W 2003 5 11 5 23 1 5 9 5 22 2 2001 9 11 1 2003 5 2 12 24 2 1483 1
2 Saddam Hussain 3 4 2002 75-76% 56% 20% 3 1993 http://www.jetro.org.tr/middleeast/special/riyadh_arabjinmei.html 4 2003 13 2
5 6 ( Iraqi oil for Iraqi people ) 2002 6 7 2002 BBC 8 5 2003 2 21 6 -- 2003 3 19 7 2003 14 8 3
4 9 10 1 11 9 ( ) 10 2003 11 ( )
2 3 12 1991 4 3 687 12 4 13 5 ( Iraqi oil for Iraqi people ) 14 OPEC /11 9/11 2002 12 Robert S. Litwak Rogue States & U.S. Foreign Policy: Containment After the Cold War (The Johns Hopkins University Press, 2000) 13 14 1483 5
2003 3 24 15 30 16 17 1 18 19 1960 1970 30 15 2003 4 2 16 2003 4 27 17 The U.S. News & World Report 2003 3 24 18 2003 5 13 15 19 2003 4 2 6
20 Neo-Conservatism Neo-Conservatives P 21 1980 Project for New American Century PNAC 1997 PNAC 30 PNAC PNAC PNAC 1998 PNAC 22 PNAC 20 2003 21 22 7
PNAC 10 PNAC PNAC PNAC 23 PNAC 1993 24 PNAC 25 PNAC PNAC -- PNAC 26 PNAC 23 24 Anthony Lake Confronting Backlash States (Foreign Affairs, March-April 1994) 25 26 8
PNAC 27 28 27 The International Herald Tribune 28 2003 31 9
18 29 1 30 2,400 60 20% 5 15 31 29 -- 2003 4 8 30 2003 2 21 31 Middle East Economic Survey 2003 5 26 10
2003 (Office of Reconstruction and Humanitarian Affairs ORHA) 10 20 ORHA 18 ( ) 32 33 10 ORHA 32 Middle East Economic Survey 2003 5 12 33 Middle East Economic Survey 11
1483 5 27 34 2003 2004 Iraqi Interim Administration IIA 2003 ORHA IIA 2003 2004 ORHA IIA 2 1 35 IIA IIA 36 a) b) c) d) e) ORHA IIA 37 34 2003 5 28 35 36 Middle East Economic Survey 37 2003 17 12
1 5 21 38 1994 PLO 2003 2005 ORHA IIA 2003 2004 2004 2005 19 40 1930 1933 2 1950 1971 38 2003 5 23 13
/ 1945-53 1953-61 1957 3 39 / 2 3 40 1 1970 1969-74 2 1970 1980 1977-81 1978 1979 1980 1980 39 1992 vs -- 2003 40 2 14
41 1981-89 1987 ( ) 1989-93 1990 8 -- ( ) 1993-2001 2001 /11 2001 9 2002 42 2002 9 9/11 41 42 15
16 43 9/11 44 PNAC 45 PNAC 2002 9 43 44 45
46 47 2003 4 5 ieej-info@tky.ieej.or.jp 46 47 James Linsey, The Washington Post 2002 10 27 17
1 1483 2003 5 22 1990 8 2 3 ( Iraqi Interim Administration ) ( A Special Representative for Iraq ) 1990 18
( Development Fund for Iraq ) IMF ( International Advisory & Monitoring Board ) ( Oil-for-Food Program ) 5% 1991 ( Compensation Fund ) 2007 12 31 12 United Nations Security Council Resolution 1483 (2003) 2003 22 19
2 20
33 Truman, Harry S. 1945-53 34 Eisenhower, Dwight D. 1953-61 35 Kennedy, John F. 1961-63 36 Johnson, Lyndon B. 1963-69 37 Nixon, Richard M. 1969-74 38 Ford, Gerald R. 1974-77 39 Carter, James E., Jr. 1977-81 21
40 Reagan, Ronald W. (1981-89) 41 Bush, George H. W. 1989-93 42 Clinton, William J. 1993-2001 43 Bush, George W. 2001 /11 2001/9 2002/1 2002/9 1992 2003 vs -- 2003 David Lesch The Middle East and the United States (Westview Press, 2000) The National Security Strategy of the U.S.A (2002 9 ) 22
PNAC(1998) PNAC G 2003 18 The U.S. News & World Report The Washington Post 23
ONE 21 2003 1994 1993 2002 2003 2003 -- 1986 -- 1991 2001 -- 2002 2003 vs -- 2003 1992 2003 18 FORESIGHT 2003 1 -- 2003 4 8 2003 4 15-25 -- 2003 2 8 2003 5 13 15 2003 17 1998 2003 2000-2003 24
Bush at War Bob Woodward (Simon & Shuster, Inc., 2002) Confronting Backlash States Anthony Lake (Foreign Affairs, March-April 1994) Iraq: A Country Study Federal Research Division, Library of Congress (Library of Congress, 1990) Rogue States and U.S. Foreign Policy: Containment After the Cold War Robert S. Litwak (The Johns Hopkins University Press, 2000) The Gulf Cooperation Council American-Arab Affairs Council (Westview Press, 1987) The Middle East and the United States David Lesch Westview Press, 1996 The National Security Strategy of the United States of America September 2002 The Financial Times The International Herald Tribune The New York Times The Washington Post Newsweek The U.S. News & World Report Time Middle East Economic Digest (MEED) Petroleum Intelligence Weekly (PIW) Middle East Economic Survey (MEES) Platt s Oilgram News NHK 2 NHK(Ch.1) TBS ABC Al-Jazeera BBC CNN 25