ASEAN ASEAN 1. ASEAN 1967 5 1984 6 1995 1997 1999 10 ASEAN 2003 1 1 AFTA ASEAN 6 0 5 AFTA AEC ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN WTO FTA ASEAN FTA ASEAN FTA JSEPA FTA ASEAN FTA ASEAN ASEAN FTA ASEAN FTA ASEAN FTA ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN 1
2. ASEAN 2-1 ASEAN ASEAN 1967 1976 1 ASEAN 1976 1987 3 1980 ASEAN 1 ASEAN 2 3 4 ASEAN ASEAN BBC BBC BBC ASEAN ASEAN 1991 ASEAN APEC 1992 4 AFTA 1996 BBC AICO ASEAN AIA ASEAN ASEAN 1997 2-2 ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN 1997 12 ASEAN ASEAN Vision 2020 1998 12 6 ASEAN Vision 2020 ASEAN 2
AFTA 1998 ASEAN 3. 1997 ASEAN ASEAN 1 ASEAN NIES 2 APEC 3 WTO FTA 1999 2003 WTO FTA 4 ASEAN 1999 234 2003 574 2.4 324 594 1.8 ASEAN ASEAN5 105 282 2.6 ASEAN5 107 264 2.4 10 ASEAN5 10 6118 9400 1.5 10 43.8 49.5 10 24.5 19.7 1 ASEAN 2 3
1997 12 ASEAN 3 2000 5 4. ASEAN ASEAN AFTA AICO AFTA 2003 1 6 6 CEPT 99.5 4 4361 4 4160 0 5 AICO 1998 2003 2 101 90 27 26 7 5 2 2005 4 21 129 115 32 38 7 6 3 BBC AICO 1990 BBC AICO ASEAN ASEAN AFTA AFTA AICO ASEAN ASEAN AFTA AICO AFTA 1 CEPT AFTA ASEAN 2 AFTA CEPT ASEAN 5 2003 21.4 20.0 4
3 1977 8 ASEAN ASEAN AFTA ASEAN ARF ASEAN ASEAN 3 ASEAN FTA ASEAN FTA 5 ASEAN 5-1 ASEAN 1 ASEAN ASEAN 2 EU ASEAN EU 3 ASEAN 4 5
5-2 1 ASEAN 2 ASEAN FTA ASEAN FTA FTA ASEAN 3 ASEAN 3 FTA 4 ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN 2005 30 ASEAN ASEAN 5-3 1 AFTA 2 ASEAN AEC AFTA 3 ASEAN AFTA 6 6 4 ASEAN 6
1996 ASEAN DSM ASEAN 5 6. ASEAN 9 ASEAN ASEAN 2003 10 9 ASEAN 2003 10 9 ASEAN ASEAN ASC ASEAN AEC ASEAN ASCC ASEAN ASEAN AEC 2020 ASEAN EU ASEAN AEC HLTF 2 ASEAN 11 11 e-asean 1 2 ACT ASEAN 3 ACB ASEAN 1976 ASEAN ASEAN 2003 10 ASEAN 7
7. ASEAN 7-1 2004 11 10 2004 ASEAN 2004 11 10 9 ASEAN ASEAN 1 11 ASEAN ASEAN 11 AFTA CEPT 2010 4 2015 3 2007 4 2012 2 VAP VAP 1997 ASEAN ASEAN Vision 2020 2 ASEAN Vision 2020 1997 12 2 ASEAN 2020 ASEAN ASEAN 1998 6 1999 2004 1. 2. ASEAN AEC ASEAN 1. ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN 2. ASEAN 2.AEC ASEAN 2-5. 4 2-1.. 11 2-3. 4. GDP ASEAN6 CLMV ASEAN6 ASEAN 2002 11 IAI 8
2004 VAP ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN 3 ASEAN EAS) 2005 TAC ASEAN FTA ASEAN ASEAN 2005 7 2010 ASEAN 2005 4 ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN 7-2 IMV ASEAN 2004 2004 8 IMV IMV TUV IMV ASEAN IMV ASEAN ASEAN 9 ASEAN BBC AICO AFTA ASEAN 1990 BBC AICO ASEAN ASEAN T&K TAP) ASEAN 9
TMSS 2001 TMAP ASEAN IMV 8 25 1 3 5 28 14 ASEAN IMV TMT 2006 2 50 IMV 28 9 1 IMV 2 8 1 IMV IMV IMV TMT 2002 2 1,119 2003 3 5,663 2004 4 3,999 IMV 2004 3 24 2004 17.4 62 6,026 1996 58 9,126 90.7 IMV 24.1% 37.1% 2008 20 IMV ASEAN BBC ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN 3 10
ASEAN ASEAN IMV 2 1 ASEAN IMV ASEAN 2 ASEAN ASEAN FTA ASEAN 7-3 CEPT 2004 CEPT ASEAN 40 7,540 2003 59.2% 2002 14 6,410 2003 25 6,070 2004 ASEAN CEPT 2002 10.8 2003 15.5% 2004 19.3% 3-4 2003 1 1 AFTA 6 AFTA 11 ASEAN 2004 ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN FTA ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN FTA ASEAN 3 ASEAN ASEAN 3 ASEAN FTA ASEAN ASEAN 11
8. ASEAN ASEAN 1976 ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN FTA ASEAN 12 ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN 12
ASEAN ASEAN EU 25 (10) 10 5 7,291,785 1,596,925 345,338 374,457 228,001 166,668 123,109 388,949 359,351 41,821 84,963 43,844 120,149 68,575 1,223,963 81,814 3,021,398 1,899,080 940,068 152,202 237,767 178,339 81,643 70,604 243,166 219,513 26,025 57,751 26,783 68,129 40,824 375,445 35,710 292,423 471,913 211,860 57,474 29,913 34,828 31,314 61,243 58,331 7,178 11,256 9,007 14,846 16,044 115,908 9,922 75,380 438,473 191,316 59,454 76,324 20,105 9,014 30,935 26,420 4,482 6,142 3,094 8,873 3,829 92,510 6,265 78,323 229,010 131,496 12,106 95,572 5,918 5,491 13,883 12,409 1,001 2,018 2,227 4,643 2,520 41,701 2,805 32,381 19,609 7,546 383 4,737 853 523 1,212 1,050 69 182 244 335 219 5,028 194 4,329 193,817 91,449 17,276 35,110 14,654 1 7,045 20,253 17,364 3,378 3,852 2,975 4,636 2,524 34,219 3,272 26,980 144,059 80,601 11,905 21,399 28,331 4,569 17,393 14,396 1,513 3,043 2,298 4,979 2,563 25,920 1,883 19,463 449,031 245,447 56,102 29,987 29,467 17,163 18,185 94,543 8,971 31,875 7,458 31,375 14,863 71,707 13,426 ASEAN 10 ASEAN 421,809 233,346 51,461 28,212 29,118 16,222 17,741 99,459 90,593 8,474 31,439 7,181 30,153 13,344 65,187 11,562 59,894 ASEAN 5 61,058 35,247 13,603 3,803 1,183 4,324 2,233 10,725 10,101 2,364 945 5,400 1,393 7,374 1,792 8,230 100,113 54,531 10,980 6,427 6,111 2,937 3,526 25,897 24,550 2,127 0 1,382 16,478 4,563 17,791 2,517 13,052 36,061 21,145 5,764 2,143 3,085 1,313 2,477 6,522 6,363 296 2,405 2,429 1,233 7,156 406 6,015 144,325 83,185 9,704 10,146 14,437 6,063 6,904 39,784 35,930 3,740 22,795 3,239 6,156 19,227 4,686 20,394 79,823 42,777 6,251 5,761 7,890 2,494 3,536 18,896 16,846 8,573 1,799 2,735 12,348 2,844 13,538 80,253 39,239 11,410 5,693 4,301 1,585 2,601 16,531 13,649 2,312 3,875 1,616 5,846 13,639 2,162 12,202 724,771 179,226 52,004 28,368 13,520 24,073 17,448 45,244 43,813 2,516 10,914 7,987 16,560 5,835 13,088 155,170 70,354 35,859 12,797 5,952 1,869 5,279 2,426 7,868 7,536 1,819 1,362 624 2,260 1,470 6,176 9,970 EU 25 3,069,765 183,865 45,418 46,186 20,816 18,402 12,266 40,778 4,667 9,034 3,707 16,176 7,194 256,726 19,593 EU 25 13
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London. Soesastro, H. (1998), ASEAN during the Crisis, ASEAN Economic Bulletin, Vol.15, No. 13, ISEAS. Tay, S., Estanislao, J. and Soesastro, H. (2001), Reinventing ASEAN, ISEAS. United Nations (UN) (1974), Economic Cooperation among Member Countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Journal of Development Planning No.7, UN, New York. Wattanapruttipaisan, T. (2003), ASEAN-China Free Trade Area ASEAN Economic Bulletin, Vol.20, No. 1, ISEAS. World Bank (1998), East Asia: The Road to Recovery, Oxford University Press, New York. Shimizu, K. (2002), Intra-ASEAN Economic Cooperation and Monetary Cooperation, Journal of Asian-Pacific Studies, Vol.10, Asian-Pacific Center. 2001 AFTA ASEAN 2004 ASEAN 2003 FTA 2002 ITI) ITI 1994 1997- (1-9) 2003 54 1994 2003 ASEAN 2005 EU 2004 ASEAN 52 3 2003 2003/2004 2004 2004/2005 2003 2 2004 15
3 1991 ASEAN 1994 ASEAN 2001 ASEAN 2003 1998 ASEAN 1999 ASEAN 43 5 2002 ASEAN 2002 2004a ASEAN ASEAN 4 2004b ASEAN 48 10 2005 ASEAN 10 IMV ITI ( ) shimizu@en.kyushu-u.ac.jp 812 8581 6 19 1 16
Q : ASEAN AFTA AICO S : AEC ASEAN ISIS ISEAS Q : S : Commission EU ASEAN S: C: 4000 Q : 4 CEPT CEPT AFTA 0 CEPT S :AFTA ASEAN ASEAN 17
ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN 40 Q2: ASEAN CEPT S2: ASEAN Q3: ASEAN CEPT S3: CEPT 5 Q:ASEAN S: AEC 6 C:BBC BBC AICO 90 90 96 96 4 AICO 60 AICO ASEAN IMV 5 ASEAN ASEAN 5 10 10 18
BBC AICO AFTA S1:BBC AICO 15 20 ASEAN ASEAN BBC AICO ASEAN 7 Q1 BBC AICO S : ASEAN IMV ASEAN Q2: S2: BBC AICO Q3: S2: 19
8 C1: 28 5 20 2 70 ASEAN ASEAN AICO S1: ASEAN C2:ASEAN S2:ASEAN 87 ASEAN 9 C1: S1:ASEAN 98 MSC 10 Q1:EU AICO ASEAN AICO S1:AAF ASEAN BBC 20
11 Q1:ASEAN II ASEAN FTA NAFTA ASEAN S1: ASEAN 1967 1976 ASEAN ASEAN Q2:NAFTA EC ASEAN S2: EU NAFTA ASEAN EU 12 Q1:AFTA S1:CEPT 13 21
C1: 0-5 14 C1:ASEAN II Legally Binding Resolution S1: ASEAN II WTO EU ASEAN C2: APEC APEC APEC WTO WTO EC EC EC WTO ICJ ASEAN WTO S2: WTO ASEAN 15 Q: WTO 16 C:APEC WTO FTA WTO S: 17 Q:EU 2020 22
S: ASEAN EU ASEM ASEAN 2020 ASEAN ASEAN FTA ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN 23