1 3 4 5 7 10 12 14 14 16 18 21
1960 90 Bloom and Williamson 1997 GDP Krugman 1994 Foreign Affairs "demographic bonus" 19 97 Mason 1997 1998 UNFPA 1998 "workforce bulge" "window of opportunity" Birdsall and Sinding 2001 "demographic dividend" Bloom et al. 2002a 1997 "demographic gift" Bloom and Williamson 1997, Williamson 2001 "demographic bonus" 2002 Asian Development Bank 2002 2003 World Bank 2003 "demographic dividend" East-West Center 2002 1
2 1960 0.8 15 15 64 65 1960 1990 3 East-West Center 2002 3 20 East-West Center 2002
3 2002 1950 205 0 2030 1950 1990 11 2030 14 2050 14 2 000 1950 2050 1950 2000 2050 1950 1970 2050 NIES
15 64 1 950 1965 1985 1965 75 65 1980 65 30 1975 85 1970 80 1965 80 1995 2005 1975 85 1960 65 1990 2005 1970 90 1965 75 10 20 1975 80 4
1965 80 1975 90 1984 2100 1995 2000 5
1950 55 15 49 2.1 2.1 1950 3.1 1950 55 1995 2000 NIES NIES 1995 2000 6
NIES 2.1 NIES 1990 1.6 1970 2.1 1970 1980 1990 1990 2010 2020 2020 15 64 60 65 65 7
Bulatao and Lee 1983 1976 1986 1996 2001 United Nations 2002 1.5 1.8 8
1986 1976 1986 5.0 19 86 1986 1976 1986 1986 1976 1996 2001 1970 9
10 NIES 1990 10 1970 10 1980 1980 1990 1990 2005 10 10 2030 204 0 10 2050 Mosley and Chen 1984
11 10 NIES 1990 74.4 75 1970 75 1980 1980 1990 1990 2000 2005 2010 15 75 2020 2030 2040 75 2050 10 HIV/AIDS U N 2003 1994 15 49 2.4 2001 1.8 2000 2005 AIDS 2004 2011 2.9 2000 2005 AIDS 2016 1.1
12 2000 2005 AIDS 2010 2015 1980 2000 AIDS 86 44 12 2000 2015 AIDS 569 16 AIDS 2003 SARS AIDS 1992 NIES 11 1950 2050 1950 35 1960 70 2000 15 2000 20 22 1995 200 0
13 NIES 15% 2050 20 2001 1.33 1.30 1.40 0.93 1.41 77 1.21 2002 1.32 1.34 0.96 1.37 2002 1.17 NIES 1980 1990 1960 1980 10 1980 Yap 2003 1980 2001
14 U.S. Bureau of the Census 2001 1 950 65 2000 6.9 2000 2030 3.72 2. 77 21 65 12 1950 2050 1950 2000 2050 2000 10 2010 2015 10 2 020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2050 10 2050 NIES 30 13 1950 2050 15 15 64
1990 100 2050 40 NIES 20 21 40 Bloom and Williamson 1997 1965 90 7 8 GDP 1960 Bloom et al. 20 02b 1950 90 Navaneetham 2002 15
Williamson 2001 15 69 30 59 14 1997 Knowles et al. 1999 16
NIES NIES Williamson 1995 1990 1990 1990 1970 1970 1980 Knowles 2000 17
GO NI ES Knowles N Ahlburg and Jensen 2001 15 UNESCO 1970 18
100 1970 1980 100 1970 1980 World Bank 1993 38 58 87 3 5 49 41 15 NIES 15 100 20 30 100 7 0 80 100 19
40 50 100 1970 World Bank 1993 Greenhalgh 1985 1930 Ahlburg and Jensen 2001 Greenhalgh 1985 NIES 20
2003 World Bank 2003 2050 NIES UNFPA 1998 21
Navaneetham 2002 ASEAN NIES SARS AIDS/HIV SARS HIV/AIDS SARS Fan 2003 91 32 22
Folbre 1994 23
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