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Ishihara Takahiro 1 15 2000 2 securitization militarization 3 2 3 4 1 2012 9 50% 10 1 4 1 2020 icefree 5 13% 30% 500 6 No. 627 2013 12 49

% 1 2013 9 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 1970 80 90 2000 10 20 1981 2010 720 10 10.6 2.2 % National Snow and Ice Data Center 7. 8 NWP NEP NSR 9 NSR 2010 4 2011 34 2012 46 1.5 126 LNG 10 NSR 40% 4 11 4 22 83 9000 12 13 2 5 5 3 8 Arctic States AC: Arctic Council AC 5 12 non-arctic states 14 No. 627 2013 12 50

5 1 2007 15 2008 2020 NSR 16 2009 2020 17 18 2020 2 2015 19 2008 2013 NSR 9 12 1993 NSR 20 NATO NATO MD BMD SSBN 2013 21 2013 8 NGO 22 23 No. 627 2013 12 51

2 NWP NorPloy 1989 1990 2002 3 24 2002 3 Operation Narwhal 2002 25 2009 NANOOK 2009 26 1 27 2009 Northern Strategy: Our North, Our Heritage, Our Future AC 28 F/A-18 29 3 W 2009 1 66 25 30 2010 31 2013 5 AC 32 2001 3 NSR 33 2007 11 21 No. 627 2013 12 52

2009 11 BMD 34 35 4 36 2009 2010 14 F-16 Thule 37 2008 3 38 39 5 NATO 40 2007 41 42 2016 43 5 44 2010 4 9 40 45 6 NSR 46 1995 No. 627 2013 12 53

2004 47 1993 2012 NSR 48 4 FTA 49 3 1 BMD NATO 50 1973 NWP NSR NSR 51 EU 52 2 53 EU AC 54 5 8000 No. 627 2013 12 54

6 560 55 4 AC 2013 5 6 56 8 1996 57 NGO 58 5 EEZ 59 60 2008 Arctic Ocean Conference Ilulissat Declaration 61 AC 62 AC 2011 Agreement on Cooperation on Aeronautical and Maritime Search and Rescue in the Arctic 2013 Agreement on Cooperation on Marine Oil Pollution, Preparedness and Response in the Arctic 63 AC common interests stability architecture 64 SAR SAR AC 8 ASFR: Arctic Security Forces Roundtable No. 627 2013 12 55

65 SIPRI 66 AC ASFR 67 AC AC 5 NSR 1999 68 2012 7 7 6 69 8 70 ISR 71 No. 627 2013 12 56

AC 1 Heather Conley and Jamie Kraut, U.S. Strategic Interests in the Arctic: An Assessment of Current Challenges and New Opportunities for Cooperation, a Report of the CSIS Europe Program, Center for Strategic & International Studies, April 2010, p. 1; Dag Claes, Oyvind Osterud, and Oistein Harsem, The New Geopolitics of the High North, paper presented at the annual meeting of the Theory vs. Policy? Connecting Scholars and Practitioners, New Orleans Hilton Riverside Hotel, New Orleans, LA, Feb. 17, 2010, p. 1. 2 16 2013 3 1 3 Christian Le Miére, Arctic Doublespeak? U.S. Naval Institute, Proceedings Magazine, Vol. 139/7/1, No. 325 July 2013, p. 32. 4 Arctic sea ice extent settles at record seasonal minimum, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Sept. 19, 2012 http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2012/09/arctic-sea-ice-extent-settles-. 5 Scott Borgerson, The Coming Arctic Boom: As the Ice Melts, the Region Heats Up, Foreign Affaires, July/August 2013, p. 76; Ronald O Rourke, Changes in the Arctic: Background and Issues for Congress, CRS Report for Congress, R41153, Congressional Research Service, April 25, 2013, p. 10. 6 Assessment of Undiscovered Oil and Gas in the Arctic, Science, Vol. 324, No. 5931 May 29, 2009 ; Heather A. Conley, The colder war: U.S., Russia and others are vying for control of Santa s back yard, The Washington Post, Dec. 23, 2011. 7 http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2012/10/poles-apart-a-record-breaking-summer-and-winter/ 8 Page Wilson, Asia Eyes the Arctic, The Diplomat, Aug. 26, 2013. 9 2010 8 2012 9 3 10 Trude Pettersen, 46 vessels through Northern Sea Route, Barents Observer, Nov. 23, 2012; 2013 1 5 11 2012 8 2 12 2012 7 16 13 Le Mière, Arctic Doublespeak? p. 33. 14 AC: Arctic Council http://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/area/arctic/hokkyoku_ hyougikai.html ; Brooks B. Yeager, The Ilulissat Declaration: Background and Implications for Arctic Governance, Nov. 5, 2008, prepared for the Aspen Dialogue and Commission on Arctic Climate Change. 15 2009 5 BP 16 Trude Pettersen, Russia to establish military forces for the Arctic, Barents Observer, March 29, 2009. 17 2009 6 29 18 Siemon T. Wezeman, Military Capabilities in the Arctic, SIPRI Stockholm International Peace Research Institute Background Paper, March 2012, pp. 9 10; Conley and Kraut, U.S. Strategic Interests in the Arctic, p. 9. 19 2011 7 2 No. 627 2013 12 57

20 Conley, The colder war ; 2013 9 18 21 Thomas Nilsen, Russia warns against missile-interceptors in the Barents Sea, Barents Observer, Dec. 3, 2010; Le Mière, Arctic Doublespeak? p. 33. 22 Greenpeace: Russia Expels Our Ship, Threatens to Shoot, RIA Novosti, Aug. 26, 2013; 2013 10 6 23 24 Rob Huebert, Canadian Arctic Maritime Security: The Return to Canada s Third Ocean, Canadian Military Journal, Summer 2007, pp. 9 11. 25 pp. 11 13. 26 http://pm.gc.ca/eng/media.asp?id=2757 27 http://www.forces.gc.ca/en/operations-regional-jtf-north/op-nanook-2013.page 28 Canada s Northern Strategy: Our North, Our Heritage, Our Future http://www.northernstrategy.ca/cns/cns. pdf 29 Wezeman, Military Capabilities in the Arctic, pp. 2 3. 30 National Security Presidential Directive 66/Homeland Security Presidential Directive 25, Washington, 2009. 31 National Security Strategy, Washington, May 2010, p. 50. 32 2013 5 12 33 Garrett W. Brass, ed., Arctic Ocean Climate Change, US Arctic Research Commission Special Publication, No. 02 1 2002, Arlington; 2 2009 9 31 34 Bob Freeman, Navy Releases Roadmap for Future Arctic Operations, NAVY.COM, Nov. 24, 2009 http:// www.navy.mil/search/display.asp?story_id=49725 ; QDR2010 4 2010 3 15 http://www.navy.mil/navydata/ documents/usn_artic_roadmap.pdf 35 Roger Howard, Cold War in the Arctic, as the ice retreats, the territorial claims of the Arctic Five are hotting up, The Times, Sept. 4, 2009. 36 Rob Huebert, The Newly Emerging Arctic Security Environment, Canadian Defence & Foreign Affairs Institute, March 2010, p. 10. 37 Wezeman, Military Capabilities in the Arctic, p. 5. 38 2013 2 25 http://www.bloomberg.co.jp/news/123-mirg6t6jtsed01.html# 2013 3 15 http://www.net--election.com/news_anyvuaz83g.html 39 Borgerson, The Coming Arctic Boom: As the Ice Melts, the Region Heats Up, p. 85. 40 Le Mière, Arctic Doublespeak? p. 34. 41 Office of the Norwegian Prime Minister, The Soria Moria Declaration on International Policy, Feb. 4, 2007. 42 Wezeman, Military Capabilities in the Arctic, p. 7. 43 Thomas Nilsen, Builds new Arctic Coast Guard icebreaker, Barents Observer, Aug. 27, 2013. 44 Wezeman, Military Capabilities in the Arctic, pp. 7 8; Le Mière, Arctic Doublespeak? p. 34. 45 Russia, Norway border agreement opens Arctic up to exploration, New Europe, Sept. 19, 2010; 2010 4 28 7 2010 12 3 46 1 1 2011 5 63 65 47 Linda Jakobson, China Prepares for an Ice Free Arctic, SIPRI Insights on Peace and Security, No. 2010/2 No. 627 2013 12 58

March 2010, p. 3. 48 2012 9 26 2012 9 3 49 Borgerson, The Coming Arctic Boom: As the Ice Melts, the Region Heats Up, p. 84. 50 Igor Alexeev, Russia s Arctic, NATO and Norway: a post- Kirkenes political landscape, Barents Observer, June 18, 2013. 51 Conley and Kraut, U.S. Strategic Interests in the Arctic, p. 7. 52 2 3 53 Alex Boyd, Arctic Council heads to Kiruna next week, Barents Observer, May 8, 2013. 54 Patricia Zengerle, China granted observer seat on Arctic governing council, Reuters, May 15, 2013 http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/15/us-arctic-council-idusbre94e0ij20130515. EU EU EU WTO 62 1 2011 7 25 145 164 55 56 2013 5 15 57 Conley and Kraut, U.S. Strategic Interests in the Arctic, p. 13; O Rourke, Changes in the Arctic, p. 35; Arctic Council HP http://www.arctic-council.org/. 58 2010 11 7 41 59 16 51 60 Yeager, The Ilulissat Declaration: Background and Implications for Arctic Governance. 61 The Ilulissat Declaration, Arctic Ocean Conference, Ilulissat, Greenland, May 27 29, 2008 http://arcticcouncil.org/filearchive/ilulissat-declaration.pdf. 62 Borgerson, The Coming Arctic Boom: As the Ice Melts, the Region Heats Up, p. 79. 63 Charlene Porter, Arctic Nations Plan for Spills, Environmental Change, May 10, 2013, International Information Programs, U.S. Department of State. 64 Matthew Willis, The Arctic Council: Underpinning Stability in the Arctic, RUSI Royal United Service Institute Newsbrief, March 8, 2013 http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:a513a129282486/#. UUmZwTfFk6I. 65 66 Wezemwn, Military Capabilities in the Arctic, p. 14. 67 Le Mière, Arctic Doublespeak? pp. 36 37. 68 2013 2013 258 259 69 2013 259 2012 10 2 70 71 2012 7 22 2 http://www.mod.go.jp/msdf/navcol/ navcol-c1edu@inet.msdf.mod.go.jp No. 627 2013 12 59