ito@nli-research.co.jp
2
2003 2004 9.8 47.8 10.7 84.3 3
1 1 4
5 9.6 9.8 47.8 28.6
84 60.2 30.2 7.5 SARS 15.4 338.83 11.9 726.97 42.7 SARS 10.7 12.8 ( ) 10.9 16.1 1997 6
8.7 11.9 20.7 21.6 16.2 17 7 15.3 80 2 5.4 6.4 14.6 0.8 2 80 7
8 35.3 7.4 50.5 34.3 10 3 11 12 82.4 3
9
2 18.0 12.0 10.5 4 4 2003 1140.9 531.7 181 147.5 46.1 56.9 40.6 41.7 6.1 10
2 3 4 2002 2003 ( ) 2001 2001 2004 35.9 5 93 NIE 2002 2004 12.5 2.8 5 Lardy, Nicholas, Institute for International Economics, United States-China Ties : Reassessing the Economic Relationship, Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations US House of Representatives, October 21,2003 11
6.6 2.8 2000 2002 2003 10 2004 21 11.3 2003 2004 38.4 9.6 30.6 4.2 25.7 4.0 7.2% 3.9% 0.5% 0.3% 7.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.4% 24.6% 12.2% 2.7% 1.3% 18.0% 8.3% 14.8% 9.1% 4.2% 7.5% 17.7% 8.9% 18.1% 5.9% 3.0% 6.1% 17.0% 14.2% 7.1% 9.5% 8.0% 4.0% 17.5% 10.5% 6.1% 17.8% 10.7% 6.2% 9.4% 12.1% 1.1% 1.4% 5.3% 2.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.7% 1.0% 15.4% 19.7% 1.4% 1.8% 13.2% 25.6% 8.6% 5.9% 11.4% 3.8% 13.9% 20.3% 12.3% 4.3% 6.3% 3.8% 9.4% 24.1% 8.0% 5.0% 12.7% 4.2% 14.9% 16.9% 8.2% 12.0% 13.7% 6.7% 12
18 2003 6 1.1% 22.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.7% 1.7% 5.4% 0.7% 5.3% 24.5% 5.5% 11.3% 4.5% 13.6% 7.9% 6.4% 12.6% 11.5% 7.8% 2.2% 9.6% 9.9% 15.9% 1.4% 65.5% 17.3% 56.3% 77.5% 58.3% 3.8% 49.4% 58.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.9% 6.6% 1.1% 10.4% 4.9% 12.0% 0.6% -0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% ( ( 8.9% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 5.5% 1.0% 4.1% 4.3% 4.8% 10.8% 9.4% 11.0% 16.4% 8.2% 10.2% 12.3% 6.4% 1.5% 5.6% -0.3% 8.8% 0.8% 2.5% 1.1% 38.9% 77.5% 66.9% 70.6% 32.6% 51.6% 53.6% 42.2% 0.3% 2.2% -0.1% 4.8% 6.1% 23.8% 13.5% 23.6% 10.1% 0.1% 1.0% 0.8% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% ( ( ( ( 6 13
19 7 95 2003 3 95 2003 2003 2003 19 95 2003 19 World Trade Atlas ( ) 7 14
15
16 0.9 20 8485 90 84718473 8525 8542 20 8522 8522 20 18.8 29.2 20 20
1 8471 12,371 119.2% 8542 1,867 15.2% 2 8473 3,563 67.0% 8471 1,390-5.6% 3 8525 3,539 64.8% 8479 659 25.1% 4 8521 2,255 12.8% 8517 638-36.7% 5 8516 1,469 15.8% 8473 470-10.1% 6 8517 1,453 11.6% 9027 460 33.9% 7 8528 869 39.9% 9030 420 22.7% 8 8504 851 30.6% 8541 389-42.9% 9 8529 831 56.9% 9018 388 26.9% 10 8527 782-9.2% 8414 374 34.9% 1 8471 5,393 74.9% 8542 8,169 39.4% 2 8522 1,249 8.1% 8541 2,429 40.7% 3 8473 1,247 63.7% 8479 2,407 41.7% 4 8529 1,109 23.0% 9013 2,350 147.2% 5 8504 858 18.6% 8473 2,090 39.5% 6 8528 679 3.4% 8529 1,938 118.0% 7 8544 651 22.0% 8525 1,416 153.9% 8 8542 650 27.7% 8532 1,114 32.1% 9 8415 548 44.4% 8429 1,051 696.3% 10 8525 495 271.7% 8507 911 64.6% 1 8529 752 92.1% 8542 4,453 108.8% 2 8471 741 166.5% 9013 4,219 311.8% 3 8542 433 43.5% 8525 2,094 5.7% 4 8527 415 146.1% 8529 1,534 157.5% 5 9013 347 403.2% 8540 1,367-2.2% 6 8504 355 22.1% 8473 860 81.6% 7 8473 332 21.7% 8471 709 22.6% 8 8501 252 19.7% 8534 500 81.5% 9 8541 238 22.3% 8479 485 46.3% 10 8540 164 11.8% 8541 477 27.3% 1 8471 789 37.8% 8542 9,794 63.8% 2 8542 572 61.4% 9013 4,610 129.3% 3 8473 568 21.4% 8473 1,668 0.7% 4 9013 372 416.6% 8541 1,251 34.9% 5 8504 308 19.5% 8534 1,149 54.9% 6 8541 225 37.1% 8471 753 31.4% 7 8544 213 46.9% 8532 640 28.8% 8 8529 189 192.8% 8479 576-1.9% 9 8536 144 53.7% 8525 542 55.0% 10 8481 124 25.0% 8529 464 71.6% 17
21 8 21 847130 817.6 950.4 957.2 639.1 847160 33.4 55.6 20.7 20.2 852520 57.6 156.5 102.7 23.7 852540 56.5 95.6 20.6 26.3 854221 1.9 1.0 0.8 1.2 852990 45.7 104.0 77.9 44.7 901380 1.6 1.6 6.5 5.6 847130 800.0 1,141.7 917.8 655.3 847160 205.7 179.3 188.6 43.3 852520 549.0 585.8 145.3 84.7 852540 4,703.0 76.6 54.4 30.1 854221 2.2 1.3 2.3 1.4 852990 97.0 110.2 57.3 103.1 901380 29.1 10.0 42.5 20.8 847130 1,107.0 873.2 978.8 883.6 847160 367.6 186.0 287.5 144.7 852520 421.0 231.3 2,590.3 53.3 852540 164.8 241.9 188.6 97.9 854221 3.2 2.0 852990 319.7 128.2 70.0 901380 18.7 45.1 10.6 21.7 8 2004 15 25 18
1 90 2003 1 HS 84 85 22 902003 1990 2003 1 2 1 2 1 87 6.9% 13.3% 2 84 7.5% 13.6% 3 85 8.0% 13.0% 4 27 7.0% 11.9% 5 90 8.6% 3.3% 6 29 12.3% 3.7% 7 98 8.1% 2.8% 8 62 * 6.7% 2.5% 9 94 10.0% 2.8% 10 61 * 12.5% 3.1% 11 71 7.1% 2.2% 12 30 24.7% 3.4% 13 39 9.5% 2.1% 14 95 7.3% 1.6% 15 88 7.8% 1.4% 16 44 9.4% 1.5% 17 64 3.8% 0.8% 18 73 6.6% 1.1% 19 48 4.5% 0.9% 20 99 11.4% 1.4% 61 62 World Trade Atlas 19
1990 2003 14.2 23 1990 2003 9003 HS HS 1 9503 1,158 7.6% 8471 15,268 10.0% 59.9% 2 6110 816 5.4% 9503 6,618 4.3% 14.3% 3 6402 698 4.6% 6403 6,529 4.3% 21.7% 4 4202 692 4.5% 8473 6,446 4.2% 56.6% 5 2709 627 4.1% 9403 5,283 3.5% 40.4% 15,223 100.0% 152,379 100.0% 19.4% 1 8703 19,548 21.8% 8703 32,227 27.3% 3.9% 2 8471 5,925 6.6% 8708 7,263 6.2% 2.5% 3 8708 5,293 5.9% 8473 4,422 3.7% 3.6% 4 8542 2,956 3.3% 8525 4,274 3.6% 4.1% 5 8473 2,800 3.1% 8471 3,402 2.9% -4.2% 89,655 100.0% 118,028 100.0% 2.1% 1 6403 2,065 11.2% 8703 7,938 21.5% 16.2% 2 8542 1,654 8.9% 8525 6,009 16.3% 29.6% 3 8703 1,125 6.1% 8542 3,314 9.0% 5.5% 4 8471 1,053 5.7% 8471 2,140 5.8% 5.6% 5 4203 964 5.2% 8473 1,534 4.1% 17.0% 18,493 100.0% 36,963 100.0% 5.5% 1 8471 1,937 8.5% 8471 4,601 14.6% 3.5% 2 8473 943 4.2% 8542 2,858 9.0% 9.9% 3 6403 773 3.4% 8473 2,317 7.3% 3.8% 4 9403 700 3.1% 8523 945 3.0% 20.1% 5 9506 646 2.8% 7318 863 2.7% 5.2% 22,667 100.0% 31,600 85.5% 1.9% 90 20
76.5 67.7 80 90 World Trade Atlas ( ) 21
2002 20002001 2 2003 2002 2003 2003 20 19 22
80 9 25 80 2001 2003 50.5 20.6 9 23
1992 97 2000 2001 2003 65 44.9 10 2003 37.1 59.7 90 2001 WTO 2001 11 12 WTO 2001 2002 2003 SARS 15 1 53.7 11 National Bureau of Statistics (2004), National Economic Performance is Good in the First Half of 2004, July 10 2003 2004 18 177 0.9 2004 11 70 58 55 24
The People s Bank of China (2004a), China Monetary Policy Report Quarter One, May The People s Bank of China (2004b), Macro-control Policies Proved Effective and Financial Industry Performance Remained Healthy and Stable, June Prasad, Eswar et al.(2004), China s Growth and Integration into the World Economy, IMF occasional paper 232, Rumbaugh, Thomas and Blancher, Nicolas, China : International Trade and WTO Accession, IMF Working Paper WP/04/36, March 2004 JETRO 2004.7 2003 RIEIT Discussion Paper Series 03-J-009 2004 JETRO 2004.3 2004 Spring 2004/ No.55 2004 Spring 2004/ No.55 2002 RIEIT Discussion Paper Series 02-J-011 25