1988 1994 1988 94 1990 9 92 8 88 12 91 1 91 9 90 9 91 12 1 2 1 1992 9 8 92 11 NPT 93 3 93 6 94 7 94 10 3
3 4 2 1 state nation referent objects 5 1948 12 195 6 4 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
3 1 7 1970 8 15 73 6 23 6 23 72 7 4 6 23 8 9 1991 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 3 1988 1994 5
17 1987 18 19 3 2 1988 1992 1988 7 7 7 7 6 20 1 1985 9 6 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
3 86 88 GNP 90 10.9 65 1.6 GNP 90 5.5 65 0.6 21 87 12 KAL 88 2 1986 88 87 12 INF 89 5 22 23 24 1980 25 88 10 4 90 6 4 26 1988 12 89 90 6 90 10 27 1990 9 92 8 1988 1994 7
28 3 1950 7 12 78 11 7 29 92 10 94 12 92 10 2 30 31 1993 NPT 92 1 1988 12 NPT 92 1 8 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
32 talk with talk at 33 1 1988 3 90 2 70 92 7 2 2 1990 30 3 30 34 3 35 36 30 1990 1988 1994 9
37 1 38 39 40 state nation 10 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
2 1987 6 29 1988 41 90 3 3 1990 12 42 1992 43 3 92 12 20 1988 1994 11
44 45 1989 9 46 1947 11 14 112 48 5 31 198 100 47 48 1988 10 19 84 3 1985 10 49 88 10 4 50 1991 12 5 2 51 1 7 4 3 1972 7 4 3 KCIA 12 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
52 53 2 54 55 1982 1 56 5 57 3 1982 1 89 9 3 58 1972 the first epochal event a great victory in a triumphant style 59 5 60 5 1991 12 10 1988 1994 13
61 62 1974 63 1992 1 64 1992 3 9 1 65 92 5 7 66 14 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
1 67 6 23 1970 73 6 23 73 89 91 2 68 69 3 Ô Õ Ô Õ 70 1988 1994 15
1 71 72 73 Ô Õ 74 75 security divergence disparity security realist security pluralist 16 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
76 realist pluralist 2 77 1990 94 90 76.2% 94 1 1 89.1% 80.9% 77.1% 71.6% 78 1987 88 79 88 6 8 88 2 KNCC 89 3 7 4 80 7 4 3 1988 1994 17
81 82 SOP 83 84 3 1992 1994 85 1994 10 1992 18 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
92 10 8 92 10 5 2 8 92 9 15 18 92 9 7 10 6 93 1 29 86 1993 2 25 3 9 19 10 IAEA 3 12 NPT 4 1 87 88 3 15 1993 4 7 10 89 93 5 25 NPT 1993 6 NPT 1988 1994 19
90 non-proliferation 91 93 6 6 3 7 1 92 1993 12 93 7 10 93 11 19 APEC IAEA 93 94 95 1994 6 96 94 10 97 13 1993 6 26 93 8 31 20 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
94 3 19 1994 6 15 93 package deal 98 1994 7 8 7 18 99 1994 7 3 100 3 94 10 8 101 1994 10 21 102 1988 1994 21
103 KEDO 104 105 3 7,000 106 1 2 22 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
107 1988 1994 23
108 1994 11 1 109 38 rigid flexible rigid flexible 110 NPT 111 NPT 24 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
1 1993 6 1 97 11 112 93 2 1994 7 113 3 1979 12 12 1980 5 93 5 7 19 12 12 1988 1994 25
94 5 13 94 10 29 95 7 18 95 114 12 12 1 3 2 2 1 2 3 1 2 3 26 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
1 21 1993 ; 1995 ; Smith, Hazel ÒNorth Korean Foreign Policy in the 1990s: the Realist Approach,Ó in Smith, Hazel, Chris Rhodes and Diana Pritchard eds., North Korea in the New World Order, Macmillan and St. MartinÕs Press, 1996. 89.2 92.2 1992 ; 2 2000 10 ; YS 5 2000 12 88 2 90 3 94 4 12 94 12 95 12 2 Bull, Hedley, The Anarchical Society: A Study of Order in World Politics, 1977, pp. 103 104. 1980 88 1 1 1988 3 Oberdorfer, Don, The Two Koreas: A Contemporary History, Addison-Wesley, 1997; 2000 1996 4 1997 81 100 Sigal, Leon V., Disarming Strangers: Nuclear Diplomacy with North Korea, Princeton UP, 1998, pp. 84 89. YS Ò Ó YS 5 2001 2 2001 3 4 Walt, Stephen M., The Origins of Alliances, Cornel UP, 1987, pp. 21 28. 5 nation state Buzan, Barry, Ole Waver and Jaap de Wilde, Security: A New Framework for Analysis, Lynne Rienner, 1998, pp. 123 124. 6 50 1948 1998 1999 325 328 1996 62 63 7 3 1 8 15 1990 8 116 118 9 1992 17 27 10 1993 1988 1994 27
11 1999 5 127 129 6 7 8 9 12 128 13 14 1998 83 87 15 Walts, Kenneth, Theory of International politics, Addison Wesley, 1979. 16 128 2001 8 17 David, Steven, ÒExplaining Third World Alignment,Ó World Politics, vol.43, no.2, January 1991; Alagappa, Muthiah ed., Asian Security Practice: Material and Ideational Influences, Stanford UP, 1998, pp. 611 676. 18 40 1990 19 1 1990 443 448 ; 1994 6 8 1994 6 9 ; 1994 7 19 20 1988 12 ; Ô Õ Ô Õ 92 1989 ; 90 113 1990 ; 1990 21 1997 65 66 22 1988 7 23 Bedeski, Robert E., The Transformation of South Korea: Reform and Reconstitution in the Sixth Republic under Roh Tae Woo, 1987 1992, Routledge, 1994, esp. chap. 7. 24 1989 4 85 10 90 3 87 25 1983 6 29 1983 6 29 18 19 26 1 1990 261 280 ; 3 1991 244 246 27 28 117 1998 29 394 403 30 ; 2 ; 32 31 123 127 130 136 ; 386 389 32 32 43 33 Mazarr, Michael J., North Korea and the Bomb: A Case Study in Nonproliferation, St. MartinÕs Press, 1995, pp. 69 73. 28 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
34 105 109 35 1993 36 64 65 112 116 37 6 1995 473 474 38 39 1 5 40 23 24 41 42 1990 12 27 43 44 82 45 401 46 362 369 47 107 136 48 2 1990 49 1998 9 50 1 264 51 134 136 88 91 52 2000 9 10 11 2001 1 2000 5 7 4 115 116 53 1990 12 182 183 54 139 ; 2 55 Ô Õ 1987 56 357 360 57 425 58 ; 2 59 Oberdorfer, Don, op. cit., pp. 262 265. 60 61 Oberdorfer, Don, op. cit., p. 261. 62 63 417 418 423 64 1992 1 1 1993 5 65 1 Ô Õ 1992 5 10 15 66 7 1992 5 6 7 1992 7 24 25 67 123 68 1992 141 69 Hardin, Russell, Collective Action, Johns Hopkins UP, 1982, esp. chap. 5. 70 Ô Õ 1994 106 108 71 85 86 72 92 93 73 100 136 137 1988 1994 29
74 121 75 Kaldor, Mary, ÒThe Concept of Common Security,Ó in Stockholm International Peace Research Institute ed., Policies for Common Security, Taylor & Francis, 1985. 76 Cha, Victor, ÒRealism, Liberalism, and the Durability of the U.S. - South Korean Alliance,Ó Asian Survey, vol.37, no.7, July 1997. 77 1994 78 1995 221 227 79 1996 7 80 1990 253 256 81 1998 202 207 82 43 76 83 123 125 ; 2 84 85 ; ; Mazarr, Michael J., op. cit.; Sigal, Leon V., op. cit. 1998 ; 1996 5 ; 93 11 1993 10 ; 1999 ; 1996 ; 1994 ; Ô Õ Ô Õ Ô Õ 1993 10 86 1994 199 87 73 1993 4 1 88 YS 5 2000 11 89 90 91 Mazarr, Michael J., op. cit., pp. 149 152. 92 New York Times, July 1, 1993. 93 1994 73 565 573 94 Oberdorfer, Don, op. cit., pp. 281 297, 351 359. 95 4 1999 668 671 ; YS 5 2000 12 96 2 1995 245 97 1 7 ; Oberdorfer, Don, op. cit., pp. 281 283, 355. 98 Sigal, Leon V., op. cit., chap. 2 99 204 205 100 322 323 101 NYT 1994 10 8 1995 574 102 114 124 103 104 Sigal, Leon V., op. cit., pp. 251 254. 105 Cha, Victor, op. cit. 106 1998 146 150 30 Vol. 48, No. 4, October 2002
107 665 108 50 2 1995 81 105 109 1995 576 110 NYT 111 112 DJ YS YS 5 2001 1 113 Ô Õ 2000 5 114 2000 1988 1994 31