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1 東 日 本 大 震 災 後 のアンケート 調 査 から 分 かること 1 は じ め に,. B
2 ) 2 保 険 リスクマネジメントと 先 行 研 究 2. 1 保 険 リスクマネジメント Ehrlich and Becker Naoi, Seko and IshinoJiang, Asai and Moridaira
3 図 1 リスクマネジメントの 種 類 2. 2 先 行 する 研 究 の 展 開 Kunreuther and Pauly Kunreuther, Meyer and Michel-Kerjan Kunreuther and Michel-Kerjan Browne and Hoyt Grace, Klein, and Kleindorfer Michel-Kerjan and Kousky Landry and Jahan-Parvar Botzen and van den Bergh a Botzen and van den Bergh b Botzen, Aerts and van den Bergh
4 Kriesel and Landry Shelor, Anderson and Cross Aiuppa, Carney and Krueger Aiuppa and Krueger Yamori and Kobayashi Takao, Yoshizawa, Hsu and Yamasaki Naoi, Seko, and Ishino Jiang, Asai and Moridaira Browne and Hoyt Kunreuther, Pauly and McMorrow Swiss Re ) ) Okura and Kasuga
5 3 日 本 の 地 震 保 険 制 度 ) ) ) 4 データと 分 析 手 法 4. 1 デ ー タ )... Kunreuther and Michel-Kerjan National Flood-Insurance Program Jaffee, Kunreuther and Michel-Kerjan Kunreuther Nakabayashi and Cooper
6 .. ).... ) Jiang, Asai and Moridaira,, 4. 2 分 析 手 法 ) Brown and Hoyt... = =,,,. %
7 表 1 家 計 の 地 震 保 険 購 入 に 関 する 記 述 統 計,..,..,..,..,..,..,..,..,..,..,..,..,..,..,.... Ehrlich and Becker
8 ,, Brown and Hoyt ) Brown and Hoyt
9 表 2 家 計 の 地 震 保 険 購 入 に 関 するプロビット 分 析 t t t.. ***.. ***.. *** ***... ***... *** ***... ***... ***... *... *... *... ***... ***... *** ,,,....,.,. McFadden R-squared... t t t.. ***.. ***.. *** ***... ***... ***... *... *... * ***... ***... *** ***... ***... *** **... **... ** McFadden R-squared... *** ** *
10 5 実 証 分 析 と 結 果 Brown and Hoyt
11 Brown and Hoyt, Brown and Hoyt ),, Ehrlich and Becker 6 結 語
12 13)) Ehrlich and Becker Kunreuther and Pauly
13 Ehrlich and Becker [ 参 考 文 献 ] COE/ COE : COE pp. EViews pp. - Botzen, W. J. Wouter, J.C.J.H. Aerts, J.C.J.M. van den Bergh Willingness of Homeowners to Mitigate Climate Risk through Insurance Ecological Economics, Vol.- pp.-. Botzen, W. J. Wouter and Jeroen J.C.M. van den Bergh arisk Attitudes to Low-Probability Climate Change Risks : WTP for Flood Insurance, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Vol.pp. -. Botzen, W. J. Wouter and Jeroen J.C.M. van den Bergh bmonetary Valuation of Insurance against Flood Risk under Climate Change, International Economic Review, Vol.pp.-. Browne, Mark J. and Kihong Kim An International Analysis of Life Insurance Demand, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol.pp. -. Browne, Mark J and Robert E. Hoyt The Demand for Flood Insurance: Empirical Evidence, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol.pp. -. Ehrlich, Isaac and Gary S. Becker Market Insurance, Self-Insurance, and Self-Protection, Journal of Political
14 Economy, Vol.pp. -. Harrington, Scott E. and Greg NiehausRisk Management and Insurance, nd Edition, Irwin, McGraw-Hill Grace, Martin F and Klein, Robert W and Kleindorfer, Paul R Homeowners Insurance with Bundled Catastrophe Coverage, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol.pp. -. Kunreuther, Howard and Mark Pauly Rules Rather than Discretion : Lessons from Hurricane Katrina, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol.- pp. -. Jaffee, Dwight, Howard Kunreuther and Erwann Michel-Kerjan Long-Term Property Insurance, Journal of Insurance Regulation, Vol., pp. -. Jiang, Ying Ying, Yoshihiro Asai and Souichiro Moridaira On Households Insurance Demand and Loss Control Evidence from the Great East Japan Earthquake International Journal of Business, Vol., pp. -. Kriesel, Warren and Craig Landry Participation in the National Flood Insurance Program: An Empirical Analysis for Coastal Properties, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol.pp. -. Kunreuther, Howard Long-Term Insurance for Reducing Losses from Catastrophic Risks, Social Research, Vol.pp. -. Kunreuther, Howard and Mark Pauly Rules rather Than Discretion: Lessons from Hurricane Katrina, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol.pp. -. Kunreuther, Howard and Erwann Michel-Kerjan Redesigning Flood Insurance Science, Vol. pp. -. Kunreuther, Howard and Mark Pauly Neglecting Disaster : Why Don t People Insure Against Large Losses? Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol.pp. -. Kunreuther, Howard C. Mark V. Pauly, Stacey McMorrow Insurance and Behavioral Economics: Improving Decisions in the Most Misunderstood Industry, Cambridge University Press. Kunreuther, Howard, Robert Meyer and Erwann Michel-Kerjan Overcoming Decision Biases to Reduce Losses from Natural Catastrophes, in Behavioral Foundations of Policy, E. Shafir ed.princeton University Press. Landry, E. Craig and Mohammad R. Jahan - Parvar Flood Insurance Coverage in the Coastal Zone, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol.pp. -. Lee, Soon-Jae Soon, Il Kwon and Seok Young Chung Determinants of Household Demand for Insurance: The Case of Korea, The Geneva Papers on Practice and Issues, Vol., pp.-. Michel-Kerjan, Erwann O. and Carolyn Kousky Come Rain or Shine: Evidence on Flood Insurance Purchases in Florida, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol.pp. -. Muermann, Alexander and Howard Kunreuther Self-Protection and Insurance with Interdependencies, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol. pp. -. Nakabayashi, Mariko and Robert Cooper Serious Ethical Turmoil in the U.S. and Japanese Life Insurance Markets, Journal of Financial Service Professionals, Vol. pp.-. Naoi, Michio, Miki Seko and Takuya Ishino Earthquake Risk in Japan : Consumers Risk Mitigation Responses after the Great East Japan Earthquake, Journal of Economic Issues, Vol.pp. -. Okura, Mahito and Norihiro Kasuga Financial Instability and Life Insurance Demand, Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. pp.-.
15 Saito, Kuniyoshi Testing for Asymmetric Information in the Automobile Insurance Market under Rate Regulation, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol.pp. -. Sawada, Yasuyuki and Satoshi Shimizutani How Do People Cope With Natural Disasters? Evidence from the Great Hanshin-Awaji Kobe Earthquake, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol.- pp. -. Swiss ReWorld insurance in Takao, Atsushi, Takuya Yoshizawa, Shuofen Hsu and Takashi Yamasaki The Effect of the Great East Japan Earthquake on the Stock Prices of Non-life Insurance Companies, The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance Issues and Practice, pp. -. Wang, Ming, Chuan Liao, Saini Yang, Weiting Zhao, Min Liu, and Peijun Shi Are People Willing to Buy Natural Disaster Insurance in China? Risk Awareness, Insurance Acceptance, and Willingness to Pay, Risk Analysis, Vol. pp.-. Yamori, Nobuyoshi, and Takeshi Kobayashi, Do Japanese Insurers Benefit from a Catastrophic Event? Market Reaction to the Hanshin Awaji Earthquake, Journal of Japanese and International Economies, Vol. pp.-.
16 SUMMARY WHY HOUSEHOLDS PURCHASE EARTHQUAKE INSURANCE? EVIDENCE FROM JAPAN AFTER THE GREAT EAST JAPAN EARTHQUAKE By YING YING JIANG, YOSHIHIRO ASAI and SOUICHIRO MORIDAIRA We empirically analyze factors affecting earthquake insurance purchase by using households data from Japan after the Great East Japan Earthquake. The results show that earthquake insurance purchase is positively related with loss control activities, savings and sensitivity to natural disasters. These results suggest that there is a wide gap between household sensitive to earthquake risks and those not. On the other hand, we do not find that earthquake insurance purchase is related to income level, resident area and disaster experience. Hitotsubashi University Meiji University Waseda University
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