6 1 24 65 27 10 60 65 65 81.7% 31 65 60 2014; 2010, 2-278 -
2 3 4 5 6 2 24 25 60 2013 10 1 10 28 2 4203 21.0% 2 4 2015 2 10 16 60 31 20 60 64 50 788 5 6 2 1 60 60 4-279 -
60 6 1 70.5% 19.3% 9.1% 6 1 60 61 60 61 65 65 66 66 70.5% 90.1% 3.0% 6.1% 0.9% 1.1% 61.9% 2.4% 31.0% 4.8% 19.3% 85.2% 3.9% 9.0% 1.9% 9.1% 15.6% 9.6% 4.8% 70.0% 60 65 90.1% 85.2% 60 65 60 65 61.9% 60 66 31.0% 61 66 70.0% 6 2 30 51 100 101 301 501 1001 5001 31 50 300 500 1000 5000 1.6% 1.2% 4.6% 60.4% 16.7% 9.4% 5.1% 0.6% 0.4% 3991 1.4% 0.9% 4.1% 58.5% 17.5% 10.8% 5.7% 0.7% 0.3% 2812 2.4% 7.1% 4.8% 61.9% 11.9% 7.1% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 42 0.8% 0.9% 3.2% 67.4% 16.5% 6.6% 3.9% 0.3% 0.5% 772 4.9% 2.7% 11.0% 60.0% 11.8% 5.5% 3.3% 0.0% 0.8% 365 6 2 101 300 60.4% 501 1000 10.8% 1001 5000 5.7% 5001 0.7% 17.2% 101 300 67.4% 100 14.3% 18.6% - 280 -
6 3 31.2% 19.1% 16.9% 33.7% 10.2%23.8% 16.7% 4.8% 24.9%27.4% 6 3 0.2% 6.5% 31.2% 0.7% 5.5% 12.7% 19.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1% 5.7% 33.7% 0.8% 6.0% 10.4% 20.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 21.4% 4.8% 4.8% 16.7% 21.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 10.2% 30.8% 0.4% 4.7% 14.8% 17.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.3% 6.0% 14.0% 0.3% 3.3% 24.9% 12.1% 0.3% 1.6% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 16.9% 0.2% 0.0% 3991 2.0% 0.7% 0.6% 16.0% 0.2% 0.0% 2812 4.8% 0.0% 2.4% 23.8% 0.0% 0.0% 42 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 15.2% 0.3% 0.0% 772 4.7% 5.2% 0.0% 27.4% 0.0% 0.0% 365 6 4 5 4 3 2 1 7 7 7 6 4 3.09 3.26 3.44 4.06-281 -
3.82 4.36 4.05 4.30 4.19 4.51 4.57 4.76 2.99 2.98 2.16 0.93 6 4 N 3.09 2758 1.80 2722 3.82 2717 4.36 2723 2.99 2456 2.98 2749 2.16 2757 3.15 2621 3.26 41 1.53 40 4.05 39 4.30 39 3.02 30 3.12 41 2.51 41 3.24 36 3.44 767 1.76 754 4.19 761 4.51 762 3.24 642 3.33 765 2.60 767 3.72 713 4.06 353 1.71 345 4.57 345 4.76 344 4.16 267 3.75 350 3.67 351 4.56 276 3 60 6 5 60 60 59 60 0 5% 58.5% 5.1% 0% 5%62.0% 5% 10% 25.4% 10% 15% 11.1% 0%19.5% 20% 14.7% 60 4.5% 5.5% 6.1% 8.5% 60 80.9% 3.10 3.12 3.23 3.32-282 -
6 5 60 0% 0% 5% 60 64 5% 10% 10% 15% 15% 20% 20% 6.8% 58.5% 21.3% 7.3% 2.4% 3.6% 5.1% 3835 7.1% 62.0% 20.9% 5.9% 2.1% 2.0% 4.5% 2717 19.5% 51.2% 12.2% 9.8% 2.4% 4.9% 5.5% 41 4.3% 52.5% 25.4% 11.1% 2.2% 4.5% 6.1% 737 8.5% 44.7% 16.5% 9.7% 5.9% 14.7% 8.5% 340 60 34.4% 46.5% 14.6% 2.7% 1.8% 3.15 3991 31.5% 48.2% 15.9% 2.7% 1.6% 3.10 2812 26.2% 59.5% 9.5% 2.4% 2.4% 3.12 42 39.9% 44.0% 12.7% 2.2% 1.2% 3.23 772 46.3% 37.3% 9.3% 3.3% 3.8% 3.32 365 1 60 64 2 4 1 60 6 6 0.966 1.027 0.862-283 -
6 6 N=2673 N=40 N=324 B S.E Exp B S.E Exp B S.E Exp 1.826 0.189-2.170 0.678-0.845 0.314 0.000 0.000 1.000** 0.000 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.000 1.000 0.108 0.091 1.114-0.446 0.388 0.640-0.936 0.178 0.392** 60-0.034 0.007 0.966** -0.004 0.024 0.996 0.026 0.007 1.027** -0.148 0.058 0.862* -0.209 0.214 0.812 0.049 0.094 1.050 2 188.982** Cox & Snell 2 0.049 N 3766 ref. N=729 1 ** p 0.01, * p 0.05 2 1 0 6 7 60 4 1 2 1 0% 100% - 284 -
5 1 5 10 6 7 6 8 72.0% 77.7% 65.6% 73.2% 6.56 7.03 5.95 6.42 5.34 5.79 5.98 6 7 10 10 10 N N N N 2.81 2668 2.90 2674 72.0% 354 65.6% 354 6.56 354 5.95 354 5.34 354 2.84 354 6.26 347 2.94 36 3.00 37 73.8% 16 70.6% 16 6.46 16 5.83 16 5.54 16 3.50 16 7.92 15 2.83 747 2.92 747 77.1% 151 68.3% 151 6.84 151 6.26 151 5.79 151 3.46 151 7.27 147 2.89 333 2.91 335 77.7% 267 73.2% 267 7.03 267 6.42 267 5.98 267 3.97 267 9.08 262 F 3,784 =3.727, F 3,784 =4.851, F 3,784 =5.506, F 3,784 =4.858, F 3,784 =11.144, F 3,784 =34.587, F 3,784 =19.047, 6 6 60 5-285 -
4 60 65 6 8 0.2% 5.7% 91.8% 2.1% 0.2% 100.0% 3264 0.2% 4.7% 92.6% 2.2% 0.3% 100.0% 2530 0.0% 19.2% 73.1% 7.7% 0.0% 100.0% 26 0.0% 8.8% 89.8% 1.4% 0.0% 100.0% 656 1.9% 11.5% 84.6% 1.9% 0.0% 100.0% 52 65 60 66 69 70 87.1% 7.8% 0.8% 2.9% 1.3% 100.0% 3264 88.3% 7.2% 0.7% 2.6% 1.3% 100.0% 2530 76.9% 11.5% 3.8% 7.7% 0.0% 100.0% 26 83.8% 9.8% 1.4% 3.7% 1.4% 100.0% 656 76.9% 15.4% 0.0% 5.8% 1.9% 100.0% 52 6 8 91.8% 92.5% 89.8% 65 87.1% 88.3% 83.8% 5 9 65 1 0-286 -
1 0 6 9 65 1.379 2.679 60 65 6 9 65 65 B S.E Exp B B S.E Exp B -2.022 0.094 0.132** -2.848 0.130 0.058** 0.000 0.000 1.000** 0.000 0.000 1.000-0.635 0.133 0.530** -0.350 0.174 0.705* 60 0.045 0.008 1.046** 0.000 0.013 1.000 ref. 0.322 0.132 1.379* 0.625 0.172 1.869** 0.985 0.476 2.679* 1.602 0.513 4.962** 0.672 0.352 1.958 1.051 0.420 2.861* 2 88.237** 27.551** Cox&Snell R 2 0.028 0.009 3121 3082 1 ** p 0.01, * p 0.05 2 6 6 60 60 6 9 1.869 4.962 2.861 60 65 6 10-287 -
6 10 65 1.245 1.564 65 6 10 0.678 1.277 5.9% 65 12.6% 60 1 6 9 1 1 1-288 -
6 10 65 65 B S.E Exp B B S.E Exp B -3.364 0.426 0.035** -2.055 0.480 0.128** 0.000 0.000 1.000* 0.000 0.000 1.000-0.599 0.148 0.549** -0.350 0.186 0.075 60 0.032 0.008 1.033** 0.005 0.014 1.005 0.219 0.078 1.245** 0.087 0.097 1.091-0.143 0.102 0.867-0.389 0.115 0.678** 0.067 0.038 1.070-0.096 0.050 0.908-0.022 0.050 0.978 0.021 0.066 1.021 0.447 0.081 1.564** 0.244 0.108 1.277* -0.006 0.051 0.994 0.117 0.067 1.124 2 124.454** 28.390** Cox&Snell 2 0.046 0.011 2665 2630 1 ** p 0.01, * p 0.05 2 6 10 65 6 9 65 5 3 1-289 -
10 6 11 60 6 54 32 1 2.84 3.46 3.97 0.25 6 1 0.75 1 2 1.5 2 3 2.5 3 5 4 5 10 7.5 10 12.5 6.26 7.27 9.08 50 50 5 4 32 1 50 54 32 1 50 54 3 2 1 50 5 4 3 2 1-290 -
6 11 50 N N N N N N N 2.84 354 6.26 347 1.93 351 2.66 351 2.38 351 2.29 352 68.1 354 3.50 16 7.92 15 2.63 16 3.00 16 2.69 16 2.50 16 73.8 16 3.46 151 7.27 147 2.31 150 2.90 150 2.74 150 2.48 151 70.4 151 3.97 267 9.08 262 2.77 266 3.11 266 3.06 266 2.94 266 74.3 267 F 3,784 =34.587, F 3,784 =19.047, F 3,779 =33.563, F 3,779 =14.968, F 3,779 =23.729, F 3,779 =19.400, F 3,784 =3.252, p 0.05 1.93 2.31 2.77 1.93 2.90 3.11 2.38 2.74 3.06 2.29 2.48 2.94 50 4 50 2 100% 0% 68.1% 74.3% - 291 -
1 50 5 12 60 5.76 5.26 60 5.87 5.30 60 5.84 5.28 60 6.77 5.86 60 6.82 5.85 6.72 5.91 6.86 5.91 6 11-292 -
6 12 50 60 60 60 60 60 60 N N N 5.76 * 54 6.25 31 6.77 ** 34 5.26 300 5.67 120 5.86 233 5.76 30 6.22 26 6.82 ** 34 5.30 324 5.70 125 5.85 233 5.87 * 25 7.03 10 6.52 22 5.30 329 5.70 141 5.93 245 5.64 55 5.88 24 6.33 41 5.28 299 5.77 127 5.91 226 5.37 80 6.12 26 6.04 44 5.33 274 5.72 125 5.96 223 5.72 23 6.00 10 6.72 ** 23 5.31 331 5.77 141 5.91 244 5.28 9 6.79 7 6.86 ** 17 5.34 345 5.74 144 5.91 250 5.72 30 6.19 9 6.31 23 5.30 324 5.76 142 5.94 244 5.84 * 39 5.77 15 6.14 22 5.28 315 5.79 136 5.96 245 1 ** p 0.01, * p 0.05 2 6 13 6.30 5.67 6.62 5.66 6.44 5.63 7.14 5.68 6.34 5.63 7.20 5.74 6.73 5.64-293 -
6.35 5.68 7.25 5.73 1 2 3-294 -
6 13 N N N 5.09 129 5.47 45 5.33 83 5.49 ** 225 5.92 106 6.27 ** 184 5.52 90 5.97 30 6.21 49 5.28 264 5.74 121 5.92 218 5.78 * 40 6.30 * 29 6.69 ** 39 5.28 314 5.67 122 5.85 228 5.88 * 26 6.62 ** 20 6.49 ** 46 5.30 328 5.66 131 5.87 221 5.51 100 5.90 48 6.26 * 71 5.27 254 5.73 103 5.87 196 5.61 * 61 6.44 ** 29 6.22 52 5.28 293 5.63 122 5.92 215 5.91 * 11 7.14 ** 11 6.59 ** 31 5.32 343 5.68 140 5.89 236 5.81 ** 64 6.34 * 34 6.36 ** 71 5.24 290 5.63 117 5.83 196 6.39 6 7.20 * 5 6.68 10 5.32 348 5.74 146 5.95 257 5.63 53 6.73 ** 21 6.09 39 5.29 301 5.64 130 5.96 228 5.43 79 6.35 * 24 6.26 * 52 5.31 275 5.68 127 5.91 215 6.13 ** 20 7.25 * 6 6.24 12 5.29 334 5.73 145 5.96 255 5.60 57 5.87 21 5.78 30 5.29 297 5.77 130 6.00 237 1 ** p 0.01, * p 0.05 6 6-295 -
6 14 D B C 5.03 5.74 5.51 D A B C 6.08 6.34 6.02 6 14 A B C D 324 5.57 5.74 5.51 5.03 D B F 3,320 =4.917, 139 6.20 6.18 5.43 5.45 243 6.08 6.34 6.02 5.05 F 3,239 =7.348, - 296 -
4 3 21 4 1 0 1001 1001 1 0 1 0 6 15 B S.E B S.E B S.E 4.300 0.280 3.285 0.475 3.689 0.337-0.155 0.150-0.058 0.036 0.234 0.012 0.563 0.171 0.196** 1001-0.007 0.149-0.003 0.214 0.234 0.072-0.061 0.173-0.021 0.009 0.157 0.003 0.046 0.237 0.016-0.019 0.173-0.007 0.101 0.055 0.103 0.245 0.090 0.219** 0.186 0.065 0.184** 0.484 0.107 0.253** 0.699 0.155 0.361** 0.600 0.122 0.307** 5.061** 6.946** 11.656** R 2 0.064 0.180 0.186 N 300 136 234 1 ** p 0.01, * p 0.05 6 15 =0.253 =0.361 =0.307-297 -
7 60 4 5 16 1 60 2 3 60-298 -
5 16 60 70.5% 1.1% 19.3% 9.1% 60 65 9 60 65 6 60 65 60 66 85% 3 61 667 60 64 6 8 7 9 68% 74% 70% 74% 1 2-299 -
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