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Transcription:

William Tow 1 15 ASEAN 1 1980 90 APEC ASEAN ARF 96 2005 12 1 TAC No. 551 2006 5 26

diplomacy of risk 3 2 1996 3 25 35 1996 3 2 2 3 1999 INTER- No. 551 2006 5 27

FET 2003 5 W 4 5 6 1996 ANZUS 1999 AMD 7 10 AUSMIN AUK- MIN 8 1996 3 No. 551 2006 5 28

2003 10 2 ASEAN 2 9 One Nation Party 2001 Tampa Children Overboard GWOT 1 FTA ASEAN 2 No. 551 2006 5 29

ASEAN 10 2 2002 10 88 JI POLRI 2 2004 9 2002 2 4 2000 2004 2 JCLEC 3680 security support consequence management 11 9 11 2 ASEAN 2 JI 12 2004 6 5 FPDA FPDA No. 551 2006 5 30

PACOM Operation Malindo 13 2004 14 1000 ASEAN ANZUS 2005 12 1 ANZUS ASEAN 15 2006 3 ANZUS 16 1996 17 1 TSD: Trilateral Strategic Dialogue 18 3 EAC ASEAN 19 EAC 20 No. 551 2006 5 31

1 EAS EAS ASEAN ASEAN 1 EAS ASEAN EAS ARF APEC 21 EAS ASEAN EAS APEC 1 22 EAS APEC 2 1 1999 APEC INTERFET 2 APEC 2 APEC ASEAN 3 geo-economic No. 551 2006 5 32

23 ASEAN 3 2 ARF TSD ARF 1993 ASEAN ARF ARF 24 2005 8 ARF 24 ARF ARF ASEAN 2004 6 ARF 2004 11 ARF 25 ARF TSD TSD APEC ARF 2006 3 TSD 1 26 TSD ASEAN 27 ANZUS 1951 9 TSD 28 W No. 551 2006 5 33

NATO 29 TSD NATO 30 2004 12 26 INTERFET 2005 4 1 31 1 42 32 4 No. 551 2006 5 34

ASEAN 1 ARF TSD 2 ASEAN ARF 33 2 ASEAN 34 No. 551 2006 5 35

35 2 2 1 Amitav Acharya, Constructing a Security Community in Southeast Asia, London: Routledge, 2001, p. 37. 2 Robert Ross, The 1995-96 Taiwan Strait Confrontation: Coercion, Credibility, and the Use of Force, International Security, Vol. 25, No. 2 2000, pp. 87 123 3 Gary Klintworth, Crisis Management: China, Taiwan and the United States the 1995-1996 Crisis and its Aftermath, Parliamentary Library Research Paper 14, Canberra, Commonwealth of Australia, 1997 http:// www.aph.gov.au/library/pubs/rp/1996-97/97rp14.htm#. 4 President Bush, P.M Howard Discuss Operation Iraqi Freedom, May 3, 2003 http://www.whitehouse.gov/ news/releases/2003/05/20030503-1.html. 5 Australia and Asia: Knowing Who We Are Darwall Rupert, John Howard s Australia, Policy Review, No. 132 August-September 2005 http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qa3647/is_200508/ai_n 14901564. 6 Australia closing itself out of Asia, says Mahathir, Sydney Morning Herald, November 24, 2002. 7 Henry S. Albinski, Issues in Australian Foreign Policy: July-December 1999, The Australian Journal of Politics and History, Vol. 46, No. 2 July 2000, p. 200. 8 Greg Sheridan, Closer ties with Britain make sense, The Australian, March 30, 2006. 9 William Tow, Deputy sheriff or independent ally? Evolving Australian-American Ties in an Ambiguous World Order, Pacific Review, Vol. 17, No. 2 June 2004, pp. 271 290. 10 Michael Richardson, Australia-Southeast relations and the East Asian Summit, The Australian Journal of International Affairs, Vol. 59, No. 3 September 2005, p. 353. 11 Australian Government, Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Indonesia Country Brief March 2006 http://www.dfat.gov.au/geo/indonesia/indonesia_brief.html#ctc. 12 Policing makes Malacca Strait more secure, but Southeast Asian piracy remains a threat, Mainichi Daily News, April 2, 2006 http://mdn.mainichi-msn.co.jp/international/news/20060319p2g00m0in004000c.html. 13 Regional Maritime Security Initiative, GlobalSecurity.org, 31 March 2006 http://www.globalsecurity.org/ military/ops/rmsi.htm. No. 551 2006 5 36

14 Indonesia rejects maritime security zone, ABC News Online, December 17, 2004 http://www.abc.net.au/ news/newsitems/200412/s1267205.htm and Malaysia objects to Australia s maritime security plans, ABC Radio Australia, December 19, 2004 http://www.abc.net.au/ra/news/stories/s1268639.htm. 15 Cynthia Banham, Australia finds a way to sign Asian treaty, Sydney Morning Herald, May 20, 2005. 16 Rowan Callick, Budding Relations, The Weekend Australian, April 1, 2006. 17 People s Daily 1996 8 6 Klintworth, Crisis Management: China, Taiwan and the United States the 1995-1996 Crisis and its Aftermath, note 97 18 Callick, Building Relations. 19 Richard Armitage, Japan, U.S. should cope with ascent of China: Armitage, Asian Political News, September 19, 2005 http://www. findarticles. com/p/articles/mi_m0wdq/is_2005_sept_19/ai_n15403929. 20 Robyn Lim, Finding ways to tame the new giant, The Australian Financial Review, January 3, 2006. 21 Mohan Malik, Commentary: The East Asian Summit, Australian Journal of International Affairs, Vol. 60, No. 2 June 2006, forthcoming. Milton Osborne, A changing dynamic in the region, The Australian, April 3, 2006, and a longer version, A Paramount Power: China in Southeast Asia, Sydney: Lowy Institute, 2006, forthcoming. 22 ABC Radio AM, APEC leads Asian summits says PM, 14 December 2005 http://www.abc.net.au/am/ content/2005/s1530494.htm. 23 Mark Beeson, American Hegemony: The View from Australia, SAIS Review, Vol. 23, No. 2 Summer/Fall 2003, pp. 120 122 24 Dana R. Dillon, Rice Misses the ASEAN Regional Forum: Now What? Web memo #813 Washington D.C.: The Heritage Foundation, August 1, 2005, http://www.heritage.org/research/asiaandthepacific/wm813. cfm. 25 Australian Government, Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, ARF Annual Security Outlook 2005: Australia http://www.dfat.gov.au/arf/documents/security_outlook_2005.html. 26 Patrick Walters, Tri-nation forum s potential excites participants, The Australian, March 20, 2006 and Boosting ties important for regional security, The Yomiuri Shimbun, March 19, 2006. 27 U.S. Embassy, Canberra, Trilateral Security Dialogue: Joint Statement http://canberra.usembassy.gov/ publications/rice2006/0318_trilatl_strat_dialg_js.pdf 28 Ross Terrill, A fine balancing act, The Australian, April 4, 2006. 29 Radio Australia, Australia: Trilateral Talks Send Active Signals to China, March 16, 2006 http://www.abc. net.au/ra/asiapac/programs/s1592693.htm. 30 Cao Desheng, Looking at military spending objectively, China Daily, March 17, 2006 http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/english/doc/2006-03/17/content_542020.htm. NATO Purnendra Jain, A little NATO against China, The Asia Times Online, May 18, 2006 http://www.atimes.com/atimes/china/hc18ad01.html. 31 Mark Forbes, PM hails pact with Indonesia, The Age, April 5, 2005. 32 Patrick Walters, Indonesia to reconsider the friendship, The Australian, April 4, 2006. 33 Minister for Foreign Affairs Alexander Downer, Announcement of Bilateral Regional Security Dialogues, 28 July 1997 http://www.dfat.gov.au/media/releases/foreign/1997/fa84_97.html and Australian government, No. 551 2006 5 37

Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Australia s Security Dialogues updated version 2006, http://www. dfat.gov.au/arf/bilat_sec_dial.html. 34 Declaration of ASEAN Concord II Bali Concord II, 2004 http://www.aseansec.org/15159. htm 35 Purnendra Jain, We must engage the new giant of Asia, The Weekend Australian, 26 March 2006. William Tow East Asian Community and Australia No. 551 2006 5 38