// www.aei.org/china-global-investment-tracker/. 20 ASIA-Plus, 25 Sept. 2014 http://news.tj/ru/news/v-tadzhikistane-rabotayut-285-predpriyatii-s-inostrannymiinvestitsiyami. No. 647 2015 12 26

21 ASIA-Plus, 24 July 2015 http://news.tj/ru/news/vneshnii-dolg-tadzhikistana-sokratilsya-pochti-na-35-mln ; Radio Azattyk, 19 March 2015 http://rus.azattyk.org/content/article/26908844.html. 22 World Integrated Trade Solution http://wits.worldbank.org. 23 Daniyar Kosnazarov, Sino-Russian Division of Labor : Keeping Central Asia Stable? Silk Road Reporters, 16 Feb. 2015 http://www.silkroadreporters.com/2015/02/16/sino-russian-division-labor-keepingcentral-asia-stable/ ; Elena Holodny, China would be the Bank and Russia would be the Big Gun in Central Asia, Business Insider, 15 July 2015 http://www.businessinsider.com/the-growing-china-russia-economicrelationship-2015-7. src-h.slav.hokudai.ac.jp/ No. 647 2015 12 27