No. 36 March 2019 Continuity and Change of China s Foreign Policy under Xi Jinping Rumi Aoyama With China s economic power on the rise, China and the

Similar documents
CSIS 4 the Asia-Pacific, or the Indo-Pacific region Asia s Democratic Security Diamond 7 11 sea-faring democracies Lake Beijing

-October TPP ASEAN RCEP TPP MV Islamic State, IS EU EU EU EU EU

140 NDPG Defense of Japan 2010, pp. 2-3.

untitled

日朝国交正常化交渉の経緯と朝鮮半島をめぐる最近の動向

上海協力機構(SCO) 創設の経緯と課題

untitled

No

冷戦後の戦略環境変化とクリントン政権

Robert S. Ross 7 Charles L. Glaser 8 Susan Shirk David Shambaugh, China Engages Asia: Reshaping the Regional Order Internationa

565 …›…•”††iŸA“Ú1†j

Special Providence No

BRICs

Donald Trump 1 1 Thomas Wright NATO TPP NAFTA Vladimir Putin

555†i−â−Ô”††j

58 立教アメリカン スタディーズ

52 立教アメリカン スタディーズ Obama 2008:

和RIM28_向山氏.indd

Microsoft Word - 博士論文要約(稲澤宏行).doc

untitled

46 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No HSBC WTO 2006

- March SCB -, -, -, -, -, -, -, -, -, -,,,,,, -, -, -, -,, -,,,, -,,,,,, - -,, -,, Survey of Current Business, July, Table (p. ), Oct, Table (p. ) S.


日米防衛協力における3つの転機

政治的安定_06章.indd

2 Saddam Hussain % 56% 20%

- March IMF IMF IMF ITO The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade

和RIMNo.22高安氏.indd

Title 1963 年デタントの限界 : キューバ ミサイル危機後の米ソ交渉と同盟政治 年 Author(s) 青野, 利彦 Citation 一橋法学, 8(2): Issue Date Type Departmental Bulletin Pap

(Western European Union WEU) (EU ) (European Defence Com munity EDC) 54 (European Community EC) EU WEU WEU NATO EU NATO (NATO or Nothing) (Treat

はじめに

ASEAN ARF ARF 3 ARF No (2002/08/06 )

IMFの融資制度 : アイスランド、ウクライナ、ハンガリー、ラトビアのケースをもとにして

資源紛争概念の再検討

de facto GDP 10 2 IMF remittance ODA FDI % ,701 2, ,620 2,

米軍の変革と在日米軍の再編

.\.....pwd

J.

Core Ethics Vol.


CIS CIS 7000 CIS CICA WTO CIS CIS IMU EBRD No


GDPギャップと潜在成長率

Operation Vantage Joint Intelligence Committee

98 ASEAN ADMM EWG HA/DR EWG HA/DR ADMM

国連安全保障理事会の拒否権―安保理改革問題に関連して―

Jeffrey Sachs Chang(1998) Steven Radelet and Jeffrey Sachs (1998) 1999 IMF 1999 World Bank 1998 [ 1998 ] 2000 p [ 20

Association of South East Asian Nations: ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN ASEAN

No.7, (2006) A Survey of Legislation Regarding Environmental Information in Europe and Japan IWATA Motokazu Nihon University, Graduate School of

金/金


中国市場における日系・欧米系企業の戦略比較

本組よこ/本組よこ_古川_P289-310

618†iflÑfic”††j

2003年11月9日

(New Framework) BMD 1980 BMD BMD BMD BMD BMD BMD BMD 1980 BMD 85 BMD BMD

Starr and Cornell a EU AA No

James Mulvenon, China s Goldwater-

The Democratic People s Republic of Korea: DPRK GDP G Bergsten Wang,

Kyoto University * Filipino Students in Japan and International Relations in the 1930s: An Aspect of Soft Power Policies in Imperial Japan

Microsoft Word - 08_O'Brien_J_最終.doc

, IEA 1 2 Robert Keohane, Joseph Nye, Power and Interdependence: World Politic

RIETI Highlight VOL.25

) 2) 3) 4) Blake Gumprecht College towncity 5) University towncity 6) 69-A 7)

„h‹¤.05.07


Hook 1995, p. xi Krasner 1978, p. 28 Krasner Krasner 1978, pp. 5 6 ODA ODA ODA Sunaga 2004, p. 5 NGO ODA ODA GOJ 2003, p. 2 Enhancing Enligh

Phonetic Perception and Phonemic Percepition

-February FRB BIS IMF BIS Spillover Spillovers BIS IMF EMEs

グローバル化時代における日本の労働市場と留学生をめぐる考察

中国の家計所得と消費構造に関する分析

JICA JETRO

_›ªficŸaŁF

03_瀬岡.indd

WMD out-of-area 9 No

74-2 岩間

04_小松.indd

はじめに

Jr. *1 *2 W *1 Jr. (2005) *2 Arthur M. Schlesinger (2004).

中国 地方財政の債務構造と政府の対応策 目次はじめに 1. 地方政府債務の規模と質的な問題点 地方政府債務問題の解決に向けた中国政府の対応策 想定される短期の対応策 1 2 おわりに はじめに RIM

シラバス政治学H18.PDF

Microsoft Word - 沖縄を取り巻く国際環境と地域協力の意義0520.docx

14-比屋定.indd

‰à

橡23山中麻里江.PDF

1,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Christian Henriot, Little Japan in Shanghai: An Insulated Community,, Robert Bickers and Christian H

さぬきの安全2016-cs5-出力.indd

看護学科案内'16/表紙

A5 PDF.pwd

. 2

: () Ofer Feldman The Political Language of Japan: Decoding What Politicians Mean from What They Say, : Feldman Feldman : : Feldman :

21_01_sanada.indd

Change

No.8, (2007) Global Strategies of Tire Manufacturers for the Growing Economies of Eastern European and Latin American Countries USHIYAMA Yukio

2 146

.

,

『広島平和科学』24 (2002) pp

EEZ

アジア研究

Transcription:

No. 36 March 2019 Continuity and Change of Chinas Foreign Policy under Xi Jinping Rumi Aoyama With Chinas economic power on the rise, China and the world orderhas become a key topic of discussion for academics and policymakers. To analyze Chinas evolving grand strategy, this paper addresses such questions as: What are Chinas strategic intensions? And how has the Xi Jinping administration employed diplomacy in the pursuit of these objectives from 2013? This paper contends that Western international relations theories have had a significant impact on the development of Chinas foreign policy in the post-cold War era, and there are four major factors that shape Chinas calculative rising strategy under the umbrella of the Belt and Road Initiative BRI: Seeking structural power, economic statecraft, ideological hegemony and military buildup. Nowadays, BRI is largely driven by state capitalism as a consequence of government reorganization and the remodeling of Chinese policy-making. 1. 1 2 3 30 2010 2 2016 2 East Asia Institute The Rising China and New Civilization in the Asia-Pacific 1 1991 1 No. 370, 3 2 1993 1 No. 394, 1819 3 篪 2007 http://www.gov.cn/jrzg/2007-12/24/content_842471.htm2017 8 25 1

4 30 2. 5 2000 1995 C. Kingdleberger 6 structural power 7 8 regime hegemony 4 9 IMF 4 http://www.npc.gov.cn/npc/zhibo/zzzb36/node_363.htm2017 8 25 5 Tse-kang Leng, Rumi Aoyama eds., Decoding the Rise of China: Taiwanese and Japanese Perspectives, Palgrave Macmillan, 2018 6 1995 2 7 R2000 323 8 9 2005 10 84 1316 2

WTONATO G7/G8NAFTAPSI 10 11 12 Robert Gilpin 13 14 IMFG7TPP 15 4 2017 16 17 2009 2016 18 10 11 2004 3 12 2010 1017 13 14 15 16 17 18 2005 5 4752 2016 1 132 R323 He Yafei, A Post-American EraArrives,http://www.chinausfocus.com/foreign-policy/2017/0821/15374.html2017 8 25 2015 13 CNKI 2017 3 6273 3

2015 10 5 5 Institutional discourse power 20162020 19 5 20 IMF G20BRICS 21 IMF BRICS AIIB 4 3. 1993 30 7 5 19 http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2016-03/17/content_5054992.htm 20 http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/opinion/2015-11/23/content_22510054.htm2017 10 8 21 http://opinion.people.com.cn/n1/2016/0203/c1003-28106119.html 2017 10 8 4

NATO NATO NATO NATO NATO 9.11 NATO 2002 5 NATO NATO NATO NATO 22 NATO 23 NATO NATO NATO 2003 EU NATO 24 2008 4 4 8 NATO 2017 6 29 NATO NATO NATO 25 NATO ISAF 2014 NATO 2003 8 ISAF NATO NATO NATO ISAF 2012 6 22 23 24 25 2003 3 4750 伙 2010 3 117130 2003 6 5559 2017 7 2632 2008 5 511 2010 2 5559 5

26 2014 NATO 27 2012 3 2013 2013 9 28 NATO 2017 12 EU Permanent Structured Cooperation: PESCOEU PESCO PESCO NATO EU 29 30 2016 EU 31 EU 32 PESCO 33 NATO 34 NATO NATO NATO NATO 35 26 http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/gjhdq_676201/gj_676203/yz_676205/1206_676207/1207_676219/t939513. shtml 27 2013 6 67 28 伙 http://www.gov.cn/ldhd/2013-09/27/content_2496819.htm2017 10 29 30 8 2017 6 126 2018 2 31 Joint Communication to the European Parliament and the Council: Elements for a new Strategy on ChinaJune 22, 2016. 32 33 Scott W Harold, Chinese Views of European Defense Integration,China Monitor, Merics, December 19, 2018. 34 35 2014 4 80103 6

NATO 2013 4 NATO NATO 2014 5 NATO IPCP NATO 9 36 NATO 2010 NATO 2008 11 EU EU 37 2009 1 Jaap de Hoop SchefferNATO 4 NATO 38 NATO NATO 39 NATO NATO THAAD SCO 40 2011 2009 36 9 37 Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council: The European Union and the Arctic Region,November 20, 2008. 38 2009 NATO http://www.nato.int/cps/en/natolive/news_52837.htm 39 2014 3 5365 40 Bobo Lo, Axis of Convenience: Moscow, Beijing, and the New Geopolitics, Washington, D.C. and New York: Brookings Institution Press, 2008. 7

41 2011 THAAD NATO 42 2018 10 43 CSTO CSTO 44 2007 SCO CSTO 45 CSTOSCO BRICS 46 CSTO 47 NATO CSTO 41 Michael S. Chase, Evan S. Medeiros, J. Stapleton Roy, Eugene Bu. Rumer, Robert Sutter, and Richard Weitz, RussiaChina Relations: Assessing Common Ground and Strategic Fault Lines,NBR Special Reports#66, July 2017. Alexander Gabuev, China and Russia: Friends with Strategic Benefits,http://carnegie.ru/2017/04/07/china-and-russiafriends-with-strategic-benefits-pub-686282017 10 8 42 Robert Sutter, ChinaRussia Relations: Strategic Implications and U.S. Policy Options,NBR Special Reports, September 2018. 43 http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2018-10/19/c_1123585829.htm2018 12 25 44 2007 98 3742 45 Joint Communique of Meeting of Council of Heads of SCO Members,http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/wjdt_665385/ 2649_665393/t355665.shtml2017 10 8 46 Russian Security Council Develops New Formats of Cooperation within CIS, BRICS, CSTO, SCO,https://www.bricsbusiness council.co.za/brics-news/russian-security-council-develops-new-formats-of-cooperation-within-cis-brics-csto-sco/2017 10 8 47 2016 1 7185 8

4. 4 2013 9 10 21 2014 11 APEC 400 2015 3 6 2017 5 3 2018 1 AIIB BRICS 9

1 22015 64 IMF 2010 IMF 3 2018 12 22 201921 12.0058.56422.00 2 PKO 1 15.2 PKO 48 BRICS AIIB AIIB 2013 10 BRICS5 49 48 2 PKO https://www.recordchina.co.jp/b674190-s0-c10-d0054.html2018 49 12 25 183 125 10

2014 BRICS 1990 AC: Arctic Council FTA, RCEP, FTAAT FTARCEP FTAAP ASEAN 14 FTA GCC FTA EU FTA EU CPTPP, TPP11 2018 12 2018 11 RCEP2019 RCEP ASEAN10 6 16 5032 GDP RCEP FTA RCEPFTAAP TPP RCEP FTAAP G2 50 FTARCEPFTAAP FTARCEPFTAAP 50 716 2015 7 5253 11

2015 4 51 2018 9 138 113 52 53 54 6 55 161 56 1990 3 57 51 http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2017-05/11/c_1120 956748.htm2018 12 25 52 https://3 g.china.com/act/news/13002274/20180921/33975572.html2018 12 25 53 2017 5 22 54 55 ASEAN http://cass.cssn.cn/xueshuchengguo/ guojiyanjiuxuebu/201811/t20181122_4779736.html2018 12 25 56 http://16plus1-thinktank.com//index.html 57 22015 12

2035 21 2015 30 58 59 2018 8 60 30 61 62 2015 informatized local war 63 8 Belt and Road Space Information Corridor 2016 64 58 http://m.news.cctv.com/2016/11/27/artifdnrpryptjv6tkvmevgm161127. shtml2018 12 25 59 2016 5 33 60 Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the Peoples Republic of China 2018 https://media.defense.gov/2018/aug/16/2001955282/-1/-1/1/2018-china-military-power-report.pdf 61 30 62 30 63 http://www.scio.gov.cn/zfbps/ndhf/2015/document/1435161/ 1435161.htm 64 http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/zcfb/zcfbqt/201611/t20161123_827548.html 13

6 2018 9 ASEAN 65 90 66 2018 12 27 67 68 2015 1 Palapa Statelit Nusa SejahteraPSNS PALA- PA-N1 69 GPS GLONASS 70 71 30 72 2016 5 UN- OOSA2022 73 APSCO 74 2008 65 http://language.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201809/18/ws5ba06666a31033b4f4656a5a. html2018 12 25 66 China is Building a $9 Billion Rival to the American-Run GPS,Bloomberg News, November 11, 2018. 67 1994 2000 11 2012 68 2018 12 30 69 Chinese, Indonesian Firms Sign Contract on Satellite Purchase Package,http://www.xinhuanet.com//english/2017-05/17/ c_136292485.htm2018 12 25 70 2017 11 2 71 2018 19 2 72 http://news.cctv.com/2017/05/12/arti8wqphu2qr3qcvgcbeb Dq170512.shtml2018 12 25 73 United Nations/China Space Station Announcement of Opportunity Ceremony,http://www.unoosa.org/oosa/en/informa tionfor/media/2018-unis-ma-222.html2018 12 25 74 8 14

2018 6 2015 75 20182022 76 EU International Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities: Code Prevention of the Placement of Weapons in Outer Space, the Threat or Use of Force Against Outer Space Objects Treaty: PPWT Code PPWT 77 BRICS 2014 12 78 e e 7 79 54 e 80 2014 2016 11 81 75 Russia, China Sigh Space Exploration Deal,https://themoscowtimes.com/news/Russia-China-Sign-Space-Exploration- Deal-617362018 12 25 76 2016 3 77 77 Chinas Position on a Code of Conduct in Space,Security Review Commission Staff Research Report, September 8, 2017. 78 India, China Sign 12 Agreements,https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/india-china-sign-12-agreements/article 20868061.ece12018 12 25 79 http://www.xongju.com/news/info/1491882018 12 25 80 http://www.xinhuanet.com/zgjx/2018-08/29/c_137426740.htm2018 12 25 81 http://www.china-arab.com/2016/1127/6132.shtml2018 12 25 15

2017 3 82 2017 83 2015 84 2018 6 6 space force12 18 18000 85 GPS 86 87 88 e ewtp 89 90 2017 10 5 91 82 http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2017-03/01/c_1120552767.htm 83 Adam Segalhttps://www.foreignaffairsj.co.jp/theme/ 201810_segal/2018 12 25 84 Why Donald Trumps New Space Force cant Hurt China Like Star Wars Hurt the Soviet Union,South China Morning Post, October 4, 2018. 85 2018 4 18 86 Jordan Wilson, Chinas Alternative to GPS and its Implications for the United States,U.S.China Economic and Security Review Commission Staff Research Report, January 5, 2017. 87 2007 9 12 88 https://www.yidaiyilu.gov.cn/xwzx/bwdt/37793.htm2018 12 25 89 e https://www.ewtp.org/ 90 http://www.xinhuanet.com/world/2017-04/18/c_1120832453.htm2018 12 25 91 http://www.ce.cn/xwzx/gnsz/gdxw/201710/16/t20171016_ 26547326.shtml2018 12 25 16

92 5. 1990 G2 RCEPFTAAP 92 2018 11 25 17