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1, 1992 2005,,, 10 2,, 1992 1998 1,,, 1998 2002 2,, 3,,, 2002, 2002 3 1 2 1

, 3, 1999, 4,, 3 14 11 2

I, 10,, 1992 2005, 2,, 3, 4,, II,, 1992 1998 1,, 1998 2002 2 2002 3 II-1: 1 1993 1998 90,, 1995 6850,, 3

1 93 3 93 3 127, 96 3,, 2,, 1995 8,,, 2001 3,, 1 1000 1997 11, 3,,,,, 1, II-2 1993 3 1 8 2 8, 8 3,,, 1, 2005 2 2003 4

4, 5 1 2,,, Diamond and Dybvig (1983),,,, Freixas and Rochet (1997) Dewatripont and Tirole (1994),, 1 2 3, 4 5,, II-3: 5

,,, BIS BIS,, 05,, 1 2 1 2 45 5, 1 2 1 2 2 1 1, BIS 1990 45, 1 :, 1997, Tier2, 8% 2 3, 5%,, 6

8% 1997,, 1, BIS, 2-1 1997 3 8 8 1 2-2 1997 3 BIS 3 3 3 Brewer III et al (2003) 90, /, /, 3, Horiuchi and Shimizu (1998) Ito and Sasaki 2002) 1 90, 3 2 2005 7

8 Shrieves and Dahl (2003) II-4:, 3, 90,,,,,,

, 1,?,, (entrenchment) Hanazaki and Horiuchi (2003) (2002 5 ), (2000) 2002 5, 80 90, Hosono and Sakuragawa (2002) BIS BIS, (2002) 98 9

Caballero et al (2003) 80 90 5 15,, Montgomery(2005) 1988 1999, 25 47 Ito and Sasaki 2002), 1990-1993, 85 Konishi and Yasuda(2004) 1990 1999, 54,,, 4,,, 4 (2003), 1993-1998,,, 10

II-5: 2 1998 2002 1997 1988 4,, 1998 5, 10 2001 3, 12 6 2000 6,, 1998 3 1999 3 2 1 21 1 8000 2 15 7 4000,, 3 Spiegel and Yamori (2003),,, 11

1998, 1998 3, 1999 3, 3, 90,,, 1,, 1998 3 297 2002 3 42 1998, 4, Tier1 (2005), 2005 Skinner(2005) 1998, 2002, 13000 11000 4 2000 2001 2002, 2003, 1, 2002, 45% 2002 1,, 12

II-6:,,,,,,, 2001 3,, 2002 2002 4,, 1 1000, Hosono (2004) 1992-2002,,, Murata Hori (2006), Hosono(2004),, 20002 II-7: 3 2002 2005 2002 10, 3 1, 2, 13

, 3, 102 1, 2,,, 2002 3 42 2005 15 1, 2002 2003 3 2004 3 2005 3 4 2003 5, 3,,, 2005 11,,, 2004 8 2005 4,, Fukuda and Koibuchi (2006 14

3 (2006) 2003 4,, BIS BIS 3,,,, 5,, 3 II-8: 2,,,,,,, 1995 2002, 1, Tier2 15

, 4, 2001, BIS, 1, 5 5,,,, 2000 3 2001 9 1, 10 3947 15 2870 5 2001 2001 9 2003 3 2, 2 3, 2003 2005 2004 UFJ, Berger et al(2000), 2004, UFJ 16

BIS II-9: 2002 3 42 2005 3 175, 5, 1998 490 2005 400 3,, 3, 1995 3 150 2005 100, 5,, 1999 2004 100 10,, 1990 III, 1995 05, 1999 3, (2005) 2003 3, 30, 17

, 2003, 20%, (2006), 5,,,,,, 1980 2004, GDP, 1000 0909 1000-0706 -0465 1000-0076 0085 0654 1000 1990, 6 10%,, 5 8%,, 18

IV:,, 1992-2003 112 1992-2003, 24% 224% Hoggarth et al(2002) 1986 1990,, 3 60, 50, 112, 112, 112,, 46 124 186 96 62 GDP 92, 16 Hoggarth et al(2002),, 1992 2004 522, 46 982 OECD International Financial statistics Hoggarth et al(2002) 1980 47 36, 1992, 2005 4 Hoggarth et al(2002) GDP GDP 61, 1983 1992 10 2004 GDP,, 162, 36 14 19

, 1, 45% GDP 90, 1 2002, 3 14 11 2003,, 90 V, 14 3,,, 20

,, 90 1991 1996 85 5 5 2, 1993, (2005), (2005) (2003), (2002) (2005) (2006) (2002) (2002), 7 5 1993 1994 1994 1995 ) Recapitalization, moral hazard behavior and commitment to bailing out the insolvent banks ( 1996 ) 21

(2003), 9 (2003) A (2005), 139 178 (2000),? ( ) Berger, AN, SM Davies, and MJ Flannery, (2000), "Comparing market and supervisory assessments of bank performance: who knows what when?, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 32(3), 641-667 Brewer, Elijah III, Hesna Genay, William Curt Hunter, and George G Kaufman, (2003), Does the Japanese Stock Market Price Bank-Risk? Evidence from Financial Firm Failures, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 35(4), 507-543 Caballero, Ricardo J, Takeo Hoshi, and Anil K Kashyap, (2003) Zombie Lending and Depressed Restructuring in Japan, presented at the NBER/CEPR/CIRJE/EIJS Japan Project Meeting held in Tokyo Dewatripont, M, and J Tirole, (1994), The Prudential Regulation of Banks, the MIT press Diamond, D W and P H Dybvig (1983), Bank runs, deposit insurance and liquidity, Journal of Political Economy: 401-419 Fukuda, Shin-ichi and S Koibuchi, (2006), The impact of shock therapy under a banking crisis: experience from three large bank failures in Japan, Japanese Economic Review 57, p232-256 Freixas, X, and J-C Rochet (1997), Microeconomics of Banking, The MIT Press Hanazaki, M, and A Horiuchi, (2003), A review of Japan s bank crisis from the governance perceptive, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 11, 305-325 Hoggarth, G, R Reis, and V Saporta, (2002), Cost of banking system instability: some empirical evidence, Journal of Banking & Finance 26: 825-855 Konishi and Yasuda (2004), Factors affecting bank risk taking: evidence from Japan, Journal of Banking and Finance 28, 215-232 Horiuchi, Akiyoshi, and Katsutoshi Shimizu, (1998) The Deterioration of Bank Balance Sheets in Japan: Risk-Taking and Recapitalization, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 6, 1-26 22

Hosono, K, (2004), Depositors discipline during the banking crisis in Japan? Discussion papers series 04-1, Gakusyuin University Hosono, K, and M Sakuragawa (2002), Bad loans and accounting discretion, Ito, Takatoshi, and Yuri Nagataki Sasaki (2002), Impacts of the Basel Capital Standard on Japanese Banks Behavior, Journal of the Japanese and International Economics 16, 372-397 Montgomery, H, The effect of the Basel Accord on bank portfolio in Japan, Journal of the Japanese and International Economics 19, (2005), 24-36 Murata, K, and MHori, (2006), Do small depositors exit from bad banks? evidence from small financial institutions in Japan? Japanese Economic Review 57, p260-278 Shrieves, Ronald E, and Drew Dahl, (2003), Discretionary Accounting and the Behavior of Japanese Banks under Financial Duress, Journal of Banking and Finance 27, 1219-1243 Skinner, Douglas J, (2005), The Rise of Deferred Tax assets in Japan, The Case of the Major Japanese Banks Spiegel, MM, and Y, Nobuyoshi, (2003), The impact of Japan s financial stabilization laws on bank equity values, Journal of the Japanese and International Economics 17, 263-282 23