10 27 1 9 22 25 11 Gilovich et al., 1985, p.313 Gilovich et al. 1985 Adams, 1992; Albright, 1993; Koehler and Conley, 2003; Clark, 2005a, 2005b Gilovi



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9 1 2 Process of Streaks in the volleyball game and game situation Yusuke Asai 1 and Masato Sagawa 2 Abstract The purpose of this study was investigation of process of Streaks in the volleyball game and game situation. Examination was used video-experiments with questionnaire. The questionnaire respondents were 52 volleyball players. They were looked at volleyball game by video, and answered degree of Streaks in the questionnaire when every rally end. They rated degree of Streaks on 11-point Likert scales, from 5=extremely poor, 0=even, to 5=extremely good. ANOVA with the aim is to reveal difference between every rally in detail. As a result, the two points and over point in a row were significantly difference. The two points and over point in a row changed game situation and perception of Streaks in participants. In addition, one point changed perception of Streaks that because they perceived that game situation changing by game context. Founding of this study is that game context affected Streaks. This study was used new method that conducted video-experiments with questionnaire to clarify characteristics of Streaks. Key words: Streaks in the game, volleyball, game situation, points in a row Ⅰ Gilovich et al. 1985 NBA 9 1 1 Gilovich et al.,1985, p.300 Gilovich et al. Gilovich et al. 1985 Wald-Wolfowitz runs test 2 Gilovich et al., 1985, p.302 Gilovich et al. 1 Sapporo Municipal Ryohoku Junior High School 2 Hokkaido University of Education Iwamizawa

10 27 1 9 22 25 11 Gilovich et al., 1985, p.313 Gilovich et al. 1985 Adams, 1992; Albright, 1993; Koehler and Conley, 2003; Clark, 2005a, 2005b Gilovich et al. 1985 Gilovich et al. 1985 20 Bar-Eli et al. 2006 70 Gilovich et al. 1985 100 Wald-Wolfowitz runs test 2008, 2010 2010 2011 Gilovich et al. 1985 0-0 24-25 1 1 1 1 2011

11 Ⅱ Wald-Wolfowitz runs test 2 2

12 27 1 9 22 25 11 Ⅲ 52 23 20.04 4.11 29 18.38 2.65 2011 11 6 12 3 VTR VTR VTR Lube Banca Marche Macerata A team VTR Bre Banca Lannutti Cuneo B team A team 5 5 2010 2011 Serie A 3 Lube Banca Marche Macerata - Bre Banca Lannutti Cuneo 5 th set DVD 5 5 B team 4 B team 5 B team B team10-5a team A team 4 B team11-11a team A team B team14-16a team A team 5 Serie A & B team B team A team 2 5 2 1 1 VTR 40 VTR VTR 1 5 3 A team 11 1 0 5 5 0 1 3

13 - -5-4 -3-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 A team + 5 1 3 5 2 4 2 1 3 4 3 5 StatView-5.0 1 Scheffe Gilovich et al. 1985 2 4 Ⅳ 1 2 2 A team B team A0-1B A team 0 B team 1 A - B A team B team 1 2 2 18 timeline A0 1B A0 2B A0 3B A0 4B A1 4B A1 5B A1 6B A2 6B A3 6B A3 7B Mean 1.000 1.731 3.115 3.346 2.118 2.712 3.923 2.642 1.288 2.000 SD 1.085 0.972 1.096 0.988 1.395 1.035 0.882 1.709 1.753 1.372 timeline A4 7B A5 7B A5 8B A5 9B A5 10B A6 10B A7 10B A8 10B A9 10B A9 11B Mean 1.308 0.135 1.192 2.481 3.288 1.731 0.692 0.673 2.038 0.269 SD 1.566 1.560 1.103 1.407 1.419 1.750 1.821 1.844 1.608 1.430 timeline A10 11B A11 11B A11 12B A12 12B A12 13B A13 13B A13 14B A14 14B A15 14B A16 14B Mean 1.173 2.500 0.712 1.558 0.058 1.173 0.500 1.385 3.135 3.827 SD 1.354 1.365 1.362 1.335 1.364 1.098 1.448 1.430 1.284 1.232

14 27 1 9 22 25 11 F 29 6320.546 217.950 112.380 <.0001 A0 1B A0 4B A0 1B A0 2B A0 3B A0 4B A0 1B M 1.000vs SD 1.085 1.731 0.972 p>.9999 3.115 1.096 p.0007 3.346 0.988 p<.0001 A0 2B M 1.731vs SD 0.972 3.115 1.096 p.6408 3.346 0.988 p.2081 A0 3B M 3.115vs SD 1.096 3.346 0.988 p>.9999 M 3.346vs A0 4B SD 0.988 p<.001 A0 4B A1 4B A0 4B A0 4B M 3.346vs SD 0.988 A1 4B 2.118 1.395 p.8904 A1 4B A1 6B A1 4B A1 5B A1 6B A1 6B A3 6B A1 6B A2 6B A3 6B A1 4B M 2.118vs SD 1.395 2.712 1.035 p>.9999 3.923 0.882 p.0451* A1 6B M 3.923vs SD 0.882 2.642 1.709 p.4849 1.288 1.753 p<.0001 A1 5B M 2.712vs SD 1.035 3.923 0.882 p.9013 A2 5B M 2.642vs SD 1.709 1.288 1.753 p.9335 A1 6B M 3.923vs SD 0.882 A3 6B M 1.288 SD 1.753 *p<.05 p<.001

15 A3 6B A3 7B A3 7B A5 7B A3 6B A3 7B A3 7B A4 7B A5 7B A3 6B M 1.288 SD 1.753 2.000 1.372 p.9999 A3 7B M 2.000vs SD 0.882 1.308 1.566 p>.9999 0.135 1.560 p.0216* A4 7B M 1.308vs SD 1.709 0.135 1.560 p.9335 M 0.135vs A5 7B SD 1.560 *p<.05 A5 7B A5 10B A5 7B A5 8B A5 B9 A5 B10 A5 7B M 0.135vs SD 1.560 1.192 1.103 p.9846 2.481 1.407 p<.0001 3.288 1.419 p<.0001 A5 8B M 1.192vs SD 1.103 2.481 1.407 p.8080 3.288 1.419 p.0001 A5 B9 M 2.481vs SD 1.407 3.288 1.419 p>.9999 M 3.288vs A5 B10 SD 1.419 p<.001 A5 10B A9 10B A5 10B A6 10B A7 10B A8 B10 A9 B10 A5 10B M 3.288vs SD 1.419 1.731 1.750 p.2996 0.692 1.821 p<.0001 0.673 1.844 p<.0001 2.038 1.608 p<.0001 A6 10B M 1.731vs SD 1.103 0.692 1.821 p.9884 0.673 1.844 p<.0001 2.038 1.608 p<.0001 A7 10B M 0.692vs SD 1.821 0.673 1.844 p.6778 2.038 1.608 p<.0001 A8 B10 M 0.673vs SD 1.419 2.038 1.608 p.6778 M 2.038vs A9 B10 SD 1.608 p<.001

16 27 1 9 22 25 11 A9 10B A9 11B A9 11B A11 11B A9 10B A9 11B A9 11B A10 11B A11 11B A9 10B M 2.038vs SD 1.608 0.269 1.430 p.0590 A9 11B M 2.038vs SD 1.608 1.173 1.354 p.9990 2.500 1.365 p.0001 A11 11B A11 12B A11 11B A11 12B A11 11B M 2.500 SD 1.365 0.712 1.362 p.0489* A10 11B A11 11B M 1.173vs SD 1.354 2.500 1.365 p.7460 M 2.500vs SD 1.365 p<.001 *p<.05 A11 12B A12 12B A12 12B A12 13B A11 12 B A12 12B A12 12B A12 13B A11 12B M 0.712vs SD 1.362 1.558 1.335 p.9997 A12 12B M 1.558vs SD 1.335 0.058 1.364 p.4074 A12 13B A13 13B A13 13B A13 14B A12 13B A13 13B A13 13B A13 14B A12 13B M 0.058vs SD 1.364 1.173 1.098 p.9662 A13 13B M 1.173vs SD 1.098 0.500 1.448 p.1363 A13-14B A16-14B A13-14B A14-14B A15-14B A16-14B A13-14B M -0.500vs SD 1.448 1.385 1.430 p.0173* 3.135 1.284 p.0067** 3.827 1.232 p<.0001 A14-14B M 1.385vs SD 1.430 3.135 1.284 p.0707 3.827 1.232 p<.0001 A15-14B M 3.135vs SD 1.284 3.827 1.232 p>.9999 M 3.827 A16-14B SD 1.232 p<.001 **p<.01 *p<.05

17 5 ** 4 3 2 ** * ** * 1 * 0-1 -2 * A13-13B A12-13B A12-12B A11-12B A11-11B A10-11B A9-11B A9-10B A8-10B A7-10B -3-4 -5 A6-10B A5-10B A5-9B A16-14B A15-14B A14-14B A13-14B p<.001,**p<.01,*p<.05 A5-8B A5-7B A4-7B A3-7B A3-6B A2-6B A1-6B A1-5B A1-4B A0-4B A0-3B A0-2B A0-1B Ⅴ A team A team 2 A0-1B M -1.000 A7-10B M -0.692 0 0 0 A team A7-10B A8-10B 0 1 A13-14B M -1.500 A8-10B A team A13-14B M -0.500 B team A team 1 A team B team A6-10B 3 2

18 27 1 9 22 25 11 A1-6B M -3.923 5 A1-6B B team 4 A team 1 B team 2 B team A team 1 Gilovich et al. 1985 15 5 A1-6B B team A5-10B 5 M -3.288 B team A team 1 A1-6B 5 5 A team A16-14B M 3.827 A team A15-14B A team 2 A team A1-6B M -3.923 A team A9-10B M 2.038 A11-11B M 2.500 A team A9-10B M 2.038 A team A team A team B team

19 1 2 2 2 2 18 A0-1B A0-3B 5 8 7 5 8 15 2 A0-2B A0-4B 2 4 25 5 15 2 2010 1 1 1 2 A11-11B vs A11-12B A13-14B vs A14-14B B team B team B team 1 2 A team A11-11B M 2.500 A11-12B M 0.712 A11-12B p.0489 A11-11B A11-12B A team B team A 5 B team A team B team A11-11B 5 A team A11-11B B team A team 0 B team A11-12B B team A team B team 2011 A13-14B M -0.500 A14-14B M 1.385 p.0173 A team B team A team A14-14B 1 A10-11B M 1.173 A11-11B M 2.500 p.7460 A11-12B M 0.712 A12-12B M 1.558 p.9997 A12-13B M 0.058 A13-13B M 1.173 p.9662

20 27 1 9 22 25 11 A team 1 Gilovich et al. 1985 A team B team A team B team B team 4 A team A 2008 9 2011 A team B team 2012 A8-10B 0 M 0.673 A team A team 2 A team 3 B team A8-10B A team 2 A5-7B 0 M -0.135 A team 2 A8-10B A5-7B A0-2B 2 A team M -1.731 A8-10B M 0.673 A5-7B M -0.135 1 VTR 15 15 15 15 15 A8-10B A team A13-

21 14B M -0.500 B team 1 A team VTR A team B team Ⅵ 5 VTR 1. 2. 3. 1 2 Wald-Wolfowitz runs test 2 Gilovich et al.1985 3 4 Volley pedia 5 A Volley pedia Adams, R.M. (1992) The hot hand revisited: Successful basketball shooting as a function of intershot interval. Perceptual and motor skills, 74, 934. Albright, S.C. (1993) A statistical analysis of hitting streaks in baseball:comment. Journal of the american statistical association, 88, 1175 1183. 2011

22 27 1 9 22 25 11. 46 79 85. Bar-Eli,M., Avugos,S., Raab,M. (2006) Twenty years of hot hand research: Review and critique. Psychology of sport and exercise, 7, 525 553. Clark, R. D. (2003) Streakiness among professional golfers: Fact or fiction? International Journal of Sport Psychology, 34, 63 79. Clark, R.D. (2005a) Examination of hole-to-hole streakiness on the PGA Tour. Perceptual and motor skills, 100 (3) : 806 814. Clark, R.D. (2005b) An examination of The Hot Hand in professional golfers. Perceptual and motor skills, 101 (3) : 935 942. Gilden, D. L., & Wilson, S. G. (1995) Streaks in skilled performance. Psychonomic bulletin and review, 2, 260 265. Gilovich, T., Vallone, R., and Tversky, A. (1985) The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences. Cognitive psychology, 17 (3) : 295 314. Koehler,J.J.,and Conley, C.A (2003) The hot hand myth in professional basketball. Journal of sport and exercise psychology, 25, 253 259. 2010 Volleypedia 2011 Coaching & Playing Volleyball, 72, 16 18. 2012 47 21 27. Silva, M. John, Hardy, J. Charles, and Crace, R. Kelly (1988) Analysis of psychological momentum in intercollegiate tennis. Journal of sport and exercise psychology, 10, 346 354. 2008 2011 2010 41 1 7.