81 3 Murchison et al Q - JEM DSGE 3 DSGE 4 DSGE Lucas Sims Lucas 1976 Sims 1980 DSGE DSGE RBC MAT- LAB 2008 MATLAB OCTAVE DYNARE

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1 : DSGE RBC NK DSGE DSGE 1 Lucas 1976 Sims 1980 DSGE DSGE SIGMA DSGE ToTEM DSGE SIGMA Erceg et al. 2006ToTEM B fukuda@econ.fukushima - u.ac.jp tamegawa@kisc.meiji.ac.jp 1 43

2 81 3 Murchison et al Q - JEM DSGE 3 DSGE 4 DSGE Lucas Sims Lucas 1976 Sims 1980 DSGE DSGE RBC MAT- LAB 2008 MATLAB OCTAVE DYNARE DSGE 5 DSGE DSGE DSGE DSGE 6 2 Tovar 2009 DSGE 3 Q - JEM 2009Q - JEM Q - JEM JEM Q - JEM JEM Fujiwara et al DSGE Sugo and Ueda OCTAVE DYNARE 2008 DYNARE DSGE 6 Blanchard and Fisher DSGE Gali 2008Walsh 2010 Woodford 2003 Wickens

3 : DSGE RBC DSGE Web DSGE Gali and Gertler 2007Tovar 2009Kocherlakota 2010 Kocherlakota 2007DSGE Kocherlakota 2010DSGE 2 RBC 3 4 DSGE DSGE DSGE 2. RBC NK RBC Kydland and Prescott 1982Solow 7 McCandless 2008RBC DSGE Uhlig 1999 DSGE Lim and McNelis Kydland and Prescott 1982Lucas and Prescott 1971 RBC 45

4 81 3 Kydland and Prescott 1982 Time to Buildt t+j Lucas 1976 Kydland and Prescott 1982 Hansen 1985 Hansen 1985 RBC 8 RBC King et al Time - to - Build Kydland and Prescott 1982Rebelo 2005 King et al RBC RBC RBC DSGE DSGE Calvo Calvo 1983 DSGE 8 Kydland and Prescott 1982 Hansen 1985McCandless 2008 Wickens 2008 McCandless 2008Hansen 1985 MATLAB 9 NK Chari et al Taylor 1980 Rotemberg 1982Taylor

5 : RBC 11 NKPC NK 12 RBC Blanchard and Kiyotaki 1987 Calvo NKPC DSGE 13 Calvo Furher and Moore 1995 Gali and Gertler Makiew and Reis 2002 Rotemberg 1982 Walsh 2010 Christiano et al. 2005Calvo 1983 NKPC DSGE Calvo Yun 1996 NKPC McCandless Dixit and Stiglitz 1977 CES 13 Calvo NKPC Calvo

6 81 3 Calvo Inflation InertiaChristiano et al Hump - Shape 14 2 Dotsey et al SDP SDP Dotsey and King 2005SDP DSGE Golosov and Lucas 2007Calvo TDP Idiosyncratic Calvo Woodford 2009 Sims 2006Rational InattentionSDP TDP TDP SDP 2.2 DSGE Chari et al DSGE Calvo NK Mortensen and Pissarides Shimer MP 14 E tj Uhlig Shimer 2005 Mortensen and Pissarides 1994 Shimer 2005 Shimer Shimer Rotemberg

7 : Nash recontracting Nash bargaining Shimer 2005MP Gertler and Trigari 2009Gertler and Trigari 2009 Nash contracting MP wage bargain Gertler and Trigari 2009 DSGE 3. DSGE 1 16 Money - in - the - Utility 17 Shimer Barnichon 2007 Shimer 16 Gali and Gertler 2007 Tovar 2008 DSGE Castelnuovo and Nistico DSGE Mehra and Prescott 1985, 2003 CRRA 1 Epstein and Zin 1989 Dolmas 1996Ben - Gad 1999Farmer and Lahin

8 81 3 Bernanke and Gertler 1989 Gertler 1988 Calstrom and Furst 1997 DSGE Bernanke et al. 1999Bernanke et al Bernanke et al Calvo Bernanke et al DSGE Meh and Moran 2004 Aikman and Paustian 2006Homstrom and Tirole 1997 DSGE Constantinides 1990 DSGE 18 Bernanke et al. 1999Hall 2001Hall and Wetherilt 2002Fuchi et al. 2005Hall Fuchi et al

9 : Bernanke et al Meh and Moran 2010Holmstrom and Tirole 1997 Iacoviello 2005 Kiyotaki and Moore 1997 Iacoviello 2005 Iacoviello 2005 Fisher Bernanke et al Bernanke et al Bernanke et al. 1999Iacoviello 2005 Meh and Moran 2010 Bernanke et al Meh and Moran 2010 Meh and Moran 2010Holmstrom and Tirole 1997 Iacoviello Iacoviello 2005 Fisher 19 Iacoviello 2005 Loan - to - Value LTV 51

10 81 3 Bernanke et al Curdia 2007 Bernanke et al Curdia 2007 Curdia 2007 Bernanke et al Idiosyncratic Curdia DSGE Basel II 20 Calvo 1998 Mendoza 2008Mendoza 1991 DSGE Iacoviello 2005 Fisher Mendoza 2008 RBC DSGE RBC Schmit - Grohe and Uribe Gertler, Gilchrist, and Natalucci 2003Bernanke et al DSGE 22 Franc Knight 52

11 : DSGE DSGE 23 RBC DSGE RBC Beaudry and Portier Kobayashi et al Kobayashi and Nutahara 2007Kiyotaki and Moore 1997 Carlstrom and Fuerst 1997 Christiano et al. 2008Bernanke et al Schmitt - Grohe and Uribe 2008 RBC 4 Jaimovich and Rebelo Comovement 24 Gertler and Karadi 2011 Gertler and Kiyotaki Dib 2010 Dib

12 DSGE RBC RBC Baxter and King 1993 RBC 27 DSGE 28 DSGE DSGE Gali et al Ravn et al. 2006deep habit Linnemann 2006 Monacelli et al Gali et al DSGE 5. RBC DSGE 26 DSGE Christiano et al bind 28 Beetsma and Guiliodori 2011 Ramey

13 : Bernanke et al DSGE DSGE 2 Lipinska and Thadden 2009 Duarte and Wolman 2008 Ferrero Langedijk and Roeger DSGE DSGE DSGE Mandelman and Zlate 2008 DSGE 29 DSGE 29 Rickman 2010DSGE CGE 55

14 : Quarterly - Japanese Economic Model Q - JEMNo J : 47 pp No J pp pp DYNARE : ESRI Discussion Paper Series, No pp Aikman, D. and M. Paustian 2006 Bank capital, asset price and monetary policy, Bank of England Working Paper, No Barnichon, R The Shimer puzzle and the correct identification of productivity shocks, CEP Discussion Paper, No Baxter, M. and R. King 1993 Fiscal policy in general equilibrium, American Economic Review, 92, pp Ben - Gad, M Balance - growth consistent recursive utility and heterogeneous agent, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 23, pp Beaudry, P. and F. Portier 2004 An exploration into Pigou s theory of cycles, Journal of Monetary Economics, 51, pp Beetsma, R. and M. Giuliodori 2011 The effects of government purchases shocks : review and estimates for the EU, Economic Journal, 121, pp Bernanke, B. and M. Gertler 1989 Agency costs, net worth, and business fluctuations, American Economic Review, 79, pp Bernanke, B., M. Gertler, and S. Gilchrist 1999 The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework, in Taylor, J. and M. Woodford, eds, Handbook of Macroeconomics, Vol. 1, pp Blanchard, O. and S. Fischer 1983Lectures on Macroeconomics, MIT Press. Blanchard, O. and N. Kiyotaki 1987 Monopolistic competition and the effects of aggregator demand, Journal of Political Economy, 77, pp Brissimis, S. and I. Skotida 2008 Optimal monetary policy in the euro area in the presence of heterogeneity, Journal of International Money and Finance, 27, pp Calvo, G Staggered prices in a utility - maximizing framework, Journal of Monetary Economics, 12, pp Calvo, G Capital flows and capital market crisis : the simple economics of sudden stop, Journal of Applied Economics, 1, pp Campbell, J. and Z. Hercowitz 2004 The role of collateralized household debt in macroeconomic stabilization, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Working Paper, No. 24. Carlstrom, C. and T. Fuerst 1997 Agency costs, net worth and business fluctuation : a computable general equilib- 56

15 : rium analysis, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Working Paper, No Castelnuovo, E. and S. Nistico 2010 Stock market conditions and monetary policy in a DSGE model, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34, pp Chari, V., P. Kehoe, and E. McGrattan 2000 Sticky price models of the business cycle : can the contract multiplier solve the persistence problem?, Econometrica, 85, pp Chari, V., P. Kehoe, and E. McGrattan 2009 Ney Keynesian model : not yet useful for policy analysis, American Economic Journal : Macroeconomics, 1, pp Christiano, L., M. Eichenbaum, and C. Evans 2005 Nominal rigidities and the dynamic effects of a shock to monetary policy, Journal of Political Economy, 113, pp Christiano, L., C. Ilut, R. Motto, and M. Rostagno 2008 Monetary policy and stock market boom - bust cycles, European Central Bank Working Paper Series, No Christiano, L., M. Eichenbaum, and S. Rebelo 2011 When is the government spending multiplier large?, Journal of Political Economy, 119, pp Clarida, R., J. Gali, and M. Gertler 1999 The science of monetary policy analysis, Journal of Monetary Economics, 49, pp Comin, D. and M. Gertler 2006 Medium - term business cycle, American Economic Review, 96, pp Constantinides, G Habit formation : a resolution of the equity premium puzzle, Journal of Political Economy, 98, pp Cooley, T. and G. Hansen 1989 The inflation tax in a real business cycle model, American Economic Review, 79, pp Curdia, V Monetary policy under sudden stop, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, No Curdia, V Optimal monetary policy under sudden stop, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, No Davig, T. and E. Leeper 2007 Generalizing the Taylor principle, American Economic Review, 97, pp Dib, A Bank, credit market frictions and business cycles, Mimeo. Dixit, A. and J. Stiglitz 1977 Monopolistic competition and optimum product diversity, American Economic Review, 67, pp Dolmas, J Balanced - growth consistent recursive utility, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 20, pp Dotsey, M., R. King, and A. Woleman 1999 State - dependent pricing and the general equilibrium dynamics of money and output, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114, pp Dotsey, M. and R. King 2005 Implications of state - dependent pricing for dynamic macroeconomic models, Journal of Monetary Economics, 52, pp Duarte, M. and A. Woleman 1999 Fiscal policy and regional inflation in a currency union, Journal of International Economics, 74, pp Epstein, L. and S. Zin 1989 Substitution, risk aversion, and the temporal behavior of consumption and asset returns : a theoretical framework, Econometrica, 57, pp Erceg, C., D. Henderson, and A. Levin 2000 Optimal monetary policy with staggered wage and price contracts, Journal of Monetary Economics, 46, pp Erceg, C., L. Guerrieri, and C. Gust 2006 SIGMA : a New Open Economy Model for policy analysis, International Journal of Central Banking, 2, pp Faia, E. 2007a Financial and international business cycles, Journal of Monetary Economics, 54, pp Faia, E. 2007b Financial differences and business cycle co - movements in a currency area, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 39, pp Faia, E. and T. Monacelli 2007 Optimal interest rate, asset prices, and credit friction, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 31, pp Farmer, R. and A. Lahiri 2005 Recursive preferences and balanced growth, Journal of Economic Theory, 125, pp

16 81 3 Ferrero, A Fiscal and monetary rules for a currency area, Journal of International Economics, 77, pp Fuchi, H., L. Muto, and H. Ugai 2005 A historical evaluation of financial accelerator effects in Japan s Economy, Bank of Japan Working Paper, No E - 8. Fujiwara, I., N. Hara, Y. Hirose, and Y. Teranishi 2005 The Japanese Economic Model JEM, Money and Economic Studies, 26, pp Fujiwara, I., Y. Hirose, and M. Shintani 2008 Can news be a major source of aggregate fluctuations? : a Bayesian DSGE approach, IMES Discussion Paper Series, E Gali, J. 2008Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle, Princeton University Press. Gali, J. and M. Gertler 2007 Macroeconomic modeling for monetary policy evaluation, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21, pp Gali, J. and T. Monacelli 2008 Optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a currency union, Journal of International Economics, 76, pp Gali, J., J. Valles, and J. Lopez - Salido 2007 Understanding the effects of government spending on consumption, Journal of the European Economic Association, 5, pp Gertler, M Financial structure and aggregate economic activity, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 20, pp Gertler, M., S. Gilchrist, and F. Natalucci 2003 External constraint on monetary policy and the financial accelerator, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 39, pp Gertler, M. and P. Karadi 2011 A model of unconventional monetary policy, Journal of Monetary Economics, 58, pp Gertler, M. and N. Kiyotaki 2010 Financial intermediation and credit policy in business cycle analysis, Handbook of Monetary Economics, vol. 3A, pp Gertler, M. and A. Trigari 2009 Unemployment fluctuations with staggered Nash wage bargaining, Journal of Political Economy, 117, pp Gertler, M, L. Sala, and A. Trigari 2008 An estimated monetary DSGE model with unemployment and staggered nominal wage bargaining, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 40, pp Golosov, M. and R. Lucas 2007 Menu costs and Phillips curves, Journal of Political Economy, 115, pp Hansen, G Indivisible labor and the business cycle, Journal of Monetary Economic, 16, pp Hall, S Financial accelerator effects in UK business cycle, Bank of England Working Paper, No Hall, S. and A. Vila Wetherilt 2002 The role of corporate balance sheets and banking lending policies in a financial accelerator framework, Bank of England Working Paper, No Hayashi, F. and E. Prescott 2002 The 1990s in Japan : a lost decade, Review of Economic Dynamics, 5, pp Hebous, S The effects of discretionary fiscal policy on macroeconomic aggregates : a reappraisal, Journal of Economic Surveys, 25, pp Holmstrom, B. and J. Tirole 1997 Financial intermediation, loanable funds, and the real sector, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112, pp Iacoviello, M House prices, borrowing constraints, and monetary policy in the business cycle, American Economic Review, 95, pp Iwata, Y Fiscal policy in an estimated DSGE model of the Japanese economy : do non - Ricardian households explain, ESRI Discussion Paper, No Jaimovich, N. and S. Rebelo 2009 Can news about the future drive the business cycle?, American Economic Review, pp King, R., C. Plosser, and S. Rebelo 1988 Production, growth and business cycles I : the basic neoclassical model, Journal of Monetary Economics, 21, pp Kiyotaki, N. and J. Moore 1997 Credit cycle, Journal of Political Economy, 105, pp Kobayashi, K., T. Nakajima, and M. Inaba 2007 Collateral constraint and news - driven cycles, RIETI Discussion Paper Series, 07 - E Kobayashi, K. and K. Nutahara 2007 Collateralized capital and news - driven cycle, Economics Bulletin, 5, pp

17 : Kocherlakota, N Model fir and model selection, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, July/August. Kocherlakota, N Modern macroeconomic models as tools for economic policy, The Region, May. Kydland, F. and E. Prescott 1982 Time to build and aggregate fluctuations, Econometrica, 50, pp Landry, A Expectations and exchange dynamics : a state - dependent pricing approach, Journal of International Economics, 78, pp Langedijk, S. and W. Roeger 2007 A model - based analysis of country experience, European Economy Economic Paper, No Lim, G. and P. McNelis 2008Computational Macroeconomics for the Open Economy, MIT Press. Linnemann, L The effect of government spending on private consumption : a puzzle?, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 38, pp Lipinska, A. and L. Von Thadden 2009 Monetary and fiscal policy aspects of indirect tax changes in a monetary union, European Central Banking Working Paper, No Lucas, R Econometric policy evaluation : a critique, Carnegie - Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1, pp Mandelman, F. and A. Zlate 2008 Immigration, remittances and business cycle, Journal of Monetary Economics, 59, pp Makiew, G. and R. Reis 2002 Sticky information versus sticky prices : a proposal to replace the new Keynesian Phillips curve, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117, pp McCandless, G. 2008The ABCs of RBCs : An Introduction to Dynamic Macroeconomic model, Harvard University Press. Meh, C. and K. Moran 2004 Bank capital, agency costs, and monetary policy, Bank of Canada Working Paper, Meh, C. and K. Moran 2010 The role of bank capital in the propagation of shocks, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34, pp Mehra, R. and E. Prescott 1985 The equity premium : a puzzle, Journal of Monetary Economics, 15, pp Mendoza, E Real business cycle in a small - open economy, American Economic Review, 81, pp Mendoza, E. and K. Smith 2006 Quantitative implication of a debt - deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices, Journal of International Eonomics, 70, pp Mendoza, E Sudden stops, financial crisis and leverage : a Fisherian deflation of Tobin s Q, NBER Working Paper, No Miao, J A note on consumption and savings under Knightian uncertainty, Annals of Economics and Finance, 5, pp Monacelli, T. and R. Perotti 2009 Fiscal policy, wealth effects and markups, NBER Working Paper, No Monacelli, T., R. Perotti, and A. Trigari 2010 Unemployment fiscal multipliers, Journal of Monetary Economics, 57, pp Mortensen, D. and C. Pissarides 1994 Job creation and job destruction in the theory of unemployment, Review of Economic Studies, 61, pp Murchison, S. and A. Rennison 2006 ToTEM : the Bank of Canada s new quarterly projection model, Bank of Canada Technical Report, 97. Ramey, V Identifying government spending shocks : it s all in the timing, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126, pp Ravn, M., S. Schmitt - Gorohe, and M. Uribe 2006 Deep habit, Review of Economic Studies, 73, pp Rebelo, S Real business cycle models : past, present and future, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 26, pp Rickman, D Modern macroeconomics and regional economic modeling, Journal of Regional Science, 50, pp Riggi, M Nominal and real wage rigidities in new Keynesian models : a critical survey, Journal of Economic Surveys, 24, pp

18 81 3 Rotemberg, J Sticky prices in the United States, Journal of Political Economy, 99, pp Rotemberg, J Cyclical wages in a search and bargaining model with large firms, CEPR Discussion Papers, No Schmitt - Grohe, S. and M. Uribe 2003 Closing small open economy models, Journal of International Economics, 61, pp Schmitt - Grohe, S. and M. Uribe 2008 What s news in business cycle, NBER Working Paper, No Shimer, R The cyclical behavior of equilibrium unemployment and vacancies : evidence and theory, American Economic Review, 95, pp Sims, C Macroeconomics and Reality, Econometrica, 99, pp Sims, C Implication of rational inattention, Mimeo. Smets, F. and R. Wouters 2003 An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the euro area, Journal of the European Economic Association, 20, pp Smets, F. and R. Wouters 2008 Shocks and frictions in US business cycles : a Bayesian DSGE approach, American Economic Review, 97, pp Straub, R. and I. Tchakarov 2007 Assessing the impact of a change in the composition of public spending : a DSGE approach, IMF Working Paper, 07/168. Sugo, T. and K. Ueda 2008 Estimating a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for Japan, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 22, pp Taylor, J Aggregate dynamic and staggered contracts, Journal of Political Economy, 88, pp Uhlig, H A toolkit for analyzing nonlinear dynamic stochastic model easily, in Marimon, R. and A. Scott, eds, Computational Methods for the Study of Dynamic Economics, Oxford University Press, pp Walsh, C. 2010Monetary Theory and Policy, 3 rd eds, Cambridge, MA : MIT Press. Wickens, M. 2008Macroeconomic Theory : A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach, Princeton University Press. Woodford, M. 2003Interest and Prices : Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy, Princeton University Press. Woodford, M Information - constrained state - dependent pricing, Mimeo. Yun, T Nominal price rigidity, money supply endogeneity and business cycle, Journal of Monetary Economics, 37, pp

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