* 積極的労働市場政策と若年雇用 山本勲野原快太 DD DD
.
Active Labor Market Policy ALMP Passive Labor Market Policy, PLMP OECD OECD Boeri and Bruda Kluve Card et al. job search assistance program Burtless Calmfors Blundell et al. Blundell et al. New Deal for Young People DD gateway
Kluve Card et al. Difference-in-Differences DD Boeri and Bruda Boeri and Bruda
マッチング関数の推計 Petrongolo and Pissarides U V M U V M
表 1 強化事業の対象地域 ( モデル地域 ) 表 2 各地域のジョブカフェが設定する対象年齢の上限 HP DD Mitm b1 Ditm Ttm b b3d i T M itm 2 tm 4 b 1 b5u b6v b7d b8d f f itm itm tm m i itm b
M itm i t m D itm T tm U itm V itm d tm d m f i f itm T tm D itm T tm b 2 Average Treatment Effect, ATE b 2 c Petrongolo and Pissarides, ; U itm V itm D i T tm Mitm c1 Ditm Ttm c c3d itm T M M M itm itm itm 2 tm 4 c 1 ] c5 D $ Ttm c6 c7d Ttm c8gu itm i itm c 1 ] c9 D $ Ttm c c D Ttm c c 1 c13 d c14d c15 dm f f gv itm 10 11 i 12 itm c tm t i itm c 6 c 9 雇用確率関数の推計
DD Yit d1 DiTtd2 d3di Ttd4 d5si X it d 6 f i f it Y it i t D i T t S i X it GDP f i f it D i T t d 2 ATE S i D i T t Yit i1 DiTti i3d i Tti 2 4 Y it i 1 ] i5 DiTti6 i7di Tti8gS i X it i 9 f i f it i6 Keio Household Panel Survey KHPS
M itm U itm V itm D itm T tm KHPS GDP KHPS KHPS DD KHPS
表 3 職安統計の基本統計量,..,..,..,, 表 4 KHPS の基本統計量,..,..,..,..,..,..,..,..,.,..,.. GDP,... DD KHPS
図 1 月間就職件数の年推移,,,,,,,,,,, 図 2 月間有効求職者数の年推移
図 3 月間有効求人数の年推移,,,,,,,, DD a b c d b d.
図 4 雇用率の推移 : 男性 KHPS 図 5 雇用率の推移 : 女性
表 5 マッチング関数の推計結果 a b c d......................................................... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln....
ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln.... ln No No Yes Yes ln No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes........ prob chi..,,,,
a cd f c f
ac f KHPS
表 6 雇用関数の推計結果 : 男性 ( 変量効果プロビットモデル ) a b c d e f.....................................................................................................................................................
......e..e......................e....................e....................e.e.e.e.e.e.e.e.e.e.e.e GDP.e...e....... No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes,,,,,,....
表 7 雇用関数の推計結果 : 女性 ( 変量効果プロビットモデル ) a b c d e f.....................................................................................................................e...............................
..........................................................................e...e...e...e. GDP.e.e...... No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes,,,,,,.....
KHPS KHPS propensity score matching D DD biweight balancing property DD
D DD D DD D DD DD DD 参考文献 Blundell, Richard, Monica Costa Dias, Costas Meghir and John van Reenen EVALUATING THE EMPLOY- MENT IMPACT OF A MANDATORY JOB SEARCH PROGRAM, Journal of the European Economic Association, :. Boeri, Tito and Michael C. Bruda Active labor market policies, job matching and the Czech miracle, European Economic Review, :. Burtless, Gary Are targeted wage subsidies harmful? Evidence from a wage voucher experiment, Industrial and Labor Relations Review, :. Calmfors, Lars Active labour market policy and unemployment a framework for the analysis of crucial design features, OECD Economic Studies,. Card, David, Jochen Kluve and Andrea Weber Active Labor Market Policy Evaluations: A Meta-Analysis, NBER Working Paper,, Issued in July. Kluve, Jochen The effectiveness of European active labor market programs, Labour Economics, :. Petrongolo, Barbara and Christopher A. Pissarides Looking into the Black Box: A Survey of the Matching Function, Journal of Economic Literature, :.
付表 1 雇用確率関数のマッチング推計結果 : 男性 D DD D DD D DD............................................................................................. D DD 付表 2 雇用確率関数のマッチング推計結果 : 女性 D DD D DD D DD................................................................................................... D DD