インドネシアの社会経済調査と貧困ライン

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Working Paper Series Vol. 2008-01 2008 4 Working Paper

Susenas Susenas 1 1 803-0814 11-4 E-mail shondai@icsead.or.jp 1

1 1980 1990 97 8 1976 40 1984 27 1996 18 2005 16 BPS 2005/2006e 3,500 3 2 2,330 1 1,600 20 Badan Pusat Statistik BPS Survei Sosial Ekonomi nasional Susenas Susenas Susenas 1 Susenas 2 Susenas 3 4 5 7 Susenas 2 Susenas Maksum 2004a Survei Social Ekonomi Nasional Susenas BPS 1992 Susenas kor Susenas kor Susenas Susenas Susenas kor 3 modul Susenas modul Susenas kor 2

Susenas modul 1 2 3 3 3 Susenas 1 1963 Surbakti 1995 15 16,000 Susenas 2 1964 Irian Jaya Papua 21,000 2 1965 2 3 3 1967 24,000 Irian Jaya, Maluku East Timor 4 1969 10 12 1970 1 4 2 19,000 11 10-12 1 5 1-4 2 1970 6 5 1976 4 5 17,000 1976 1 4 5 8 9 12 3 Susenas Susenas 1978 6 6,300 1 3 4 6 7 9 10 12 4 4 1979 7 2 36,000 9,000 9,000 1979 9 5 1980 8 1 102,000 6 2 58,000 1981 9 1978 3

4 7 1976 5 3 1978 6 3 1979 7 2 1980 1983 1970 1980 1987 1991 Susenas 5 Susenas 1980 Susenas 2,100 Surbakti 1995 17 18 1989 1992 1992 Susenas 1993 Susenas kor Susenas modul Susenas kor Majelis Permusyawaratan Rakyat 9 Susenas modul Susenas kor modul 1 modul 2 modul 3 3 modul 3 1 8 1992 Susenas kor 65,600 1993 202,000 4

1 4 800,000 23 9 340 10 1991 3,639 BPS, 1992e, 4 10 1 11 Susenas modul 65,600 2003 3 10,000 Susenas panel Maksum 2004b 3 Susenas 2 1 1965 1 Irian Jaya, Maluku East Timor 1990 2002 Nanggroe Ache Banda Ache Maluku Ambon North Maluku Ternate Papua West Irian Jaya Sorong Central Irian Jaya Timika East Irian Jaya Jayapura Susenas kor BPS 2002f preface C Susenas 2 80 16 12 3 1 16 Reference 1 Susenas modul 2005 84 5

3 BPS 1984 1984 1976 1981 Islam 2001 13 Basic Human Needs Approach BPS 1984 1991 3 1992 3 Susenas modul Susenas kor 2001 Maksum 2004a 2 BPS 1992 1978 food calorie intake 2,100 1 2,100 1978 Ikhsan 1999 48-49 1993 BPS Cost Basic Need ( CBN ) Ikhsan 1999 49 1 52 2,100 1 52 CBN BPS reference population 1993 1 1 1 2,100 kcal BPS 6

23,303 15,576 33,011 20,212 14,279 14 4,602 2,668 BPS 1999b 19 33 27,905 18,244 2 1995 1996 1 1996 9.24 5.14 2003 1999 1995 Basic Commodity Basket Survey Maksum 2004a 3 1999 1966 52 Maksum 2004a 3 1996 39.57 47.74 1999 1 47.93 54.29 1996 9.24 5.14 1999 7.12 4.30 1996 25 1999 27 BPS 1999b 59 61 81 83 1 1999 7

1 1999 11.98% 15.16% Susenas kor 3 1 Asian Development Bank 2006 25 2 3 4 Susenas head-count index 15 1990 2 1973 40.1 1993 13.7 1996 11.3 8

1998 BPS 1999b 67-79 1996 1996 17.7 1998 1995 1996 1996 1996 42,032 1998 96,959 1999 Susenas 1998 10 1999 2 23.6 1996 100 111.8 1997 198.5 1998 202.5 1999 221.4 2000 249.2 2001 273.9 2002 2006 86 2001 100,011 2002 130,499 2 1996 17.7 24.2 2003 2005 15.97 Asian Development Bank 2006 22 2003 3 4 10% 20 2005 9

20 40 20% 16 6 845 68.9% 68.6 6.2% 46 3.6% 48.6 3.9 510.3 22.4% 460 17.7% 244.5 12.7% 1,289.7 51.4% 124.9 5.4% 104 5.1% 2,125 3,734 56.9 17 BPS 4 0.300 0.360 2 1 The World Bank 2006 18 1 1 1990 2 2 2002 2 2005 3 Akita et al (1999) 19 4 10

Arndt and Sundrum 1975 Akita et al 1999 5 1 3 2 1 20 1 Jabotabek 1 KAB. Bogor KOT. Bogor KAB. Bekasi KOT. Bekasi KBT. Tangerang KOT Tangerang KAB. Karawang 21 KOT Semarang 2000 3,092 15.4 4.0 11

59.8 BPS 2000d 73-75 22 BPS Susenas 1993 23 2000 70,203 85,928 651 15.4 17.4 BPS 2001e 593 1993 2003 4 3 Susenas 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 100 8 5 4 1.0 7 8 1 9,552 55.9 5 2,104 12.3 2 10 3,795 66.4 536 9.4 75.8 2 5,757 50.6 1,568 13.8 39.7 34.3 29.7 28.3 25.5% 12

25.0 21.8 14.8 24.5 17.2 16.7 16.0 41.8 36.4 35.6 30.4 7.2 17.5 40 10.2 35 2 10 3 33.5 26.9 7.2% 3 6 65.5 13.2 1.5 4 5 1 19.7 29.7 53.9 13.8 2.6 3 92.0 5 89.3 81.2 13

7 5 5 7 4 1.00 8 7 60 (7 ) 86.9 13.1 90.1 5 1 2 3 24 4 unpaid family workers 91.7 1.00 8 0.59 30 59 8 14

2 I II 1 29.3 2 47.2 2 I II 41.5 I II 3 1 1 7 6 7 8 25 1 6 Susenas 15

Susenas 1 1 Susenas 16

1 Survei Sosial Ekonomi Nasional BPS BPS 1999 BPS 1999a 2 Irian Jaya 2000 2001 Papua 3 1965 9 30 9 30 1967 3 2003 231 4 5 6 102,000 7 15,000 8 1993 1993 1996 1999 2002 1994 1997 2000 2003 1995 1998 2001 9 15 8 23 10 1993 Kabupaten 243 BPS 1993e 4 1 1.4 11 2005 12 Systematic linear sampling 13 1984 1976 1978 1980 1981 1984 14 1993 19.7 17.1 15 0.00 1.00 Morse 2004 61-63 16 1996 62.5 49.5 56.4 BPS 1996e 572-574 17 6.9 2000 58.8 BPS 2002e 46-47 18 0.419 2002 0.461 2000 0.491 1997 0.424 1998 0.329 2002 The World Bank 2006 19 2001 4 30 20 1 Susenas 17

21 2 1 Jabotabek 1 1 KOT. Bandung KOT. Cirebon KOT. Sukabumi KOT. Cilegon Jabotabek Jabotabek Jabotabek 22 2000 3.9 58.0 19.0 BPS 2000d 73-75 BPS 2001e 593 23 1993 20 province regency Surbakti 1995 19 24 Susenas BPS 2005g 25 1 II 837 6 18

Akita, Takahiro; Rizal Affandi; and Yukino Yamada 1999 Inequality in the Distribution of Household Expenditures in Indonesia: a Theil Decomposition Analysis, The Developing Economies, vol. 37 no. 2, 197-221. Arndt, H.W. and R. M. Sundrum 1975 Regional Price Disparities, Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, vol. 11 no. 2, 30-68. Asian Development Bank ADB. 2002 Key Indicators of Developing Asian and Pacific Countries, New York: Oxford University Press. 2006 From Poverty to Prosperity: A Country Poverty Analysis for Indonesia. Manila. Badan Pusat Statistik 1999a Survei Sosial Ekonomi Nasional (National Socio-Economic Survey) Original household survey data, Jakarta. 1999b Pengukuran Tingkat Kemiskinan di Indonesia 1976-1999: Metode BPS (Measurement of Poverty Line in Indonesia 1976-1999, BPS Method ), Jakarta. 1999c, 2002c, 2005c Pengeluaran Untuk Konsumsi Penduduk Indonesai per Propinsi Buku 3 (Expenditure for Consumption of Indonesia per Province, vol. 3), Jakarta. 2000d Hasil Sensus Penduduk (Results of Population Census), Seri L2.2, Jakarta. 1993e,1996e,2001e, 2002e, 2005/2006e Statistik Indonesia, Jakarta. 2002f National Socio-Economic Survey 2002 Work Manual, Jakarta, Indonesia. 2005g Susenas 2005, Pedoman Pencacah Kor (National Socio-Economic Survey 2005, Guide Line for Core Surveyer), Jakarta. Ikhsan, Mohamad 1999 The Disaggregation of Indonesian poverty: Policy and Analysis. UMI Dissertation Services, Ann Arbor, Michigan. Surbakti, Pajung 1995 Indonesia s National Socio-Economic Survey: A Continual Data Source for Analysis on Welfare Development, Central Bureau of Statistics, Jakarta, Indonesia. Maksum, Choiril 2004a Official Poverty Measurement in Indonesia, Paper presented at 2004 international conference on official poverty statistics, 4-6 October 2004, Mandaluyong City, Philippines. 2004b Development of Poverty Statistics in Indonesia: Some Notes on BPS Contributions in Poverty Alleviation, paper presented at 2004 International Conference on Official Poverty Statistics: Methodology and Comparability, 4-6 October, 2004, Manila. Morse, Stephen 2004 Indices and Indicators in Development: An Unhealthy Obsession with Numbers, London, Earthscan. 2003 2005 SUSENAS 14 16 19

B 79 95 2006 17 1 81 94 2005 14 16 B 102 116 The World Bank 2006 World Development Indicators, CD-ROM, Washington, D.C. 20

1 BPS 1999b 59 61 81 83 21

2 BPS 2005/2006e, 565. 1 1995 2 1998 3 2 Susenas 4 1998 12 Susenas 5 1999 8 Susenas 6 2000 Susenas kor 7 2001 Susenas kor 8 2002 Susenas modul 9 Susenas panel 22

3 2003 BPS 2005/2006e 570 571 23

4 BPS 1999c 26 27 2002c 26 27 2005c 22 23 24

5 1999 BPS 1999a 25

6. 1999 BPS 1999a 26

7. 1999 BPS 1999a 27

8. BPS 1999a 28